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Overvalued & Undervalued Players: Week 3 (2021 Fantasy Football)

Sep 25, 2021
James Robinson

Raise your hand if you find yourself in full panic mode after starting the season 0-2. If the usage of Alvin Kamara, Ezekiel Elliot, and/or James Robinson has driven you to moderate chronic nausea in the last two weeks, you’re in the right place. If you were ecstatic to land Brandon Aiyuk or Marquez Callaway in your draft just to watch them combine for four more catches than I do through two weeks, don’t worry, this is a safe space. We’ll get through it together. Maybe.

Here are some guys that the rankings have a bit too high and a bit too low heading into Week 3. Some rankings are still reflecting draft ADP, while some others are in “just has to give” territory. As a reminder, these rankings are based on our Expert Consensus Half-PPR rankings.

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Quarterbacks

Overvalued

Tom Brady (TB): QB8
Brady has been absolutely incredible to start the season, averaging 28.4 fantasy points in each of his first two starts and throwing for nine total touchdowns and two interceptions. That will likely be more the norm than the exception, but Brady faces a solid Rams defense in Week 3. The Rams haven’t allowed more than 16.6 points to opposing quarterbacks so far this season, though to be fair they played against Andy Dalton and Carson Wentz/Jacob Eason. I think Brady cools off a bit this week, but he plays the Patriots in Week 4 and may score 90,000 fantasy points in that game.

Undervalued

Daniel Jones (NYG): QB12
I know. I feel dirty even writing the first few words of this. The Giants have the capacity to be gross. Daniel Jones is not an exciting play. However, he is currently the QB5, has over 21 fantasy points in both games, averages 61 rushing yards per game, and, most importantly, the Falcons are the worst in the league against opposing QBs giving up over 28 points per game. It’s not pretty, and I would hide my eyes before that game is over, but he is objectively a good play, somehow.

Running Backs

Overvalued

Alvin Kamara (NO): RB4
My heart says that the Saints will figure out and feed Kamara because he only saw 12 touches and 30 total yards last week against the Panthers in a blowout loss. My head says that the Saints just don’t know what’s going on in general and, for some reason, Kamara still won’t see enough touches, plus the Patriots will game plan to stop him. Kamara can’t be benched, but I’m tempering expectations until the Saints give me a reason to think otherwise.

Undervalued

James Robinson (JAX): RB24
Every week I have a “this just feels right” pick, and this week it’s Robinson. He has had a very turbulent start to the season and hasn’t broken 10 PPR fantasy points yet. He is still, however, playing 69% of the RB snaps, and that should continue at a minimum, albeit in a tough matchup against Arizona. The Jaguars as a whole have been awful, and some time soon they have to force-feed Robinson in an effort to get the offense going.

Wide Receivers

Overvalued

A.J. Brown (TEN): WR12
I don’t have a ton to say here. Brown has historically been a big-play receiver, and while he absolutely has the capacity to see double-digit targets, he only has seven catches this season and hasn’t broken 50 yards yet. He is always an upside candidate, but I’d like to see some consistent involvement before treating him like the almost-top-tier receiver that fits his reputation.

Undervalued

Courtland Sutton (DEN): WR24
After an almost non-existent Week 1, Sutton erupted in Week 2 with 9 receptions on 12 targets for 159 yards. Part of that was likely due to the Jaguars defense being atrocious, but the injury to Jerry Jeudy undoubtedly helped Sutton’s involvement. If you had to pick a team you’d like your players to face, who is it, and why is it the Jets? The Broncos offense should keep clicking in Week 3 and Sutton should be at the center of it. Also, I think Teddy Bridgewater might be actually good?

Tight Ends

Undervalued

Kyle Pitts (ATL): TE6
The Giants have allowed touchdowns to opposing tight ends each week this season and are currently 28th against tight ends, plus the Kyle Pitts welcome party is still pending. Pitts has averaged seven targets per game this season, and he put up 73 yards last week. The stars are aligning for Pitts to finally erupt.

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Donald Gibson is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Donald, check out his archive and follow him @DonaldGibsonFF.

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