FanDuel DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Tuesday (3/16)
We’re back on Tuesday for a modest, seven-game NBA slate. As always, we’ll name values, studs, and fades for the day’s DFS festivities. Let’s get right to it!
Most Value Per Dollar
Tonight’s games aren’t all high-scoring affairs as we see on some slates. The Pelicans/Blazers unsurprisingly has the highest over/under of the night, but most of the players worth rostering in that matchup are a bit too pricey to include as values, so we’ll pivot to the Thunder/Bulls. This one has a bit lower implied total, but both teams feature some excellent, cheap plays, and five of today’s values come from this one. Oklahoma City is in the middle of a rebuild, but you wouldn’t know it based on the way this team has been playing and the production it’s getting from young up-and-comers.
For a full list of point spreads and over/unders, visit BettingPros.
Kevin Porter Jr: $6,000 vs. ATL
My love for Kevin Porter Jr. has been unmatched this season, and I’ve loved watching him shine in his first three games as a Rocket. He’s averaged 17.0 points, 8.3 assists, 3.3 boards, and 2.3 combined blocks/steals since his call up from the G League, and with John Wall and Christian Wood out yet again, expect KPJ to see another heavy-usage performance tonight as he handles point guard duties.
Kevin Huerter: $5,700 at HOU
Huerter has averaged better than 25 FD points per game this season, and he continues to see plenty of run in Atlanta’s starting lineup. Tonight, he’ll face a Rockets squad that hasn’t been able to stop anyone this season. I’m happy to pay $5.7K for a guy who can heat up quickly from deep.
Lauri Markkanen: $5,500 vs. OKC
Markkanen has averaged 29 FD points across his last three games while scoring at least 20 real points in two of those contests. He’s a nightly threat for big point totals while chipping in some serviceable numbers on the boards. He’s quite a value at just $5.5K.
Dwight Howard: $5,200 vs. NYK
Joel Embiid is out, and Howard should continue to see minutes in the low-to-mid 20’s in the interim. Expect some quality production from the veteran big in a favorable matchup against the Knicks.
Jaylen Nowell: $4,500 at LAL
Is it December already? Not quite, but Nowell (aka “Father Christmas”) should be delivering DFS presents to those who choose to roster him tonight. He’s scored no fewer than 20 FD points in each of his last three, including a 47-point eruption against New Orleans last week. With Malik Beasley still suspended, Nowell should continue to enjoy a prominent offensive role for the T-Wolves, making him a great value on this slate.
Aleksej Pokusevski: $4,500 at CHI
It’s Poku season around the NBA after Oklahoma City’s young seven-footer went off Sunday to the tune of 23/10/4 in his third straight start. The big man can play both forward positions and based on his recent play, he should a staple in the Thunder’s lineup for the rest of the season. I love him at this price on tonight’s slate.
Tomas Satoransky: $4,200 vs. OKC
Satoransky drew his first start of the season Sunday and put up 10/7/6 with two blocks and a steal in 26 minutes. It’s unclear if he’ll remain in the starting five moving forward, but he’s averaged better than 20 minutes per game this season and can still provide meaningful production off the bench.
Moses Brown: $4,200 at CHI
Al Horford is out again, and Brown could draw his second straight start in a favorable matchup tonight. He’s averaged 24.5 FD points in each of his last three, and it looks like the rebuilding Thunder is giving its young guys some run down the stretch. Brown is a nice tournament pivot away from more expensive and more popular options at center.
Kenyon Martin Jr : $3,500 vs. ATL
This is one of the most blatant examples of mispricing I’ve ever seen. Martin Jr. has averaged 35.9 FD points across 30 minutes per contest since coming up from the G League three games ago, and both Christian Wood and John Wall remain out tonight. Martin Jr. is an easy salary-saving option who could return 10x value.
Kenrich Williams: $3,500 at CHI
Williams had a short run in the starting lineup earlier this season, but in 12 games since returning to the bench, he’s still logging 22 minutes per contest. Williams has carved out a meaningful role in the Thunder’s rotation, and he’s more than capable of returning 6 or 7x value. He’s scored better than 20 FD points in each of his last two games and makes a fine tournament play tonight.
Studs Worth Their Salary
- Trae Young (ATL) $9,000: Young has the best possible matchup for a point guard tonight, and he’s dangerously underpriced. His play has been up-and-down all year, but Young has legitimate 60-point upside.
- Julius Randle (NYK) $9,200: Randle has been balling all year, and tonight, he’ll face a Sixers squad that will be without Joel Embiid. This is a pace-up spot for New York, and Randle is worth every bit of his salary tonight.
Notable Players to Fade
- Jimmy Butler (MIA) $11,000: Despite a favorable matchup with Cleveland, I can’t stomach this price for Jimmy Buckets. He’s been playing out of his mind over the last two weeks, but this is just too much, especially in a game in which Miami is favored by 10.5.
- CJ McCollum (POR) $8,700: They’ll face NO tonight in a favorable matchup, but there’s no way I’m paying nearly $9K for a guy playing in his first game since suffering a major foot injury.
Beyond our daily fantasy basketball content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Basketball Tools. From our Lineup Optimizer – which allows you to build winning DFS lineups in seconds for Cash and GPP contests – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy basketball season.