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NFL DFS Picks & Advice: Favorite Showdown Flex Plays (Super Bowl LVII)

Feb 8, 2023
NFL DFS Picks & Advice: Favorite Showdown Flex Plays (Super Bowl LVII)

Break out the wings (No, boneless wings are not wings. They are adult chicken nuggets) and Buffalo chicken dip. It’s Super Bowl time, baby! From betting on the length of the National Anthem to the color of Gatorade tossed on the winning coach, it’s a wonderful spectacle to enjoy with skin in the game via betting and DFS.

We’ll watch Patrick Mahomes continue to build on a possible Hall of Fame career with a W or Jalen Hurts firmly establish himself as one of the league’s best young signal callers. Only one Kelce brother will walk away from this game with a giant grin and a diamond-studded ring.

Enjoy it, fam. It’s the last game of the 2022 NFL Season.

Get ready for the big game with our Super Bowl LVII Betting Guide >>

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NFL DFS Lineup Advice: Super Bowl LVII (Chiefs vs. Eagles)

Let’s take a look at a few of our favorite NFL DFS Showdown Flex Plays.

Favorite Showdown Flex Plays

NFL DFS Player Picks & Notes

Check out all of our Super Bowl LVII player break downs here >>

Miles Sanders: Sanders has seen his usage take a small tumble in the playoffs. He’s averaged 35% of the snaps with 14 carries and 66 rushing yards per game. Sanders remains a near zero in the passing game, with only one target over his last two games. Sanders hasn’t seen more than one target in a game since Week 14. Sanders’ usage could easily flip in this game, as we’ve seen him log at least 20 carries three times this season. This game could be another venue for him to see plenty of rushing work. Sanders ranks 22nd in yards after contact per attempt, ninth in missed tackles forced, and 28th in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 100 carries). Since Week 14, Kansas City has ranked ninth in rushing success rate and tenth in rushing yards per game, but they have also been 23rd in EPA per rush and 16th in explosive run rate allowed. Sanders is a fine flex and large field captain play with 25-30 DK point upside.

Kadarius Toney: Toney is still dealing with a high ankle sprain. Yes, we saw Mahomes still play at a high level as he managed his high ankle issue, but playing quarterback with this ailment versus wide receiver is a completely different equation. Per our own Dr. Deepak Chona, Toney could be more limited as “high ankles at only two weeks do decrease production.” In Weeks 16-20, Toney had an 11.9% target share and 28.3% route run rate despite blistering efficiency with 3.24 yards per route run and a 37% target per route run rate. The Chiefs have been hesitant at every turn to increase Toney’s role, and with him less than 100%, I doubt we see that here. Does that mean Toney is off the board? No. It’s one game. If Toney can manage to play through the pain in the Super Bowl, he will. Toney also has four red zone targets over his last four full games played. Toney will run about 54% of his routes against Slay and Bradberry.

KC DST: The Chiefs’ defense has scored at least eight DK points in five of their last nine games. They have four weeks this season with double-digit DK points. Kansas City ranked 21st in drives ending in a turnover, 22nd in interceptions, and second in sacks in the regular season. They were fifth in pressure rate despite only blitzing on 24.2% of their snaps (14th). Each defense makes the most sense in builds where you project a lower-scoring affair or a rout.

PHI DST: The Eagles are sixth in total defensive DVOA and first in pass defense DVOA. They led the NFL in sacks while sitting at second in pressure rate. Philadelphia has finished with double-digit DK points in nine games. They are third in drives ending in a turnover and second in yards per play allowed. If picking between the two defenses, I’ll have more exposure to the Eagles. Pairing Sanders or Scott with the PHI DST is a route I’ll also mix into builds.

Harrison Butker: Butker has six double-digit DK point games this season. This season, the Eagles are 11th in red zone scoring (TD only). The more drives that Philly can force the Chiefs to stall near the goal line will equal more Butker points.

Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section – including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners – or head to more advanced sports betting strategies – like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread – to learn more.

All data utilized in this article is courtesy of FantasyPros, ESPN analytics, PFF, SharpFootball Stats, Football Outsiders, FTN, 4for4, Rotoviz,, The Edge from the 33rd Team, and unless otherwise specified.