Taking a look at our average draft position (ADP) and practicing mock drafts in Draft Wizard’s Mock Draft Simulator are great ways to develop a sense of when the players you seek might come off the board. Not only that, but understanding each player’s range of outcomes will allow you to judge whether each one is fairly priced, undervalued or overvalued relative to their ADP. Which players do our featured analysts believe are going too late? Read on to see some of their favorite undervalued draft targets.
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4 Wide Receiver Value Picks at ADP
Mike Williams (LAC): Consensus ADP – WR19 | 51st Overall
“Mike Williams was the WR1 in half-PPR scoring through the first five weeks of the 2021 season (just ahead of Cooper Kupp), piling up 31-471-6 over that stretch. But Williams tweaked his knee in Week 5, and his productivity slowed down for more than a month before picking up gain down the stretch. The 6-4 Williams has a giant wingspan that makes him a lethal red-zone threat. And while he won’t melt stopwatches with his speed, Williams makes more than his share of big plays, as evidenced by his career average of 16.1 yards per catch. Keenan Allen isn’t the Chargers receiver you should be chasing in drafts this year.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Jalen Tolbert (DAL): Consensus ADP – WR64 | 174th Overall
“With Michael Gallup slated to miss (at minimum) the very beginning of the 2022 NFL season while recovering from last year’s ACL injury, and with James Washington sidelined by a broken foot, there is nothing standing in the way of Jalen Tolbert seizing the WR2 spot on the Cowboys depth chart to begin 2022. Going off the board at WR65, the 2022 third-round draft pick is a great low-risk/high-reward player walking into Pro Football Focus’ (PFF) top-graded offense and sixth-graded passing offense from last season. His price is inexpensive enough that you can easily move on if he busts early.”
– Herms
Beyond our fantasy football content, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you prepare for your draft this season. From our free mock Draft Simulator – which allows you to mock draft against realistic opponents – to our Draft Assistant – which optimizes your picks with expert advice – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football draft season.
Michael Thomas (NO): Consensus ADP – WR27 | 68th Overall
“Michael Thomas. Just two seasons removed from finishing as WR1 overall, Thomas is ranked below players like AJ Dillon (54th overall) and Amari Cooper (63rd overall)? No offense to those players, but neither has proven his league-winning upside the way Thomas has. Of course, the risk associated with drafting him is baked into his ADP. All I’m saying is, a healthy MT has never finished lower than WR7 (PPR) in any full season he has played.”
– Tim Brosnan
Allen Robinson (LAR): Consensus ADP – WR26 | 66th Overall
“Allen Robinson. Yes, Robinson had a thoroughly disappointing final season in Chicago, but you have to believe it was because he already had one foot out the door. Motivation will not be an issue while suiting up for the defending Super Bowl champions, and it also doesn’t hurt that Robinson will be getting a huge upgrade in QB and coaching staff. Cooper Kupp will remain the alpha in L.A., but Sean McVay’s teams have regularly supported two top-24 fantasy receivers, and that is an even safer bet ever since Matthew Stafford came on board.”
– Andrew Seifter
Thanks to the experts for sharing their advice! For more of their insight, be sure to follow each pundit on Twitter (click their names above) and visit their respective sites.
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