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NFL Divisional Round Underdog Fantasy Player Prop Bet Picks (2023)

NFL Divisional Round Underdog Fantasy Player Prop Bet Picks (2023)

Continuing in Week 20 and throughout the NFL playoffs, I will be providing my top player props from Underdog Fantasy’s Pick’em contest.

From unders-or-overs to more-or-less, there’s really no better time to dive into player props with the fantasy football season concluded. Let the game sweats keep coming!

Note that lines may change from the time this is published, in which case I will update the numbers in accordance with what the lines are on the platform, along with any newer props that I think are worthy of targeting.

Let’s get it.

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Best NFL Divisional Round Underdog Fantasy Picks

Devin Singletary (RB – BUF): UNDER 40.5 rushing yards

  • Since Week 14, the Bengals rank 4th in rush defense DVOA and second in fewest fantasy points allowed per game to RBs (13.9/game).
  • They allow just 66 rushing yards per game (3rd-best) at just 3.3 yards per carry.
  • After out-snapping Devin Singletary (56% versus 41%) in Week 18, James Cook was heavily involved in the Bills’ offense for a second straight week. The rookie out-carried Singletary 12 vs. 10 and scored a rushing TD while playing just a 31% snap share.
  • The rookie also out-carried Singletary 7-to-4 in the first half and featured more in the red zone. Singletary only hit his “over” 46.5 rushing yards last week on the team’s final drive with rushes of four and seven yards to clinch victory for Buffalo.
  • Before hitting the over last week, he had finished under 44.5 rushing yards in 3 of his last 4 games played.

George Kittle (TE – SF): UNDER 48.5 receiving yards

  • The Cowboys are allowing the fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends since Week 8. They also allow the 2nd fewest receiving yards (32) per game.
  • In four games played this season with Brock Purdy and Deebo Samuel in the lineup, Kittle has averaged just 3 catches for 29 yards on 4 targets per game (12% target share).
  • Kittle has surpassed 53.5 receiving yards in just one game since Week 10 that Samuel has been active in.
  • Strongly consider the under on Kittle, parlayed with the “more” bet on Samuel’s 55.5 receiving yards line (55.5 yards on Prizepicks.com). Samuel has led the team with a 25% target share in 4 games played with Purdy.
  • In his 3 fully healthy games this year with the rookie QB, Samuel has averaged 4.7 catches, 7.3 targets, and 70 receiving yards per game.
  • Dallas is also much worse versus WRs than TEs, allowing the 4th-most fantasy points per game to WRs and the second-most to points per game to perimeter WRs (19.9) since Week 8.

Isaiah Hodgins (WR – NYG): OVER 45.5 receiving yards

  • Since Week 13, Isaiah Hodgins has averaged 5.5 catches for 59 yards (7 targets per game).
  • He leads the team with a 23% target share and ranks 1st in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns (5).
  • The last time Hodgins played the Eagles, he caught 4 passes for 38 yards on 6 targets and scored. But he also led the team with 83 air yards.
  • And Daniel Jones didn’t even play the full game because the game had already gotten out of hand.

Joe Mixon (RB – CIN): UNDER 48.5 rushing yards

  • The Bengals have the No.2 worst run-blocking matchup in Week 20 per the 33rd Teams’ trenches matchup tool and PFF’s OL/DL matchup chart.
  • Among remaining playoff teams, no OL is creating fewer yards before contact than the Bengals.
  • And no defense is yielding fewer yards before first contact than the Buffalo Bills.
  • Since Week 11, the Bills are 8th-best versus fantasy RBs. 6th in run defense DVOA.
  • Meanwhile, Mixon has been held to under 40 rushing yards in three of his last four games played.
  • And to add literal insult to injury, the Bengals are dealing with a flurry of issues across their offensive line.

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