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Mojo Market Advice: Buy & Sell (Conference Championships)

Mojo Market Advice: Buy & Sell (Conference Championships)

The Divisional Round brought more changes to the Mojo stock prices of many players, with two Buffalo Bills wide receivers among the week’s biggest movers. Stefon Diggs was noticeably upset with Josh Allen and how the game played out as a whole, and many are speculating about his future now in Buffalo, as evidenced by his -7.5% drop. However, it was not all bad for Bills players, as Khalil Shakir’s 40-yard performance and subsequent +14.1% increase have many wondering if his role in the offense will grow next year. 

With the conference championships upon us, we offer one NFL player to buy low on (whether short-term or long-term) and sell high before their prices tumble.

(All prices reflect Mojo’s market)

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Mojo Market Advice: Buy & Sell (Conference Championships)

Buy

DeVonta Smith (WR – PHI): $15.04

Per Jamey Eisenberg on Twitter, over the previous ten games, DeVonta Smith has outscored teammate A.J. Brown by 20 PPR points (174 to 154). In addition, Smith has also seen 11 more targets (93 to 82) in that span. Jalen Hurts may never play at an MVP level again like he did when he was healthy for the first 14 weeks of this season. However, Smith will still not see much double coverage or be the primary focus of opposing defenses as long as the more physical Brown is lining up alongside him. Smith is every bit the deep threat Brown is (Hurts’s completion of 40 air yards to him was his longest since Week 10), but he is versatile enough to be used in the intermediate passing game. After last week’s 10-target game (43% target share) against the Giants, Smith now has an equal 28% target share as Brown. In fact, Brown out-targeted Smith 13-to-3 in Week 1, but Smith has the 142-to-136 edge since then. Smith is a great buy-low candidate in what should again be one of the league’s most dynamic offenses next year.  

Sell

Joe Mixon (RB- CIN): $17.80

Mixon had 20 carries for 105 yards against the Bills, and Cincinnati as a whole ran for 172 yards, its second-highest total of the season. However, it was just Mixon’s second 100-yard game of the season, and the team’s 610 passing attempts in the regular season versus 399 rushing attempts made them one of the most pass-heavy teams in the league. The Bengals had 36 passing attempts to 34 rushing attempts against the Bills, but one could argue that near even split was because of game flow and the lack of need to score points in the second half. Plus, playing with three backup offensive linemen, Zac Taylor and the rest of the coaching staff were likely worried about getting Joe Burrow hurt. Especially when Cincinnati’s offensive line gets healthier (and it will likely bolster its offensive line further in the offseason), expect this offense to run more through the quarterback and one of the best trios of wide receivers in the league and not through Mixon.

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