Fantasy Basketball Rankings: Dynasty Trade Value Chart (July 2021 Update)
The NBA Draft is just three weeks away, and we’re in the thick of the Eastern Conference Finals, waiting to see who faces the Suns in the NBA Finals. It’s an exciting time of year for dynasty managers, and because of that, I wanted to change things up a bit in this month’s Dynasty Trade Value Chart.
Rather than post an overall chart and a chart for rebuilding teams, I’m just posting the overall chart with 35 new players included: rookies. We won’t know which teams these guys will play for until the Draft on July 24, but for now, we can speculate on their trade value based on potential ceiling. I’ll post an updated chart next month a little later into August after major free agency moves have been made and the Draft is in the rearview. Including rookies in this chart is a good exercise in determining the value you might place on a first-round draft pick in your trade negotiations leading up to the draft. Team fit and opportunity matter, so these values are subject to change.
So, how were these values calculated? My initial attempt focused on:
- Number of years remaining
- Top-10 seasons remaining
- Top-30 seasons remaining
- Top-50 seasons remaining
- Top-100 seasons remaining
There’s no way to know these things in advance, so I did my best guess work based on past success, current situation, age, skillset, and potential. After sharing these rankings with a couple of friends who really know their basketball, it was pointed out to me that I had failed to take current elite performance into account.
So, I used the initial criteria outlined above and added one more:
- Top-10 seasons within the next three years
This helped to close the gap between older guys who will put up elite numbers now (James Harden, Stephen Curry, Damian Lillard) and guys who will hit their primes after that. Each of these criteria were given a points value, totaled, and then divided by 2.5 so the final values weren’t astronomical. The value of a top-10 season is worth more than the value of a top-30 season, and so on.
Remaining seasons was also something I had to play with a bit. I settled on subtracting players’ ages from 35 — a roundabout age that might be reasonable for players to retire. Some guys had to be tweaked to account for skills like excellent shooting (Curry) and lack of extensive injury history (LeBron James) that would lend themselves to years played beyond the age of 35. There was no exact science here, but to keep things fair, the baseline retirement age was 35.
Players are listed by position, team, age, and value, but you can sort and search any way you’d like. I’ll be updating the charts the first week of each month, so if you want to know how the value of a particular player has changed since the last update, be sure to check it out.
If you have any questions or comments, please hit me up on Twitter @ZaktheMonster.