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Sell High Dynasty Targets: Post-NFL Draft (2021 Fantasy Football)

May 13, 2021

Now that dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts are wrapping up, it’s time to turn our focus back to our rosters and look at how we can trade for what we need in our lineups to contend for the championship. Hopefully, you added some great lottery tickets to your bench, but let’s try to win the title this year too.

Here are some players I think you should shop in your leagues and see what you can get. Some are at their peak value, so you should be able to get a lot. Some are already on the downturn, so you may have to wait until they’re actually putting up points to make a good deal. Either way, here are some dynasty sell high targets now that rookie drafts have ended.

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Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB)

The entire premise of selling high in dynasty fantasy football is to try to get out before the trade value takes a dive. There is no better candidate for this list for me at the moment than Aaron Rodgers. He’s still on the Packers’ roster as of writing this article, but there’s still a non-zero chance that he never plays a snap in the NFL again. He might even get traded; teams like the Raiders or Broncos have been rumored landing spots.

Do I think any of that happens? No, not really, but others in your league might start thinking it will. This means that with each passing day, there is a higher chance that his value goes down. If you can, try to move on from Rodgers now if you don’t have a lot of depth at the position to withstand a lengthy holdout or possible retirement. You don’t want to be left holding the bag when his value evaporates completely.

Derrick Henry (RB – TEN)

This one almost feels like a given, but the one running back I’m trying to sell in all dynasty formats is Derrick Henry. Depending on your league, this could be a tough one. A lot of people are already on board with the thinking that Henry is due for some serious regression this year, so you might not have great offers to pick from just yet, but that’s okay. Dynasty is a long game, remember?

The reason Henry is on this list as a “sell high” is because as soon as he takes the field and plays a game, his value should return to normal. Once he starts putting up fantasy points, managers who need RB help to make a playoff push should come calling, and that’s when you strike. For me, Henry is a sell high but hold for now, which can be tricky if you’re not patient. Henry is still going to be a solid RB1 in fantasy, and if you’re rebuilding, you can wait until he reminds others of that before you move him.

Nick Chubb (RB – CLE)

Nick Chubb is another tricky one for me. In general, selling high implies that the value of the player can’t possibly get higher, but that’s not always how I view it. Chubb has RB1 overall potential, but he hasn’t had much of an opportunity to show it with teammate Kareem Hunt (RB – CLE) taking some of his carries. The offseason is prime RB-selling season, and there’s probably someone in your league that likes Chubb even more than you do, which is why it’s worth poking around even before the season starts.

While Chubb could be a top 3 dynasty asset in a year, he could also fall off the cliff that hits a lot of running backs. Chubb is 25 and on the last year of his rookie contract, meaning he will be looking to get paid this next offseason. We’ve seen teams resign backs with similar production like Joe Mixon and Zeke Elliott, but we’ve also seen contract holdouts affect production with Melvin Gordon and Le’Veon Bell. It might be best to avoid the drama altogether and find someone willing to pay up for Chubb sooner rather than later.

Davante Adams (WR – GB)

Obviously, Davante Adams is on this list for reasons similar to Aaron Rodgers, but I think Adams has a higher price along with a safer floor. Even if Green Bay changes quarterbacks, Adams is a solid WR1 option that should be somewhat insulated from a substantial value drop. That being said, his value would drop if something changes, so it might be best to get ahead of it and sell him for his “WR1 in dynasty” value while you still can.

Adams should be able to get you a king’s ransom in return, even with all the talk about Rodgers at the moment. If your team is set to contend, you might be able to move down at WR and add a flex RB to help with bye weeks down the stretch. If you’re rebuilding, you can look to pivot to draft picks or younger players to gain depth and plan for the future. Either way, Adams should carry plenty of value in a trade now, and it might not be a bad idea to move on if the offer is right.

Julio Jones (WR – ATL)

This one hurts my soul. Falcons receiver Julio Jones is one of those guys that I feel like I’ve had on every single dynasty roster at some point. He just produces when he’s on the field, and he’s on the field a lot, even when he’s hurt. But he is getting up there in age, and wide receivers over 30 rarely go up in value in dynasty, even if they do put up consistent fantasy production. So doesn’t that mean you missed the window to “sell high” on him? Well, kind of.

The best time to sell Julio was yesterday. The worst time is tomorrow. He’s one of those players that you can’t give away in some leagues, so I’ll admit, he’s not exactly a perfect fit for a “sell high” list. But to me, Julio is still someone that can be a starter for a dynasty team, and if you can find the right team, it might be best to trade him away as soon as you can. Better late than never, I suppose, since his value isn’t likely to go up anytime soon.

Amari Cooper (WR – DAL)

The Cowboys finally paid their franchise quarterback in Dak Prescott. They also signed Zeke to a long-term deal before last season and gave Amari a great contract as well. They spent a lot of money on this trio of players. But then they drafted CeeDee Lamb in the 2020 NFL draft. Why would they do that? They already have Cooper as their X receiver. Did they really need another one in Lamb? Well, yes and no. The Cowboys are one of those teams that loves a good headline, and they thrive on drama. To me, this points to a potential situation where Cooper is the odd man out.

Cooper is likely to fetch a solid trade return in dynasty at the moment, largely due to his production, him only being 26, and his lengthy contract. But the writing is kind of on the wall here. America’s team might be in cap hell after this season and could look to move Cooper in a trade to another team. Combine that with Cooper’s inconsistent history, and it’s possible that his dynasty value could be at its peak even before the season starts. I’d look to move him now for younger or more proven assets regardless of team makeup. It never hurts to try, at least.

Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL)

I’ll be honest. This one was just too easy. Tight ends rarely produce as rookies, and there hasn’t been a rookie tight end for dynasty even close to that of Kyle Pitts. He was drafted 4th overall, highest ever for a tight end, to a team that has a lot of offensive firepower in the Falcons, but they could be on the verge of a massive rebuild if things start poorly this year. Pitts might be generational, but can he withstand a massive transition as a young player? Too soon to say.

All that aside, Pitts is going VERY early in both startup and rookie drafts already. He’s a perfect candidate for someone you draft, wait a week, and trade away for more value. So how do we know when is the best time to sell him if his value could still go up? Well, for one thing, there’s not much room for his value to get much higher, at least in the short term. I’d much rather wait to see if he’s worth the cost and pay for him then than buy him at his ceiling, hoping he pays off. Someone in your league loves Pitts, and they’ll gladly overpay for him. Trust me.

Let me know what you think of these sell high targets on Twitter, @AndrewHallFF, and stick with FantasyPros through the rest of the offseason leading up to Week 1. There is plenty of analysis, rankings, and ADP data to check out, and it’s always updated with the latest to help you win your title and dominate your own league!

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