This is the time of year when hype grows. Coaches speak highly of all players. Everyone is in the best shape of their life. However, it’s important to dig deep and determine which players are entering the season overrated and overvalued in fantasy football leagues. Let’s take a look at a few overrated players.
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ECR WR51
If you’re looking at Jakobi Meyers’ ECR (WR57) and wondering why I picked him as overrated, it’s simple. He was not an efficient player last year despite finishing as the WR35. The Patriots brought in competition for targets this year. Meyers ranked 46th in yards per route run, 46th in fantasy points per route run, and 78th in fantasy points per target. With Tyquan Thornton and DeVante Parker now in town, I’ll take shots on other receivers in range of that range of a fantasy draft.
– Derek Brown
ECR WR49
WR Elijah Moore studded it up over his final six games last year with 34-459-5 receiving on 51 targets (plus 4-35-0 rushing), and the Jets this offseason brought in RB Breece Hall and TEs C.J. Uzomah, Tyler Conklin and Jeremy Ruckert. Garrett Wilson has first-round draft capital, but he might not break 100 targets.
– Matthew Freedman
ECR WR25
Upgrading from Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater to Russell Wilson is great for Jerry Jeudy, but we have to remember that he is still an unproven fantasy commodity. Great route-running and separation skills aside, he hasn’t scored many fantasy points over the last two seasons. And that’s not the case with every Denver receiver, because Tim Patrick‘s production over the last two seasons earned him a three-year, $34.5 million contract extension. Even so, Jeudy should easily experience his best NFL season to date in 2022, but it may not be as great as some die-hard Jeudy stans would care to admit. There are a lot of weapons in Denver, and predicting Wilson’s best option on a week-to-week basis was often a challenge when it was only between DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. As with those Seahawks receivers, there are going to be inconsistent weeks from Jeudy. And his lack of red-zone usage makes him more susceptible to bust games without having a touchdown opportunity to fall back on. If you want an exemplary route runner that could lead his team in targets but likely disappoint in the touchdown column — then just draft Jakobi Meyers in the double-digit rounds.
– Andrew Erickson
ECR WR32
JuJu Smith-Schuster’s current ranking as the WR32 in ECR is due to the “Patrick Mahomes effect”. This is spicy for a player who has seen his yards per route run decrease in each of the last four seasons, and his YAC per reception also fall in every season of his career (per PFF). Unfortunately, TikTok legend status won’t fill up the stat sheet or earn him more targets. Bypass Smith-Schuster and target Skyy Moore (WR57) later in drafts.
– Derek Brown
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ECR WR39
The Atlanta Falcons gave up an absurd amount of sacks last year and that offensive line has made little improvement year over year. Marcus Mariota has never developed as a passer at the NFL level as scouts had hoped. This is a terrible recipe for a rookie WR to make a fantasy impact, even one as talented as Drake London.
– Joe Pisapia
ECR WR14
Stop trying to make D.J. Moore WR1 SZN a thing. Because unless prime Jake Delhomme is playing quarterback for the Panthers this season, the play under center in Carolina will prevent Moore from being anything more than a fantasy WR2 — as he has been every single season of his NFL career.
– Andrew Erickson
ECR WR22
Allen Robinson looked completely cooked last season. We’ve been down this road in back-to-back years with A.J. Green and Julio Jones. A change of scenery, even to a theoretically good landing spot, does not necessarily mean a player will revitalize his career. Especially a soon-to-be 29-year-old wide receiver entering his ninth NFL season.
– Joe Pisapia
ECR WR38
Tyler Lockett turns 30 years old this year, and his alchemical connection with QB Russell Wilson has transformed to dust. With QBs Drew Lock and Geno Smith, Lockett might not crack 1,000 yards this year.
– Matthew Freedman
FantasyPros Staff Consensus 2022 Redraft Fantasy Football Rankings
If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
