Team-By-Team Dynasty Roundup: AFC East (2021 Fantasy Football)
There’s a new sheriff in town in the AFC East, and it’s the Buffalo Bills. Led by Josh Allen, the Bills won their first division title since 1995 and snapped New England’s 11-year streak atop the division.
The AFC East features plenty of questions from a dynasty perspective, particularly at quarterback. Can Allen deliver an encore performance in 2021, after finishing as last season’s QB1? Will Tua Tagovailoa take the next step in Year 2 with better weapons? And what are the long-term prospects of rookies Zach Wilson and Mac Jones?
We’ll answer these and plenty of other questions in this AFC East dynasty roundup.
Dynasty Stock Watch
QB Josh Allen | Stock: Up
Allen took a huge leap in 2020, throwing for 4,544 yards and 37 touchdowns while rushing for eight more scores. At 24 years old, it seems he’s just getting started.
RB1 Devin Singletary | Stock: Down
RB2 Zack Moss | Stock: Down
The Bills backfield is clearly a committee and an ugly one at that. Moss offers some upside around the goal line. But with Matt Breida coming aboard, this is a backfield I’m steering clear of.
WR Stefon Diggs | Stock: Up
Diggs is a stud and was finally treated like one in Buffalo. His arrival made Josh Allen a better quarterback. At 27, Diggs is squarely in his prime and should be coveted as a high-end WR1.
WR Cole Beasley | Stock: Neutral
Beasley’s a nice slot weapon who actually became a favorite of Allen’s. He hauled in 82 passes and finished as the WR31 in full PPR leagues. He’s a decent short-term depth option.
WR Emmanuel Sanders | Stock: Down
Sanders didn’t make much of an impact in New Orleans last season. At age 34, I wouldn’t waste a roster spot.
TE Dawson Knox | Stock: Down
After a 24-catch, 288-yard season, Knox is an afterthought aside from very deep formats.
Bold 2021 Dynasty Prediction: Zack Moss becomes Buffalo’s lead back but finishes as an RB3. The writing seems to be on the wall for this, as Moss and Singletary were almost even in touches during the second half of the season. However, Singletary and Breida will be in the mix enough to ensure none of these guys are viable fantasy players. Stay away from this backfield.
Dynasty Stock Watch
QB Tua Tagovailoa | Stock: Neutral
Tagovailoa did what most rookie quarterbacks do: struggle. But when you’re in the same draft class as Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert, Tua’s rough rookie season has him deemed as a bust by many. The pressure’s on, but I still believe. Tua has traits that remind me of Russell Wilson, and he could be a buy-low candidate in dynasty leagues.
RB Myles Gaskin | Stock: Neutral
It appears the Dolphins are actually going to let it ride with Gaskin. He’s a pedestrian running back who has low-end RB2 value with a full workload.
WR DeVante Parker | Stock: Down
Parker can be occasionally special, but he’s mainly a headache to own.
WR Will Fuller | Stock: Neutral
Speaking of headaches to own! I’ve always been a Will Fuller seller, and I’m not changing my tune this year.
WR Jaylen Waddle | Stock: Up
Finally! A wide receiver worth having in Miami. Waddle has Tyreek Hill traits and reconnects with his old college QB. Then again, so did Henry Ruggs III. But Waddle is a more refined prospect. He should be one of the top three rookie receivers taken and has high long-term upside.
TE Mike Gesicki | Stock: Neutral
Gesicki is a solid tight end you can get by with. I’d prefer someone with more upside but can stomach him as my TE1.
Bold 2021 Dynasty Prediction: Waddle leads the Dolphins in receiving. This could happen almost by default, as Parker and Fuller are both injury-prone wideouts. But Waddle’s talent is legit.
Dynasty Stock Watch
QB Cam Newton | Stock: Down
Newton likely starts the season for New England but is merely a bridge to Mac Jones. Sadly, Newton’s best years are behind him.
QB Mac Jones | Stock: Neutral
I’m not a huge fan of Jones as a prospect, but it’s hard not to be intrigued when you pair him with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. He’d be my fifth QB off the board in rookie drafts.
RB Damien Harris | Stock: Neutral
You might hear some people hype up Harris this summer. I won’t be one of them. He’s a decent player who screams RB3 to me. Plus, owning New England running backs is rarely fun.
RB James White | Stock: Down
The Patriots re-signed White this offseason to play his usual pass-catching role. However, without Tom Brady in town, this role isn’t nearly as viable as it was. I’ll pass on White in all scenarios.
WR Nelson Agholor | Stock: Up
I’m actually kind of bullish on Agholor. It’s hard to envision another eight-touchdown season. But he could deliver WR3 value. He’s the only fantasy-relevant receiver on this team right now.
TE Jonnu Smith | Stock: Neutral
TE Hunter Henry| Stock: Neutral
Bold 2021 Dynasty Prediction: Neither Smith nor Henry finish as top 10 tight ends. I’ve never been a big fan of Smith, and Henry’s durability issues can’t be overlooked. While pairing Smith and Henry together may help the Patriots offensively, I suspect this will be a nightmare situation for fantasy owners to navigate.
Dynasty Stock Watch
QB Zach Wilson | Stock: Neutral
I’m optimistic about Wilson. He’s got all the arm talent in the world, and the Jets have already done more to help him than they ever did for Sam Darnold. Plus, he already has familiarity with the West Coast offense the Jets will deploy.
RB Tevin Coleman | Stock: Neutral
Tevin Coleman is just a guy. If you want to argue his stock is up because he’ll likely be the starter in the Big Apple, be my guest. I just don’t think he’s very good.
RB Michael Carter | Stock: Neutral
Carter strikes me as a complementary back at the next level, but that doesn’t mean he can’t be a very good one. Carter has great burst and runs hard for his size. He also is a talented pass catcher. He’ll likely be a Round 2 pick in rookie drafts.
WR Corey Davis | Stock: Neutral
Davis put up good numbers in a contract year, but he feels more like a low-end WR2.
WR Denzel Mims | Stock: Neutral
Mims has a ton of potential and a ton to prove in Year 2. The top priority is to stay healthy.
WR Elijah Moore | Stock: Up
The Jets were widely praised for landing a first-round talent in Moore at the beginning of Round 2. Moore has explosive playmaking abilities and could be the best Jets receiver to own long-term. He could serve as this offense’s version of Deebo Samuel. Tons of upside here.
TE Chris Herndon | Stock: Down
Between durability and hands issues, Herndon’s got a pretty short leash in New York.
Bold 2021 Dynasty Prediction: Wilson leads the rookie class in passing in 2021. He’ll most likely be the starter in Week 1, and the Jets quietly have assembled a pretty solid offense around him. Wilson’s familiarity with New York’s offense is also a plus. Oh, and Adam Gase is long gone. There are reasons to be optimistic about the Jets’ offense for a change.
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