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San Francisco 49ers Stats to Know & Top Takeaways (2022 Fantasy Football)

by Derek Brown | @dbro_ffb | Featured Writer
Aug 8, 2022
Trey Lance

Trey Lance will push the ball down the field on offense, creating more opportunities for the 49ers this year.

The NFL landscape changes yearly, and the variance spreads from free agent signings, NFL Draft picks, coaching hires, and more. Understanding what a team’s offensive scheme could look like and meshing that with relevant nuggets from the previous year helps shape our view of teams and players for the upcoming season.

That’s where this series will come in handy. Discussing pace, red zone usage, deep passing, and everything in between, I’m venturing down the rabbit hole to provide context for all 32 NFL teams and the fantasy football players you’ll select this year.

NFC East

NFC North

NFC South

*All data utilized in this article courtesy of FantasyPros, PFF, and Football Outsiders. Rotoviz and unless otherwise specified.*

Fantasy Football Redraft Draft Kit

San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Football Stats to Know:

  • Trey Lance was second among quarterbacks in aDOT last season (minimum 80 dropbacks).
  • In 2019 among 159 FBS & FCS quarterbacks (minimum 200 dropbacks), Trey Lance ranked:
    • 12th in PFF passing grade
    • 2nd-lowest turnover-worthy play rate
    • 20th in aDOT
    • 41st in big-time throw rate
    • 59th in adjusted completion rate
  • Last year Elijah Mitchell was 13th in snap share and third in opportunity share, but he was 31st in weighted opportunities and 41st in red zone touches.
  • Deebo Samuel was first in yards per route run among wide receivers before being deployed as a “wide back” (Weeks 1-9, minimum 25 targets).
  • Among 86 running backs with at least 40 carries, Elijah Mitchell, Trey Sermon, and Jeff Wilson ranked 15th, 39th, and 42nd in yards after contact per attempt.
  • In Weeks 9-18, Brandon Aiyuk played 90% or higher snaps in every game. Over that stretch, he was the WR21 in fantasy points per game (PPR), 13th in yards per route run (minimum 20 targets), and the 6th-highest graded wide receiver per PFF.
  • In the two games started by Trey Lance, the 49ers ran the ball on 57% of their red zone plays. With Jimmy Garoppolo starting, this number dropped to 48%.

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San Francisco 49ers Top Fantasy Football Takeaways

The San Francisco 49ers’ offense could look different this season. Trey Lance will do something Jimmy Garoppolo was allergic to, pushing the ball down the field. Last year among 35 quarterbacks with 20 or more deep attempts, Garoppolo ranked third lowest in deep ball rate (7.6%). Lance went deep on 18.3% of his attempts which was third-highest behind only Drew Lock and Russell Wilson (minimum ten deep attempts). Lance is surrounded by an elite cast of skill players with George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, and Brandon Aiyuk. He’ll need their help through the air in his rookie season, especially. In his only season as a full-time starter in college, Lance was highly graded and fantastic at limiting turnovers, but his accuracy was spotty at best. His big-time throw rate and adjusted completion rate give credence to the coaching staff’s assertion last year that he might not be ready. His rushing floor and upside will help his floor stay quite high for us in fantasy, but don’t be surprised if he struggles more as a passer than people expect.

Yes, a two-game sample of Lance as a starter is incredibly small, but it foreshadowed some changes coming in 2022. The 49ers’ explosive run game (including Lance) could be featured more inside the 20 than we saw last season. With Lance under center, their red zone rushing rate would have ranked fourth-highest last season as opposed to 17th with Garoppolo starting. This would be a huge improvement for Elijah Mitchell if he can carve out the red zone volume he lacked last year. Don’t discount Jeff Wilson, Trey Sermon, or Tyrion Davis-Price from also factoring in here as the “big back” in this offense.

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