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Weighing Jalen Hurts vs. Miles Sanders Tonight on TopProp

by Raju Byfield | @FantasyContext | Featured Writer
Sep 27, 2021

Sunday is in the books, and the sweats have begun at TopProp Fantasy Sports. The best way to challenge your friends (or rivals) and add a new layer of competition, TopProp adds another dimension to traditional season-long fantasy leagues. Let’s take a look at our plans for Week 3. 

TopProp allows users to create bonus point based contests between two teams within your league. There is also the option to create a contest between two teams in a public or experts league. And remember to enter the referral code ‘FantasyPros’ when you sign up for a chance to win a signed Christian McCaffrey jersey.

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Sunday is in the books, and the sweats have begun at TopProp Fantasy Sports. The best way to challenge your friends (or rivals) and add a new layer of competition, TopProp adds another dimension to traditional season-long fantasy leagues. Let’s take a look at our plans for Week 3. 

The Challenge

In our FantasyPros Insider league, there are some interesting contests we can create at TopProp Fantasy Sports. With Sunday’s action wrapped up, there are still a few sweats going on in our FantasyPros Insider league. 

Another week, another litany of injuries wreaking havoc on football teams, and as a result on fantasy football squads matchups as well. While there are more than a few matchup options to choose from, pitting two of the top scorers who still have players left to play on Monday night is often the most exciting option. 

The Strategy

The Tragically Up are nursing a healthy lead on The Michael Red Wolves heading into Monday night. The 14.2 point deficit combined with Miles Sanders‘ season average of 10.85 fantasy points should have The Tragically Up feeling like they are well-positioned to win this contest. The four point bonus would still require Jalen Hurts to score 21.06 fantasy points, but that is something that he hit just once this season despite his 25.28 fantasy points per game mark. 

Miles Sanders is an effective big play back but has enough success rate issues that a reduced workload significantly affects his weekly upside. He can break off a 20-30 yard run at a moment’s notice but is also susceptible to getting nothing more than three yards and a cloud of dust on a large portion of his carries. 

The presence of Jalen Hurts and Kenneth Gainwell also limits his potential upside. Jalen Hurts helps open lanes for Sanders but is enough of a rushing threat that Sanders sees fewer carries than he would likely see otherwise. Sanders has seen 65 percent of the backfield carries but just 46.6 percent of the team’s rushing attempts overall. 

Hurts is a powerful runner and is always a threat to steal some highly valuable short-yardage and goal line carries, which, of course, limits Sanders’ potential fantasy production. It is bad enough when you have a talented rookie nipping at your heels, but when your quarterback is arguably the superior power option, your weekly floor gets lowered. 

Then there is the presence of Kenneth Gainwell. As mentioned earlier, Gainwell has seen 35 percent of the backfield carries and is an excellent receiver who will see his passing game role expand, to Sanders’ detriment, on a weekly basis. Gainwell is the only Eagles back to score a rushing touchdown through two weeks of play and is already seeing 35 percent of the snaps. 

However, the strategy for this week is not all about the player on our opponent’s team. Jalen Hurts disappointed enough with his zero touchdown Week 2 that his fantasy projection for Week 3 stayed lower than it would have otherwise, so there is value to be had there. Hurts’ rushing production has the favorable correlative effect of taking carries away from the player on The Tragically Up’s team. 

The Dallas Cowboys defense is severely depleted heading into tonight’s contest, and while Trevon Diggs has taken a step forward this season, the Cowboys will still be without three Week 1 starters in defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence, safety Donovan Wilson, and hybrid linebacker Keanu Neal. Dallas has surrendered the second-most passing yards per game at 358.5 and has allowed 2.5 passing touchdowns per game this season. Hurts should have a nice bounce back in the passing department against such a vulnerable defense. 

The Play: Jalen Hurts has a big day through the air and on the ground against a depleted and shaky Cowboys defense. 

The Fade: Miles Sanders sees his fantasy point upside capped by Jalen Hurts siphoning carries and potential goal line looks while also having to deal with the talented Kenneth Gainwell stealing touches. 

The Prediction: Jalen Hurts outscores Miles Sanders by 10.3 points or more — bringing Red Wolves into the winner’s circle for Monday night. 

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Raju Byfield is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Raju, check out his profile and follow him @FantasyContext.

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