It’s Thursday, and you know what that means.
Buy low, sell high is one of the oldest terms in fantasy, but it’s more involved than that. You have to look at the “low” and “high” of it to make sure you’re maximizing value. We can also buy the player but question the team and role they are in when it comes to maintaining the pace they are on.
Most importantly, here, with any call you make, you have to be willing to lose the deal or accept that you made the wrong call. It happens all the time when we think we are selling at the highest value, only for that player to buck the trend and play like a stud in the future.
Now that you have an idea of what to expect for this column week to week let’s get to the players.
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Buy
Mo Bamba (ORL – C)
Certain players start to get major hype in the preseason and often fail to live up to their increased ADP. Not Mo Bamba. No, not in the slightest.
Bamba always had the raw talent, but we questioned whether or not he could put it all together. Well, folks, this is what a breakout looks like.
A month into the season, Bamba is the 19th ranked player in fantasy, averaging 11.7 points, 8.8 boards, 1.8 assists, and 2.2 blocks per game while shooting 50 percent from the field.
What’s more, he made Kevin Durant look silly on this baseline dunk.
BAMBA https://t.co/ZSl7HLtWWY pic.twitter.com/Eg45jE1BEM
– Kevin O’Connor (@KevinOConnorNBA) November 11, 2021
Will Barton (DEN – SG/SF)
Barton isn’t a top 20 player like Bamba, but he is 33rd so far on the year. No Jamal Murray helps, of course, but with Michael Porter Jr. out for an extended period, Barton will have a chance to be the second or third option on offense most nights for the Nuggets besides Nikola Jokić.
Barton is shooting at a 49 percent clip, averaging 17.5 points and more than two three-pointers per game. His usage is the highest since 2015-2016, and I don’t expect it to regress any time soon.
Evan Mobley (CLE – PF/C)
I love Cade Cunningham. Love him. He’s going to be a special talent. That said, Mobley was my favorite player in the NBA Draft. Would I have picked him No. 1 overall in real life? Probably not, but what he’s provided so far is beyond what I hoped he’d be at this point in his career.
He’s a true difference-maker on the defensive side of the ball, as he leads the league in contested shots with 186. The next closest is 147 by some guy named Giannis Antetokounmpo.
That’s real life, though, but Mobley’s game has transitioned super well to fantasy, too. He’s the 38th-ranked player on the season so far, as he’s scoring 15.3 points per game with 7.9 rebounds. He’s going to be a top 40 player all season.
Sell
Georges Niang (PHI – SF/PF)
This is an easy one. I mean, Niang is a top 75 player so far, but he’s rostered in fewer than 35 percent of leagues. Nevertheless, he’s scored in double figures in six straight games – including two games where he scored 21 points.
But this Sixers team is extremely shorthanded – but also extremely fun to watch. They are without Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons, Tobias Harris, and Seth Curry. As long as they are playing guys like Niang in big minutes, you can stream him if you want, but he will go back to being a role player in short order.
Kyle Lowry (MIA – PG)
Lowry in Miami is a great fit, and back-to-back double-doubles are a great sign for his fantasy managers. However, with his minutes down and his age up, I don’t know if he’s going to return value as the 68th player off the board in drafts. It’s more likely that this Heat team continues to manage his minutes for a playoff run, which keeps Lowry closer to being a top 100 player than a top 60 player.
Montrezl Harrell (WAS – PF/C)
I’ve watched a few Wizards games this year because I love watching Spencer Dinwiddie play basketball. I’ve noticed how superb Harrell has been on the court for the Wizards, and it’s translated over to fantasy, making him the 23rd overall player so far in the season.
Much of the damage that Harrell has done has been without a fully healthy Daniel Gafford and Thomas Bryant. Gafford is back and picking up steam, and Bryant should be back by the end of the year. No matter how good Harrell is playing now, there’s going to be a logjam, which will only hurt his fantasy numbers. Now is the time to sell.
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Michael Waterloo is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Michael, check out his archive and follow him @MichaelWaterloo.
