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FanDuel NBA DFS Strategy Advice: Friday (4/23)

by Ryan Coleman
Apr 23, 2021

Be sure to find a spot for Bogdan Bogdanovic in your lineups.

Welcome to Friday and a seven-game NBA DFS slate to kick off the weekend. You get an extra 30 minutes before locking this slate, so make sure to follow all the relevant news right up until tip.  

These seven-game slates are always a great combination of value without too many decisions needed to be made. Early on, I like the value offered by the Hawks and the Clippers, and I expect the Wizards Thunder game to be high scoring.  

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Most Value Per Dollar

Below is a list of the top players of the day expected to generate the most value relative to their salary. 

Bogdan Bogdanovic (SF – ATL) $7,500
With Trae Young hurt, a lot of usage opens up for the entire Hawks team, and I expect Bogdanovic to be right there to soak it all up. Even against a tough Miami team, I feel just fine getting the Hawks sharpshooter in my GPP and cash lineups. Bogdanovic has been a 0.92 FPPM guy all season and has scored at a 0.97 FPPM rate over his last five games. He is their main scorer and will be taking many shots tonight, so be sure to find a spot for him in your lineups.

Brandon Goodwin (PG – ATL) $5,000
Out goes Trae Young, in comes Brandon Goodwin. In a smaller sample size, Goodwin has been a 0.82 FPPM player this season. Now that he is sliding right into the starter role, I expect him to play around 35-37 minutes tonight. So as a base projection, I see Goodwin reaching 5.5X value, but he can produce higher. Goodwin’s price will only rise, so I’d recommend including him in your lineups now.  

PJ Dozier (SG – DEN) $3,800
Dozier has played big minutes of late, and against a high-paced team such as Golden State, I can see him return 6X value or more. He easily holds the ability to reach 30 FanDuel points, and Dozier has scored 0.81 FPPM this season. He is a cheap option if you need a punt spot for either your GPP or cash lineup but still has the legitimate potential to produce.  

Kevin Huerter (SG – ATL) $5,400
For another Hawks player to see a boost in usage and fantasy points, I present to you, Kevin Huerter. Atlanta will need to find different ways to score and may lean on Huerter to produce more so than he has at any point this season. He has reached 45 FanDuel points before, and if he gets hot, he has the capability of doing that again, especially considering the consistent rebounds and assists he tallies.   

Davis Bertans (PF – WAS) $4,800
For a riskier, GPP only play, Bertans is your guy. He has the ability to get hot from deep and outperform against a Thunder team that represents a wonderful opportunity for him to do just that. Not only is the Thunder defense sub-par, but they also offer a pace-up spot for a team that already plays faster than anyone in the league. I expect a lot of possessions and a lot more shot opportunities for someone like Bertans.    

Xavier Tillman (PF – CHI) $5,000
With Jonas Valanciunas still sidelined, I will continue to go to Xavier Tillman until his price rises beyond $6,000. In his past two games, Tillman has put up 44.3 and 31.4 FanDuel points, respectively. The game against the Nuggets did go to double-OT, but I still see him capable of playing 30+ minutes, making him viable for GPP and cash lineups. 

Luguentz Dort (SF – OKC) $5,700
Now Dort is questionable for tonight’s game so obviously, be conscious of injury news because if he is out, I expect someone like Isaiah Roby to step up. In his two games before getting hurt, Dort played 30+ minutes and returned phenomenal value, tallying 45.2 and 38.8 FanDuel points. Washington offers a can’t-miss matchup for Dort and most of this OKC team, so don’t be afraid to include him in your lineups if he plays.

Kelly Olynyk (C – HOU) $5,200
Olynyk has been consistently starting since coming to the team in late March. His usage rate sits around 20%, and he offers a solid contrarian choice in your GPP lineups to fill the center slot. He is more so a GPP option as there is a clear cash candidate to fill the center position tonight. 

Theo Maledon (PF – OKC) $4,600
While Maledon isn’t exactly the most consistent producer, he is in too good of a spot tonight to not mention. His minutes have been consistently around 30 minutes in his last ten games, and he has been a 0.73 FPPM producer during that same time frame. Against Washington, there will be way more opportunities for Maledon to produce, and I expect him to return 5X tomorrow. 

Check out our NBA Prop Bet Cheat Sheet for the top bets of the day >>

Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Nikola Jokic (DEN) $11,300: I feel like a broken record when speaking on Jokic but essentially, whenever he is on a slate, I am almost always trying to find a way to include Jokic in my lineup. Against the Warriors, the MVP candidate should feast, and he is easily capable of reaching 70 FanDuel points.  
  • Paul George (LAC): $9,400: If there is someone I would “lock” into lineups tomorrow, it would be Paul George. With no Kawhi Leonard, George will have quite a high usage rate and should go off against a crumbling Rockets team. PG will be high-owned, but he will absolutely be worth it.
  • Steph Curry (GS): $10,000: After a dud outing vs. Washington last time out, I’m going right back to him against the Nuggets. His ownership shouldn’t be as high as it should be given his most recent performance, so not only do I expect a bounce-back game from Steph, but it will be in a nice leverage spot as well. 

Notable Players to Fade

  • Miles Bridges (CHA) $7,200: I’m not sure if I exactly have to tell you not to play Miles Bridges tomorrow, but this is a simple reminder that he is way too expensive to place him in your lineup. I see him struggling to reach 5X, and there are a surprisingly high number of small forward options tomorrow, like his teammate Caleb Martin ($3,700), for example.    
  • Clint Capela (ATL) $9,300: Not only is the opportunity cost high when not putting Nikola Jokic in your center spot, but I don’t see Capela as the guy to substitute for if you’re trying to go contrarian. If you aren’t going to roster Jokic, I’d recommend going more so for value in the center spot, to spend up elsewhere. 

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Beyond our daily fantasy basketball content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Basketball Tools. From our Lineup Optimizer – which allows you to build winning DFS lineups in seconds for Cash and GPP contests – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy basketball season.

Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Ryan, check out his archive and follow him @ryancoleman_98.