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Worst Values at Running Back to Avoid (2022 Fantasy Football)

Aug 14, 2022
David Montgomery

Let’s check out the worst values at running back to avoid during your fantasy football drafts.

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Who is the worst value pick at RB based on his current ADP and why?

Elijah Mitchell (SF): Consensus ADP – RB23 | 50th Overall
Trey Lance as the new starting QB in San Francisco has me less confident in selecting certain 49ers like George Kittle and Elijah Mitchell around the 4th round of fantasy drafts. While Mitchell was good last year when he was active, he also missed time for various injuries and only played in 11 regular season games. San Francisco drafted Tyrion Davis-Price in the third round this year, and it’s possible Trey Sermon (a third-round pick himself) finally gets more playing time. This backfield can be valuable for fantasy, but I’m not confident enough in Mitchell to draft him this early.”
Bart Wheeler (Hail to Fantasy Football)

David Montgomery (CHI): Consensus ADP – RB17 | 34th Overall
“Just don’t draft David Montgomery and thank me later. Projected volume is the sole reason he’s going where his ADP is RB16, but a new coaching staff could approach the backfield differently. And don’t gloss over that Monty finished outside the top 24 in more than half of his games last season (46%) despite being an entrenched workhorse with a top-10 opportunity share. In my heart of hearts, I think Khalil Herbert is the better, more explosive back.”
Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

Leonard Fournette (TB): Consensus ADP – RB14 | 24th Overall
“Leonard Fournette finished RB6 in half-PPR last year largely because he caught a ton of dump-off passes from a quarterback who’s in his mid-40s and really doesn’t like to be hit anymore. Fournette had that role mostly to himself because Giovani Bernard was hurt and Ronald Jones was a train wreck in the passing game. Now, Gio is healthy and the Buccaneers have a rookie, Rachaad White, who’s a competent pass catcher/blocker. As for the outlook in the running game, guard Ali Marpet retired, guard Alex Cappa left in free agency, and center Ryan Jensen is out indefinitely with a knee injury. Fournette could be in for a value crash.”
Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

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Thanks to the experts for sharing their advice! For more of their insight, be sure to follow each pundit on Twitter (click their names above) and visit their respective sites.

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