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Fantasy Baseball Overvalued Players to Avoid: Pitchers (2023)

Jan 29, 2023
Triston McKenzie

The 2023 fantasy baseball season will be here before we know it. That means it’s time for you to prepare for your fantasy baseball drafts. Beyond our draft prep articles and mock draft simulator, we will have you covered with 2023 fantasy baseball rankings. You can find our updated 2023 fantasy baseball expert consensus rankings here. Check out players the experts feel are currently overvalued compared to their average draft position (ADP).

Overvalued Fantasy Baseball Pitchers to Avoid

Triston McKenzie (CLE – SP): Overall ECR 92 | ADP 75

Triston McKenzie reduced his BB/9 from 4.35 to 2.07 in 2022, skyrocketing up fantasy rankings and boosting the the pitching staff for any manager who rolled the dice on him. The question becomes what his fourth MLB season will bring. His .237 BABIP is due for some regression, and his xFIP was 3.77. He struck out 191 batters in 191 1/3 innings, with a practically unhittable curveball. He does allow more hard contact than we’d like from an SP1, but he slots in nicely as an SP2/SP3 as long as fantasy managers account for some regression while drafting.

Logan Webb (SF – SP): Overall ECR 105 | ADP 93

Logan Webb flashed his strikeout upside in 2021, leading to fantasy managers overvaluing him in 2022. Instead, his K/9 reverted back to his earlier 7.63 range versus the 9.59 K/9 outlier. Webb utilized his slider and changeup more last season, which helped to protect his ERA and WHIP. Even though the Giants finished last in defensive runs saved, his high ground ball rate didn’t hurt him. Webb is more of an SP3/SP4 now and should be drafted as such.

George Kirby (SEA – SP): Overall ECR 112 | ADP 98

George Kirby arrived in the majors in 2022 and immediately showed off his meticulous control which led to a 6.05 K:BB ratio. The lack of walks is his calling card, even if he gives up hard contact on his four other pitches. Fantasy managers are clamoring for him to develop a second devastating pitch to increase his effectiveness overall. At age 25, Kirby can serve as a great SP3/SP4 for fantasy managers with hope that he will climb the ranks going forward.

Below you’ll find rankings from our analysts to help you prepare for the 2023 fantasy baseball season.

2023 Fantasy Baseball Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Beyond our fantasy baseball content, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Baseball Tools as you prepare for your draft this season. From our free mock Draft Simulator – which allows you to mock draft against realistic opponents – to our Draft Assistant – that optimizes your picks with expert advice – we’ve got you covered this fantasy baseball draft season.

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