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Fantasy Football Trade Advice: Risers & Fallers (Week 4)

Sep 28, 2022
Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups & FAAB Advice: Tight Ends (Week 13)

Another week of wild NFL action is in the books! In my opinion, scoring seemed down across the board, with random players coming out of nowhere to break into the top 10 at their positions. We had receivers and running backs scoring insane points on benches; some weren’t even on teams. Quarterback scoring seemed the most volatile, with a few of the studs performing well, but everyone else underwhelmed. With all of this chaos, here are some players who I think saw their trade values rise or fall based on how they performed in Week 3.

And be sure to check out our weekly trade value chart with updated values for all players >>

Week 4 Risers

Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI)

For the third week in a row, Hurts passed over 30 times on his way to a QB2 overall finish in Week 3. However, what landed him on this list for me this week was that he threw for three touchdowns and only ran the ball nine times for 20 yards. AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith are stepping up in big ways, and Hurts is the prime beneficiary.

If Hurts stays in the pocket and distributes the ball as he did against the Commanders, he could finish as a top-three QB in fantasy without even breaking a sweat. That said, he’s not someone I’m selling right now because I think his value still has room to go up. So if you don’t have him on your roster, I wouldn’t bother trying to trade for him now. His price just went way up, and you’ll be forced to overpay.

Khalil Herbert (RB – CHI)

Just like Hurts, Herbert just saw his value get a massive boost. Herbert came out of nowhere and finished as the RB1 on the week with 30.9 PPR points. He had 157 yards and two touchdowns on 20 carries thanks to a David Montgomery injury. I’m not saying he’s the starter from now on, but it’s hard to argue, given how he performed. I think Montgomery will return to the starter role, but it’ll be a 1A/1B situation, making both a little annoying for fantasy. I might be willing to shop Herbert on the back of this crazy week and see who I can flip him for to help me more long-term.

Dameon Pierce (RB – HOU)

Ah, finally, it’s time for Pierce to shine. I liked his teammate, Rex Burkhead, a lot heading into the year, mostly because I thought the Texans would take their time with Pierce. That no longer appears to be the case. Pierce got 20 carries to Burkhead’s three, which bodes well for a bell cow role moving forward for the younger Pierce. I’m probably not shopping Pierce yet because his value isn’t done rising, but I’m open to listening to offers if someone’s willing to overpay. Rookies are still a wild card, and this could be the best chance to sell high on Pierce if things go back to more of a 50/50 split.

Russell Gage (WR – TB)

Gage finished as WR4 in a wild week at the wide receiver position. Only two of the top 10 WRs this week were drafted in the top 20 at the position: CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper. Gage’s WR4 designation was possible because all three WRs ahead of him (Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Julio Jones) missed the game. Gage took advantage, catching 12 of 13 passes in a losing effort against the Packers. He also scored a touchdown, but his usage tells me that Tom Brady trusts him when it matters. I’m buying Gage where I can, but I’m not willing to overpay. He could be a short-term rental while his teammates are on the mend.

Week 4 Fallers

Kyler Murray (QB – ARI)

The entire Cardinals offense looks a little lost through three weeks of 2022. Murray threw a whopping 58 passes against the Rams this week, but none of them went for scores. He completed 37 of those attempts but only amassed 314 yards, a 5.4-yard average. That kind of production is almost hard to achieve. That’s how bad it is. Maybe it’s the absence of Hopkins or something else, but I’m fine trying to add Murray where I can while his value is seeing a slight downturn here.

Chase Edmonds (RB – MIA)

Edmonds finished as RB12 on the week, but I still have him as a faller due to his usage. He got 16.7 PPR points in a brutal game against the Bills, and 12 of those points were because of his two touchdowns. He only got six carries and a single target in the game. That doesn’t impress me much at all. If someone’s willing to trade for him based on his inflated score, I’m all about moving him for the right price. In some leagues, that could even be a Subway sandwich. That’s how out on Edmonds I am this year, even after his big Week 3 performance.

Jerry Jeudy (WR – DEN)

What an ugly Sunday night game we got this week. Both teams looked terrible, but the one player who stood out as especially ugly was Jeudy on the Broncos. He only caught two of six targets for 17 yards. Granted, the Broncos’ offense looked like they were sleepwalking, but that’s no excuse. Courtland Sutton put together a respectable outing in PPR leagues thanks to his eight catches, but Jeudy? Not so much. I’m not panic selling just yet, but if there’s a Jeudy truther in your league willing to buy him for the right price, I’d be willing to let him go. There are too many other receivers I’d rather put in my lineup right now than Jeudy, who’s looked bad two weeks in a row.

Logan Thomas (TE – WAS)

Thomas looked fine the last two weeks, but he was a total dud this week. Tight end is a crapshoot week to week in fantasy, but after this week’s output, I can’t trust Thomas or the Commanders all that much. The Eagles were supposed to be a great matchup for Thomas, but he finished with a whopping 2.5 PPR points, which were primarily influenced by his two catches on three targets. By my calculations, that means he only got five yards of offense! Puke. I’m not dropping him just yet, but I’m open to trading him for almost anything in redraft leagues. There are too many tight ends who can put up those numbers on the waiver wire.

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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

Andrew Hall is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Andrew, follow him @AndrewHallFF.

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