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Stefon Diggs Primed for Positive Regression (2022 Fantasy Football)

Jun 30, 2022
Stefon Diggs

Andrew Erickson is here to tell you why Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs is primed for position regression in 2022.

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Diggs’ 6% boom rate was a far cry from his 31% boom rate in 2020. The Bills’ No. 1 WR is primed for positive regression.

Stefon Diggs 2022 Fantasy Football Outlook

2021 was a somewhat odd season for Stefon Diggs as his fantasy production took a step back from his first season in Buffalo. His 29% target share fell to 24% as did his yards per route run (2.5 versus 1.8). This resulted in Diggs finishing with just two games with at least 90 receiving yards, a dramatic decrease from his ten 90-plus yard outings during the 2020 regular season.

He finished as a top-15 WR just once through the first nine weeks of the season but improved down the stretch as Buffalo’s offense hit its stride. He had three top-10 finishes as the WR8 in fantasy points per game in half-point scoring (14.8).

Still, top-5 upside still exists with Diggs in this explosive Bills offense even if his target share holds at 24% in 2022. Because his command of high-value targets in the Buffalo offense was unmatched by almost every other WR in the NFL.

He was one of just two WRs to hit over 2,000 air yards (Justin Jefferson). Diggs also commanded the most end-zone targets in the NFL (25) during the regular season – six more than the next closest receiver (Justin Jefferson).

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