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4 Running Back Value Picks at ADP (2022 Fantasy Football)

Aug 12, 2022
Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt is a value pick in drafts even if he does get traded away from Cleveland.

Taking a look at our average draft position (ADP) and practicing mock drafts in Draft Wizard’s Mock Draft Simulator are great ways to develop a sense of when the players you seek might come off the board. Not only that, but understanding each player’s range of outcomes will allow you to judge whether each one is fairly priced, undervalued or overvalued relative to their ADP. Which players do our featured analysts believe are going too late? Read on to see some of their favorite undervalued draft targets.

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4 Running Back Value Picks at ADP

Kareem Hunt (CLE): Consensus ADP – RB29 | 78th Overall
“Kareem Hunt has never finished lower than RB30 in half-PPR fantasy points per game since arriving in Cleveland in 2019, per FantasyData. Sitting at RB29 in ADP, Hunt is a phenomenal pick no matter what comes of his rumored trade request. We have seen him in his career prove it as the dominant bell cow (half-PPR RB4 overall in 2017 with the Kansas City Chiefs) and as the 1B to teammate Nick Chubb. Take advantage of the ambiguity of his situation; it’s a true win-win whether he stays the 1B or goes elsewhere and becomes a backfield leader.”

Breece Hall (NYJ): Consensus ADP – RB20 | 43rd Overall
“An RB prospect as good as Breece Hall shouldn’t be going this late in drafts. Hall has good size (5-11, 217), he had a terrific three-year college stint at Iowa State (3,941 rushing yards. 56 TDs), he put on a show at the combine with his freaky speed and athleticism, and he’s a capable pass catcher. Hall is at least as good a prospect as Najee Harris was, and Harris was immensely impactful last season. It’s very likely that at this time next year, Hall will be a consensus first-round fantasy pick and we’ll be trying to remember why his ADP was so low in 2021.”
Pat Fitzmaurice

Elijah Mitchell (SF): Consensus ADP – RB23 | 46th Overall
“Elijah Mitchell averaged 20.6 touches, and 100 total yards per game as a rookie. He’s currently being drafted as RB23 (46th overall). I’d say that’s pretty good value. Sure, the 49ers backfield can be sketchy for fantasy, but the potential volume/upside Mitchell presents in the fifth round is too good to pass on. ”
Tim Brosnan

J.K. Dobbins (BAL): Consensus ADP – RB24 | 52nd Overall
“J.K. Dobbins. Finally off the PUP list after begging to be removed from it for weeks, Dobbins’ massive potential is not yet reflected in his ADP. Dobbins may not be a big factor in the passing game, but he is the clear lead back on a potent offense that could run the ball more than any other team in the league. He should also get plenty of red zone carries and brings huge TD potential to the table. Remember, before last summer’s ACL tear, Dobbins averaged a whopping 6.0 yards per carry as a rookie.”
Andrew Seifter

Beyond our fantasy football content, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you prepare for your draft this season. From our free mock Draft Simulator – which allows you to mock draft against realistic opponents – to our Draft Assistant – which optimizes your picks with expert advice – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football draft season.

Thanks to the experts for sharing their advice! For more of their insight, be sure to follow each pundit on Twitter (click their names above) and visit their respective sites.

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