FanDuel NHL DFS Strategy Advice: Saturday (3/6)
The first weekend of March hockey has arrived with a tantalizing 12-game slate on Saturday. Teams are beginning to hit their stride like Tampa Bay and Vegas, while others are getting a head start preparing for the offseason, such as Buffalo and Anaheim. Increased familiarity amongst divisional opponents creates a unique opportunity to find players with hidden value deeper in lineups as we approach the halfway point of this 56-game regular season.
Pierre-Luc Dubois (WPG): $5,400 @ MTL
Pierre-Luc Dubois came through in the clutch in his previous outing, scoring the Jets’ winning overtime goal in a 4-3 win over the Montreal Canadiens on Thursday. The athletic and big-bodied C was traded from the Columbus Blue Jackets earlier in the season and had a few setbacks getting on the ice with his new team due to COVID-19 health and safety protocols. Dubois has three points against Montreal in their last two matchups and will be riding the momentum from his previous game-winning goal in the second game of the series back-to-back on Saturday. Centering the second line and the second power-play unit, Dubois sees roughly 16 minutes of average time on ice with ample opportunity to turn his shots into points. With Vegas betting odds favoring over 5.5 goals on Saturday based on odds at BettingPros, fantasy managers should take advantage of the $5,400 price that continues to reflect Dubois’ previous three-game point drought, overlooking his heroics against the Canadiens on Thursday.
Clayton Keller (ARI): $5,900 vs. MIN
Clayton Keller has scored a goal in each of his last three games for the Coyotes, totaling nine shots on goal during this same span. The LW is averaging 16:53 of time on ice this season and has totaled 16 points (eight goals, eight assists) across 23 games, with nearly half of his goal production occurring over this past week. Fresh off scoring Arizona’s only goal in a 5-1 loss against the Wild on Friday, Keller should be in line to generate more points on Saturday, as he is a winger on the Coyotes’ top power-play unit alongside the shifty veteran winger Phil Kessel. Betting odds expect the game to be under 5.5 goals scored but do not let this deter you from rostering Keller, as he is on a hot streak and available at under $6,000, which will allow you to add great value without paying an exorbitant cost.
Brendan Gallagher (MTL): $6,200 vs. WPG
The Montreal Canadiens are trying to adjust to their new coaching change while staying competitive in an offensively charged North division. RW Brendan Gallagher helped lead the way this past week, netting two goals and an assist on five shots against the Senators and Jets. Gallagher plays on the first line and gets additional minutes on the second power-play unit, creating ample opportunity to rack up shots on goal (72) despite a low 14:32 average time on ice across his last week of play. The Jets have solid net play from top goaltender Connor Hellebuyck, who boasts a 2.60 GAA and .915 save percentage across 18 games this season. However, Gallagher was able to find the back of the net for a goal against Hellebuyck in Wednesday’s 4-3 overtime loss and will have every opportunity to replicate his previous performance on Saturday.
Matt Dumba (MIN): $4,800 @ ARI
The Minnesota Wild currently find themselves in the top three of the West division after Friday’s 5-1 win against Arizona, with the help of defenseman Matt Dumba enforcing the team’s physicality on the second line. Dumba earns increased minutes on Minnesota’s second power-play unit and is averaging over 24 minutes on ice in his last week of action. Despite riding a three-game point drought, Dumba has 27 blocked shots and 45 shots on goal this season, adding increased value to his four goals and four assists. Dumba earned a +2 rating against the Coyotes with two shots on goal during Friday’s win and will build on that effort in the second game of a series back-to-back against Arizona on Saturday.
Jordan Binnington (STL): $7,500 @ LA
The St. Louis Blues are on a four-game winning streak in large part due to the play of their goaltender Jordan Binnington. The young netminder has an impressive 2.62 GAA with a .910 save percentage across 18 games this season. Even better for fantasy purposes, Binnington has won 50 percent of his starts, which directly adds 12 points to your fantasy lineup. The L.A. Kings lost 3-2 in overtime against reserve Blues G Ville Husso on Friday but will have an even tougher challenge against Binnington on Saturday night. With goalies being such a key factor in winning or losing a DFS lineup based on their potential added or negative value, it is worth paying up for Binnington’s elite services against a Kings team that is on a four-game losing streak.