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FanDuel PGA DFS Lineup Advice: WGC-Workday (2021)

Feb 23, 2021

Collin Morikawa might be the best value in the field.

The PGA Tour leaves the West Coast and travels to the Sunshine State for the Florida swing. The first event will be a World Golf Championship featuring all but two of the world’s top-50 golfers (Tiger Woods and Paul Casey).

Even though this is a small field, FanDuel still has nine golfers priced at $11,000 or above for this world-class event. FanDuel provides DFS players with a salary cap of $60,000 to select six golfers for an average roster spot of $10,000. Dustin Johnson is the only golfer in the 12K range at $12,100. Jon Rahm is close behind at $11,900. Xander Schauffele ($11,700), Rory McIlroy ($11,600), and Patrick Cantlay ($11,500) round out FanDuel’s top-five highest-priced golfers.

We hope that you played Max Homa and Tony Finau last week, in which case you probably turned a nice little profit. Chances are the winner will come from one of the guys priced in the 11K range this week, but you never know. Here are our recommended plays in each price range for this week’s WGC-Workday.

Use all the information available to you to make the best decision possible for your lineup. Whether you win or lose, golf is one of the most entertaining fantasy sports to follow because you get four days of action. Good luck and, most importantly, have fun!

Find out which stats matter the most for PGA DFS >>

Tournament Notes

  • Due to Covid-19 and logistical issues, the WGC-Mexico has been relocated to Florida for this year.
  • The WGC-Workday will be hosted by the Concession Golf Club in Bradenton, Florida. It is a Par 72 course measuring 7,474 yards. The course was designed by Jack Nicklaus and was named “Best New Private Course” by Golf Digest when it opened in 2006.
  • 78 golfers are scheduled to tee it up in this no-cut event. Unless there is a withdrawal or disqualification, each golfer is guaranteed to play four rounds.
  • Bryson DeChambeau defeated C.T. Pan here during the 2015 NCAA Championship. Those golfers have polar opposite games, so we probably can’t gain too much information from that on the surface.
  • The Bermuda greens are small with tricky contours.
  • Remember that any course history you see on this event is from WGC-Mexico and is not relevant to this week other than it is a no-cut event.
  • The par 5s make up four of the five hardest holes on the course.
  • The course was designed to test all aspects of a golfer’s game. No one specific skill will be more important this week. The more well-rounded golfers should be best equipped to handle the strategic challenges of this Nicklaus-designed course.

Course Fit & Key Statistics

Recent Form
The golfers that rate out the best in my customized recent form model (in ranked order) are Dustin Johnson, Tony Finau, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Daniel Berger, Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland, Will Zalatoris, Matthew Fitzpatrick, and Sungjae Im.

Nicklaus Courses
Jack Nicklaus loves designing courses that test all aspects of a golfer’s game. You have to be a good ball-striker with a good strategic sense of how to play a golf course. The greens can be tricky, and bunkers are strategically placed along the fairways. In looking at the last three years of results on Jack Nicklaus courses, the ten golfers that rate out the best includes Patrick Cantlay, Adam Scott, Gary Woodland, Justin Thomas, Tony Finau, Jon Rahm, Lee Westwood, Collin Morikawa, Sergio Garcia, and Jason Day.

Scoring
It is always important to score well but being a solid par maker might not be advantageous this week. This event produces tremendous scoring opportunities and low scores every year, so we want to look at the golfers in this field with the most scoring upside. My custom model considers birdie or better percentage, fantasy scoring, eagle potential, and scoring average. The golfers who rate as the best scorers (in ranked order) are Tony Finau, Xander Schauffele, Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm, Patrick Reed, Daniel Berger, Patrick Cantlay, Brooks Koepka, and Joaquin Niemann.

No-Cut Events
In a no-cut event, scoring matters more than cut-making ability. Each golfer is guaranteed to play four rounds of golf. One bad round doesn’t necessarily doom a golfer (or your lineup). In looking at the last 21 no-cut events played (2019, 2020, and 2021 seasons), the best golfers (in ranked order) are Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, Jon Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton, Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka, Ryan Palmer, Joaquin Niemann, Dustin Johnson, and Patrick Reed.

Favorite $11,000+ Plays

Xander Schauffele ($11,700)
Xander “struggled” to a T15 last week at the Genesis after three straight top-5 finishes. He is a great player with no real weaknesses in his game. He also excels in no-cut formats. Three of his four PGA Tour wins have come in no-cut events. That doesn’t include last season’s runner-up finish at the TOUR Championship when he had the best raw score (remember golfers are given starting scores based on their FedExCup standings). In this season’s no-cut events, he has finished T5 at the TOC, T17 at the ZOZO, and T2 at the CJ Cup.

Tony Finau ($11,200)
He is absolutely on fire right now. He has four starts this calendar year, and all of them have resulted in a top-five finish. He lost in a playoff last week, was fourth at the American Express, T2 at the Farmers Insurance Open, and T2 at the Saudi Invitational. He is second in the field over the last 24 rounds played in fantasy scoring. I will also be sprinkling in most of the other high-priced golfers into my MME lineups. I have nothing bad to say about any of these top golfers.

Favorite $10,000 Plays

Webb Simpson ($10,500)
He is the ninth-ranked golfer in the world and is seventh in this field in total strokes gained in the last 50 rounds. We are getting him at a slight discount from what we are used to. He is only the 13th highest-priced golfer this week. This is the lowest he has been priced in a long time. He struggled his last time out at the WMPO but was T4 at the Sony before that. If looking for all-around players, he would fit the bill.

Collin Morikawa ($10,100)
He has been struggling with his putter lately, but he might be the best value in the field if you are looking for value. He is the sixth-ranked golfer in the world but is only the 16th most expensive player in the field. He did have a pair of seventh-place finishes to start the calendar year at the TOC and the Sony. He also won the Workday Charity Open at Muirfield Village back in the spring. That is a Jack Nicklaus design. Other 10K golfers I have interest in are Viktor Hovland ($10,800), Daniel Berger ($10,600), Patrick Reed ($10,400), and Sungjae Im ($10,200).

Favorite $9,000 Plays

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,500)
Fitz just finished T5 at the Genesis last week and was T17 at the Omega Dubai Desert Classic before that. Back in December, he won the prestigious DP World Championship in Dubai. His last four no-cut events have been T26 – T12 – T6 – T6. He was also third at Jack Nicklaus’ Muirfield Village course last spring.

Jason Day ($9,200)
He has missed the cut in three of his last six starts. Fortunately, there is no cut, and he gets four rounds to play. In the three events that he has made the cut, he has finished T7 at Houston, T12 at the RSM, and T7 two weeks ago at Pebble Beach. Last spring, he also had back-to-back top-10 finishes Muirfield Village. Other 9K golfers I will be considering are Joaquin Niemann ($9,800), Cam Smith ($9,600), and Adam Scott ($9,400).

Favorite $8,000 Plays

Will Zalatoris ($8,800)
Since his T4 at the U.S. Open, his price has been no lower than $9,700, so we get him at a huge discount this week despite finishing T15 in last week’s stacked Genesis field. He has seven top-20 finishes in his 10 PGA Tour starts, including four top-10s. If he can continue to do this, he’ll return tremendous value at this price tag.

Ryan Palmer ($8,600)
Three top-five finishes in his last five starts make him one of the best values on the board, especially when you consider two of those were in no-cut events. He ranks seventh overall in my customized no-cut model. Regardless of where he finishes, however, the world’s 26th ranked golfer has the potential to outscore his finishing position as he can score in bunches. Other 8K golfers I will be considering are Harris English ($8,900), Sergio Garcia ($8,500), Robert MacIntyre ($8,200), and Kevin Na ($8,000).

Favorite $7,000 Plays

Lanto Griffin ($7,700)
Griffin just finished T26 last week at the Genesis, which was on the heels of a T7 at the Farmers, so he comes in with good form. What makes this play even better is his performances in no-cut events so far this season. He has been T13 at the Tournament of Champions, T11 at the ZOZO, and T7 at the CJ Cup. If you go back to last season, he was T18 at the TOUR Championship and T10 at the BMW.

Sebastian Munoz ($7,100)
He has finished in the top-20 in each of his last six no-cut events, including a T9 at the CJ Cup, T8 at the TOUR Championship, and a T8 at the BMW. He can score birdies in bunches. Overall, he ranks 12th in this field in my customized no-cut model. Other 7K golfers I might consider are Bernd Wiesberger ($7,800), Gary Woodland ($7,700), Andy Sullivan ($7,600), and Erik Van Rooyen ($7,200).

Check out the FREE betting guide for the WGC-Workday Championship at BettingPros >>

Whether you’re new to daily fantasy golf or a seasoned professional, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Golf Glossary. You can get started with The Stats That Matter Most or head to a more advanced strategy — like How To Use Vegas Odds To Generate Your Lineup  — to learn more.

Jamy Bechler is a regular contributor to FantasyPros for NBA, NFL, and PGA. You can send him questions and follow him on his DFS twitter @WinningDFS101. When he is not playing DFS, Jamy is an author, host of the “Success is a Choice” podcast, and a leadership consultant, working with businesses and teams across the country (including the NBA). Even though he offers his advice on players and contests, after additional information and consideration, he may end up using different players and strategies than what he recommended in this article.

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