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FanDuel DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Tuesday (2/16)

by Zachary Hanshew | @ZaktheMonster | Featured Writer
Feb 16, 2021

Al Horford has gotten a big boost in dimes, swipes, and points with SGA out of the lineup

It’s Tuesday, and we’ve got a solid, six-game NBA slate featuring some excellent fantasy matchups. As always, we’ll name values, studs, and fades for the day’s DFS festivities. Let’s get right to it!

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Most Value Per Dollar 

With such a large slate, there are values and studs to be had across the board, though there are some positions that offer a bit more value than others. The SF, PF, and C positions offer great options in the mid-tier and a little more expensive, though the guard positions are a bit thinner after the top-tier of studs. There are plenty of great game environments tonight, as three of the six games have over/unders of at least 230. The Nuggets/Celtics game comes in as our lowest over/under at 221.5, so there aren’t any games to outright shun this evening. Notable injuries tonight include Anthony Davis, Jrue Holiday, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who will all be out of action. That will open up some value around them, but there are plenty of other options to target as well. 

For a full list of over/unders and point spreads, visit BettingPros.

Fred VanVleet (SG – TOR): $7,500 at MIL
FVV priced at just $7.5K? No, you’re not dreaming. He’s coming off three modest performances that have driven his price way down, but there is a ton of upside to be had here for a guy who has scored better than 50 FD points seven times on the season. VanVleet doesn’t typically come this cheap, so the time for savings in nigh. 

Khris Middleton (SF – MIL): $7,500 vs. TOR
With Jrue Holiday out yet again, Middleton should continue to see heavy minutes and get involved more as a facilitator. The over/under for Bucks/Raps is the highest on the slate, and Middleton actually comes at a discount at this price. He’s in play in this excellent game environment with a depreciated price thanks to a couple of recent down games.

Al Horford (C – OKC): $6,900 vs. POR
Horford has been excellent across his last seven games (five without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander), averaging 18.6 points, 5.4 assists, and 1.6 steals in that span. In 11 games prior, he averaged 12.5 points, 2.5 assists, and 0.6 steals. The absence of SGA has obviously been a boon for Horford’s fantasy value, and the former will be out again tonight. Centers have fared very well against Enes Kanter and Co. this season, making Horford a great value on tonight’s slate.

Kyle Anderson (SF – MEM): $6,500 vs. NO
Anderson has been on a tear as of late, posting nearly 37 FD points per game across his last five while playing just under 30 minutes per contest. His production has come with Jonas Valanciunas and Ja Morant balling out, so Anderson’s role in Memphis’ rotation is secure. He’ll look to continue his strong play against New Orleans tonight.

Montrezl Harrell (C – LAL): $5,900 at MIN
Minnesota has surrendered fantasy points in buckets to opposing bigs, and Harrell should see more playing time with Anthony Davis out of action. Though Harrell hasn’t been the fantasy darling we’ve seen in seasons past, he’s still plenty capable of posting big scoring and rebounding totals when given the opportunity.

Kyle Kuzma (PF – LAL): $5,800 at MIN
Across his last four games, Kuz has picked up his scoring and rebounding to the tune of 16.3 points and 9.3 boards. He’s consistently shown the ability to put up points throughout his career, but his recent spike in rebounding numbers is certainly encouraging. With Anthony Davis set to miss some time, Kuz should see additional run, starting with a great matchup against Minnesota. 

Ricky Rubio (PG – MIN): $5,500 vs. LAL
Rubio has been inserted back into the starting lineup with D’Angelo Russell out, and he figures to stay there with D’Lo out again tonight. Rubio has only scored in double digits twice this season, so don’t expect prolific scoring, but he’s still capable of padding the stats with assists and steals as he’s done throughout his career.

Mikal Bridges (SF – PHO): $5,300 vs. BKN
Bridges has been wildly inconsistent across his last four games, but he’s still providing the best numbers of his career thus far into the season. He’s got a juicy matchup with Brooklyn’s anemic defense tonight, and there is real 40-point upside to be had for a guy so reasonably priced. Take advantage of the bargain.

Bobby Portis (PF – MIL): $4,900 vs. TOR
Bobby P has averaged better than 25 FD points per game this season, but he comes into this one on a hot streak, posting 16 points and 6.7 boards across his last three. The game environment is great in what should be a high-scoring affair, and at a sub-$5K price, Portis is a fantastic value.

Kira Lewis (PG – NO): $3,800 at MEM
Across his last five games, Lewis has averaged 17 FD points in 18.4 minutes off the bench. He’s slowly carving out a substantial role in New Orleans’ rotation, and he’s worth a gamble in tournaments tonight, priced at just $3.8K. In that five-game span, Lewis has eclipsed 24 FD points twice, so there is real value to be had here. 

Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Devin Booker (PHO) $8,300: After a relatively slow start to the season, Booker has been unstoppable on offense across his last four, averaging better than 30 points per contest in that span. Facing Brooklyn’s no-show defense tonight, he looks primed for another big performance.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) $9,500: Towns priced under $10K usually means savings, and with Anthony Davis out of action, KAT should be able to take advantage of a favorable matchup with the Lakers.
  • LeBron James (LAL) $10,500: Have we talked about the Anthony Davis effect enough yet? With AD out, LBJ will likely take on a heavier offensive role in what should be a great spot against the T-Wolves.

Notable Players to Fade

  • Chris Boucher (TOR) $7,200: Boucher’s usage has been unbelievably frustrating to fantasy managers this season, and while he’s been huge on a per-minute basis, his playing time has been all over the place. I don’t want to spend $7.2K on this small slate for so many question marks.
  • Robert Covington (POR) $6,500: RoCo has been one of the biggest disappointments in fantasy this season, and despite plenty of opportunities on a depleted Blazers squad, he’s largely underwhelmed. I’m not confident he can return much value tonight, even in a respectable matchup.

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Zachary Hanshew is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Zachary, check out his archive and follow him @zakthemonster.

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