Feast or Famine: Jamaal Williams, Foster Moreau, Cole Kmet (2021 Fantasy Football)
In this column, I analyze players with some of the most considerable variances (standard deviations) in the individual PPR rankings by my FantasyPros colleagues. Hopefully, these comparative assessments against the rankings will aid with fantasy lineup decisions, and I will try to include less obvious and trending players when possible. If you like my work, please follow me on Twitter.
Brandon Aiyuk – (WR – SF)
ECR: WR21 – STDEV 3.5
This week, Brandon Aiyuk is an immensely palatable play as he will eat in Deebo Samuel‘s absence. Aiyuk has become fantasy relevant again following a slow start to the season, going for over 85 yards in three of his last four games and finishing among the Top 10 wide receivers in two of them. Treat Aiyuk as a WR2 with upside in this winnable spot against a Seattle Seahawks defense he torched for 8-91-1 in this matchup last year- a feat he accomplished with QB Nick Mullens at the helm for most of the game.
Jamaal Williams – (RB – DET)
ECR: RB18 – STDEV 5.4
If starter D’Andre Swift doesn’t play, backup RB Jamaal Williams becomes a virtual must-start. Swift has already missed two practices this week with a shoulder injury and isn’t likely to suit up. Williams saw a season-high 15 carries for 65 yards and caught all five of his targets for 18 yards when Swift exited the game early last week. The Detroit Lions face a Minnesota Vikings defense surrendering over 100 rushing yards per game, the third-highest in the league. Williams is a proven asset and will have a high floor based on workload alone if he serves as the feature back.
Foster Moreau – (TE – LV)
ECR: TE17 – STDEV 5.4
Darren Waller missed practice with a knee injury the last couple of days, and his status for Week 13 is questionable. Foster Moreau will become a Top 12 option at tight end if Waller doesn’t play, considering the Raiders are short on pass-catching options. Moreau came up big when Waller was a scratch in Week 7, hauling in all six of his targets for 60 yards and a touchdown. This week’s opponent, the Washington Football Team, has allowed the tenth-most receptions to the position, and Derek Carr shouldn’t have a problem slinging it as the team also relinquishes the third-most passing yards per game.
Emmanuel Sanders– (WR – BUF)
ECR: WR41 – STDEV 4.7
It’s been a tale of two halves for Emmanuel Sanders, who was on fire for the first six weeks of the season but has cooled off lately. Both Dawson Knox and Cole Beasley are healthy again, clearly impacting his value, in addition to Gabriel Davis seeing additional opportunities over the last five weeks. A Week 13 resurgence is unlikely for Sanders against the Patriots’ top-four ranked defense against wide-outs.
Cole Kmet– (TE – CHI)
ECR: TE19 – STDEV 3.0
Cole Kmet is coming off his best game of the season, catching eight of 11 targets for 65 yards on Thanksgiving. It was an excellent showing for the second-year tight end, who veteran QB Andy Dalton peppered with check-down passes. Keeping the momentum going will be a challenging task for Kmet, though, as Justin Fields should return this weekend, and the Cardinals have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game (4.1) to TEs this year.
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