It was a weird week two for fantasy football, with some top names like Jonathan Taylor and Davante Adams dudding in smash spots, but we also saw the Monday night stars flex some serious muscle, and those are always good to target as DraftKings releases their slates before the players actually play. Let’s see where we can unlock some value for week 3, and be sure to follow mTwitteritter @jac3600!
QUARTERBACK
Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) ($7600) @ WAS
Despite playing on Monday night, Hurts’ tag has still gone up $500 from Week 2. However, if this was at all based on Week 2 results, I think we’d see him at least $500 more on top of that, and it’s quite egregious that Hurts is still priced significantly below the Lamar Jackson/Patrick Mahomes tier. Through two games, Hurts has been an elite fantasy QB, pushed by his cheat-code rushing ability. This week Hurts gets the Commanders who allowed the most FPPG to QBs a year ago, and he’s still underpriced.
Tua Tagovailoa (QB – MIA) ($6100) vs BUF
The overall QB1 in Week 2, with a monstrous 469 yards and 6 TD passes, Tua deserves to be noticed now in fantasy, and it looks like he can support two mega WRs in Tyreek and Waddle. That said, there’s reason for concern if he’s popular this week as a result. I’m super uncomfortable with the fact that Tua is priced ahead of Tom Brady and Derek Carr who generally present much higher fantasy floors, and I’m even more uncomfortable that Tua is facing the Bills who have absolutely smothered QBs for the fewest FPPG, and the lowest passer rating through two games. I’m fine letting someone else chase a repeat performance in DFS this week at $6100.
RUNNING BACK
Dalvin Cook (RB – MIN) ($7900) vs DET
Unfortunately, Cook’s price did not drop more since Minnesota played Monday night, and I think it might’ve just based on his 6-17 rushing line. Cook could never get going last night as the Vikes played in a negative game script almost from the jump, but much greener pastures lie ahead. A year removed from allowing by far the most FPPG to opposing RBs, the Lions have not bucked the trend at all this year, giving up the most FPPG again along with the most YPC. Cook is still about fully priced, but the $100 drop could be precious in this matchup.
Josh Jacobs (RB – LV) ($5400) @ TEN
Jacobs’ price continues to drop on DraftKings $6300 in Week 1, $5800 in Week 2), and it really shouldn’t be based on his workload and efficiency. Despite the crowded backfield, Jacobs is running as the clear lead back and has sported 4.7 YPC through the first two games. He’s not involved in the passing game, but we always kind of knew that coming in. This week the desperate Raiders face off against the Titans who look lost defensively right now, and have allowed the second most FPPG to opposing RBs through the first two games.
WIDE RECEIVER
Stefon Diggs (WR – BUF) ($7700) @ MIA
This is a classic case of “his price should have moved much more than this but he played on Monday night”. Diggs’ $7700 price tag is $2200 less than Cooper Kupp, $1600 less than Justin Jefferson, $700 less than Davante Adams, and $400 less than JaMarr Chase. Frankly, Diggs deserved to be right in line with all of them based on his skill set, role in this dynamic Bills offense, and extreme target and air yards share. Through two games, Diggs has 20 catches on 25 targets for 270 yards and 4 TDs, which is good for the overall WR1 in PPR. He has a matchup with Xavien Howard on tap, but Diggs’ precise route-running basically renders him matchup-proof. Keep an eye on Gabe Davis‘ status going into this one as well, as it’s a short week to get healthy for his Week 3 matchup.
Brandin Cooks (WR – HOU) ($5800) @ CHI
Cooks’ price tag makes no sense, and it makes even less sense that it’s dropped each week. The Texans’ offense has struggled to find its rhythm to start the year, but as usual, that doesn’t apply to Cooks who has already amassed a whopping 22 targets through the first two games. The Bears’ secondary pales in comparison to the Broncos’, so take full advantage of Cooks’ dwindling price tag in all formats.
TIGHT END
T.J. Hockenson (TE – DET) ($4200) @ MIN
It’s the Amon-Ra St. Brown show in Detroit, and there’s just no stopping it. However, that doesn’t mean he’s the ONLY game in town. Hock’s price has gone from $4900 to $4700 to $4200 over a three-week period on DK, despite getting seven targets in each of the first two games. The production hasn’t matched the work, but he’s getting into punt territory which is the time to strike, especially against Minnesota who has allowed the ninth most FPPG to TEs through the first two games.
Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL) ($4800) vs SEA
SPEAKING OF UNDER-UTILIZED TIGHT ENDS, the fantasy community is ablaze right now as Pitts has logged back-to-back weeks of two catches for 19 yards. Drake London appears to be a legitimate threat to take work away from Pitts, but the 0-2 Falcons are going to HAVE to get Pitts going, especially since it looks like Marcus Mariota is capable of leading this offense. Pitts’ price has now dropped over $1000 since Week 1, so this is the time to buy low in fantasy and load up in DFS.
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