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No House Advantage Pick ‘Ems Week 13 (2022 NFL Football)

by Nate Polvogt | @NatePolvogt | Featured Writer
Dec 4, 2022
Fantasy Football Injury Updates: Trevor Lawrence, Amari Cooper, Kenneth Walker III, Saquon Barkley (2022)

The recent explosion of online betting and new, inventive ways to play fantasy sports has most of our heads spinning. No House Advantage’s new app lets you stack over/under prop bets to win real money. I’ll be here weekly, giving you my favorite prop bet plays to help you build a winning stack.

No House Advantage is offering three options for their Pick’ Ems contest this Sunday for the early 1 PM EST Slate. Entry fees range from $5 to $15. The following prop bet picks apply to all three contests.

Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG) OVER 76.5 Rushing Yards

It’s been a rough two weeks for New York Giants RB Saquon Barkley, logging just 61 rushing yards on 26 attempts and one touchdown. Unfortunately, both of those games have been losses for the Giants. The G-men will need to get Barkley going in a must-win Week 13 contest against the surging Washington Commanders.

Though he’s coming off a string of poor performances, he has been dynamic most of the season and is still averaging 90.18 rushing yards per game. The Commanders’ defense has been much better of late, but still, they are coming off a week where they allowed the combination of RBs Tyler Allgeier, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Caleb Huntley to run for 118 yards in a win over Atlanta. Saquon Barkley is a more dynamic and talented back, and I expect him to break out of his slump this week. So take the over on this rushing prop and make it a high-priority play this week.

Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) OVER 235.5 Passing Yards

The Tennessee Titans have done many things well on defense this season, but defending the pass is not one of them. While they rank 3rd in rushing yards allowed (84.5), they are 31st in passing yards allowed (286.5) to opposing quarterbacks. This week they travel to Philadelphia to face off against QB Jalen Hurts and the Eagles.

One of the Eagles’ strengths this season has been a stout rushing attack led by Hurts and RB Miles Sanders. However, the team will need to shift toward a more pass-heavy attack this week. While not their preferred method of moving the ball downfield, they have been more than adequate. Hurts is averaging 234.8 passing yards per game, but we have seen him blow past that number a few times when they couldn’t get the run game going. This will be one of those weeks. Therefore, you can safely take the over on this prop as a mid-priority play.

Mike White (QB – NYJ) OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

There’s no denying the New York Jets are a talented team. Despite the poor play from second-year signal-caller Zach Wilson over a seven-week span that culminated in completing just 9-of-22 attempts for 77 yards, the team managed to go 6-4. After his abysmal Week 11 performance, Wilson was benched in favor of backup QB Mike White.

In Week 12, Mike White won over the Jets’ locker room and fans with a convincing 31-10 victory over the Chicago Bears. Say what you want about the opponent, but White elevated the offense and looked far more confident than Wilson has in two seasons. This week they travel to Minnesota to face the Vikings in a pivotal game for both teams.

Minnesota is 9-2, mainly behind an explosive offense. Their defense has been good enough but has also given up multiple touchdown passes in five of their last six games and in White’s 2022 debut last week had had three of his own. In what figures to be a high-scoring affair, I see White spreading the ball around to his talented receivers and logging at least two passing touchdowns. So take the over on this prop, but place it as a mid-priority play to protect your investment.

Russell Wilson (QB – DEN) OVER 0.5 Interceptions

The Denver Broncos offense has struggled mightily this season behind QB Russell Wilson. The team is 3-8, and Wilson has been dreadful. Early in the season, this Week 13 match-up against Baltimore would have looked like a get-right game for the Denver offense. However, over the last three weeks, this defense has been much improved.

Wilson hasn’t thrown an eye-popping number of interceptions (5) this season, but his inefficiency has been notable. This week, things could go south quickly for the veteran QB. Behind a patchwork offensive line, without WRs K.J. Hamler and Jerry Jeudy, and no running game to speak of, Wilson could very well be running for his life most of the day. That will lead to mistakes, and one of those will be an errant pass that lands in the hands of a Baltimore defender. I’m playing the over here and feel good about it. Good enough to make it a high-priority play for the week.

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Nate Polvogt is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Nate, check out his archive and follow him @NatePolvogt.

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