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Let’s take a look at players to buy this week.
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Fantasy Football Trade Advice
Kenneth Walker. Woof. 10 carries for just 17 yards in Week 10. However, he made up for a lack of rushing with work as a receiver: 6 for 55 on 8 targets (24% target share, 73% route participation). He also seized a 100% opportunity share while playing 87% of the snaps. Buy low with him not top of mind after the bye week.
A rare 14 touches for Travis Etienne in Week 10, which translated into just 74 yards (11 carries, 3 targets). He did see all the work though with an 82% opportunity share; No. 2 RB JaMycal Hasty had two touches. With the Jaguars on a bye week, the time to strike a deal for ETN is now. He ranked 8th in rushing yards through the 1st 10 weeks of the year. Also plays the Texans in Week 17. Two words. League-winner.
Alvin Kamara finished second with 5 targets, catching 4 for 47 yards in Week 11. Also rushed 12 times for 42 yards. Handled 16 of 18 RB touches (89% opportunity share). Kamara is a tough player to target in trade with the matchups upcoming versus SF and TB, but his playoff schedule: ATL, CLE and PHI is juicy. If you are locked into a playoff spot, buying Kamara on the cheap is a sharp move.
Rhamondre Stevenson still a bellcow? He still dominated the touches versus Damien Harris (21 vs. 10), but Harris rushed for more yards (8 for 65) with a long 30-yard gainer. Stevenson rushed for just 26 yards on 15 carries but led the way with 6 targets for 6 catches and 56 receiving yards. Stevenson also played 78% of the snaps and ran a route on 79% of dropbacks.
Stevenson leads Pats in targets since Mac Jones has returned as the quarterback.
I’d be a buyer of Stevenson if the manager is concerned there is a committee brewing in New England. Because of usage suggests that’s not the case. Harris’ 24% snap share was the lowest he has seen in a game he was healthy in this season.
Aaron Jones led the Packers backfield with 12 carries for 40 rushing yards on Thursday night adding 6 receptions for 20 yards. His carry volume was half of what it was the week prior, but that’s often the case with a team reducing a player’s workload on a short week. He still operated as the clear No. 1 running back with a 73% opportunity share and 66% snap share. A.J. Dillon was a non-factor as he has been all season, totaling 6 carries for 13 yards. Jones is probably a decent buy-low candidate with plus-matchup coming versus the Eagles and Bears.
Terry McLaurin was Washington’s target leader (7, 30%) but caught just 4 balls for 55 yards in Week 11. Also saw over 100 air air yards (51% air yards share). Down game can happen when your QB completes just 15 passes. However, I would be sending buy-low offers aggressively with TMC taking on Atlanta in Week 12. Since Taylor Heinicke took over as QB1, McLaurin owns a 30% target share, 50% air yards share. Averaging 16.8 fantasy points per game in PPR. 6 catches and 93 receiving yards per game.
Antonio Gibson led the Commanders in carries (18), targets (3) and posted a season-high snap share (68%). 72 rushing yards and 31 receiving yards. Brian Robinson went 15 for 57 on the ground, but did not score, nor was he targeted. Curtis Samuel scored the lone rushing TD.
Because AG did not score, he’s attainable through trade. Buy him now as the Commanders RB1. Atlanta and the New York Giants (x2) are his next 3 matchups.
Allen Lazard ran the most routes (98%) and dominated the opportunities in Week 11. He saw a 30% target share (11) and 165 air yards (46%), the most in Week 11. Based on target volume alone, Lazard is a sharp buy-low target. Eventually TD regression will catch up to Christian Watson, which will flip back into Lazard’s favor as Aaron Rodgers‘ previous No.1 red-zone target. The Packers have a favorable WR schedule after they take on the Eagles in Week 12 featuring the Bears, Bye Week, Rams, Dolphins and Vikings.
Garrett Wilson finished with just 2 grabs for 12 yards despite running a route on 100% of dropbacks. Wilson is an intriguing buy-low target should the Jets decide to make a QB change. His upcoming schedule: Bears, Vikings, Bills, Lions, Jaguars and Seahawks is also ideal.
Josh Palmer stepped up in the absence of Mike Williams (left the game with an ankle injury), catching 8 of 10 targets (34% target share, 48% air yards share) for 106 yards and 2 receiving TDs on a 92% snap share. Trade for Palmer, because I wouldn’t bet on Williams coming back anytime soon after re-injuring his ankle. LA owns a top-10 schedule for WRs per the FantasyPros SOS tool. The next four games include the Chiefs, Cardinals, Raiders, Dolphins and Titans.
Pat Freiermuth led the Steelers in targets (12, 31% target share, 8-79) followed by George Pickens (4 for 83 on 6 targets plus 1 TD) in Week 11. But Pickens could have had an even bigger production day, considering he earned 122 air yards (4 targets of 20-plus air yards). Trade for him before he really blows up. The usage is trending for him in that direction.
Since Kenny Pickett took over starting QB duties in Week 4, Pickens leads the team in receiving yards (388). And over the last 2 weeks (since Chase Claypool was traded), his target share is the same as Diontae Johnson (15%).
Have a day Isiah Pacheco! The Chiefs starting running back posted his first 100-yard rushing game of the season, rushing for 107 yards on 15 carries while playing 42% of the snaps. He was not targeted but earned a 63% opportunity share.
Trade for him. KC boasts the No. 2 playoff schedule for RBs. Texans, Seahawks and Broncos. Wheels up for Pacheco.
The Jets backfield was split as Michael Carter (8 carries for 19 yards) and James Robinson (7 carries for 10 yards) in Week 11. Ty Johnson also tallied 4 carries.
Carter who drew the start, led with a 45% opportunity share, 50% snap share and 38% route participation. He’s an easy buy-low target with the Bears up next. Not to mention, Gang Green has a juicy playoff schedule featuring the Lions, Jaguars and Seahawks.
Cam Akers back from the dead? 14 carries for 61 yards. Led team in rushes (56% opportunity share) over Kyren Williams (7 for 36) and Darrell Henderson (2 for 9). However, Akers was not targeted running a route on just 19% of dropbacks. Williams was the only RB with targets (2) running a route on an impressive 64% of dropbacks.
Rest of season, you want Williams over Akers. You want the pass-catching back versus an early down rusher behind a bad offensive line. Besides, Williams led the team in snaps (55%) in just his second NFL game. Also showed more burst averaging 5.1 yards per carry versus Akers’ 4.3.
The Rams take on the Chiefs in Week 12, who rank dead last in nearly every category against receiving RBs.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup, based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – that allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
