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NFL Divisional Round PrizePicks Player Prop Bet Predictions (2023)

NFL Divisional Round PrizePicks Player Prop Bet Predictions (2023)

Continuing through the NFL playoffs, I will provide my top player props from PrizePicks.com. Sign up now!

From unders-or-overs to more-or-less, there’s really no better time to dive into player props with the fantasy football season concluded. Let the game sweats keep coming!

Note that lines may change from the time this is published, in which case I will update the numbers in accordance with what the lines are on the platform, along with any newer props that I think are worthy of targeting.

Let’s get it.

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Best NFL Divisional Round PrizePicks Prop Bet Predictions

Dak Prescott (QB – DAL): OVER 250.5 passing yards

  • Before Week 18’s embarrassing loss to the Commanders, Dak Prescott had tossed for at least 250 passing yards in 8 of his 9 last games.
  • The Cowboys QB1 continued his hot streak of high-end passing versus the Buccaneers on Monday night, throwing for 305 yards.
  • The SF 49ers are the quintessential pass-funnel defense. Their stout run defense forces teams to throw. Case in point, they are allowing the 3rd-most passing yards per game (266) to QBs since Week 7.

Miles Sanders (RB – PHI): OVER 63.5 rushing yards

  • The last time we saw Miles Sanders, he delivered a very underwhelming performance. He rushed for just 33 yards on 11 carries against a Giants defense that was resting key starters back in Week 18.
  • The Eagles RB1 only played 40% of the snaps, which was just slightly ahead of Boston Scott, who rushed for 54 yards on 9 carries while playing 33% of the snaps. The team went away from Sanders in the second half, giving him just 3 carries.
  • However, we have seen Sanders’ production fluctuate up and down all year long, so I’d go back to him in a super-plus matchup that we have already seen him go off in. Sanders rushed for a season-high 144 rushing yards versus the Giants back in Week 14.
  • And since Week 12, the Giants have allowed the 6th-most rushing yards (118) at 5.1 yards per carry.
  • Sanders has also seen his usage spike after down games all year long. In 4 games following Sanders totaling under 50 rushing yards, he has posted rushing lines of 27 for 134, 21 for 143, 17 for 144, and 21 for 65. An average of 21.5 carries for 121.5 rushing yards.
  • The Eagles also boast the No. 1 run-blocking matchup in Week 20 per the 33rd Team’s Trenches Matchup Tool.

DeVonta Smith (WR – PHI): OVER 62.5 receiving yards

  • Giants No.1 cornerback Adoree Jackson‘s return to the lineup definitely helped diminish the production of Justin Jefferson last week.
  • If we see something similar with Jackson potentially slowing down the production of A.J. Brown, we could see DeVonta Smith go absolutely nuclear versus a Giants defense that has allowed the 5th-most fantasy points allowed to perimeter WRs.
  • Smith owns a 26% target share averaging 6 catches for 65.5 yards and 8 targets per game versus Big Blue this season.
  • And in those two games, Smith saw season-highs in slot snap rate. A move inside should open the target and production floodgates for the Slim Reaper as the Giants allowed 83% of their fantasy points to Vikings WRs from the slot in the Wildcard Round.
  • Smith has also gone over 62.5 receiving yards in his last six games played, where he has seen no fewer than 8 targets in any contest.

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