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Super Bowl LVII PrizePicks Player Prop Bet Odds & Predictions (2023) Playoff Challenge Super Bowl LVII Advice (Fantasy Football)

Continuing through the NFL playoffs up until the Big Game, I will provide my top player props from Sign up now!

From under-or-overs to more-or-less, there’s really no better time to dive into player props with the fantasy football season concluded. Let the game sweats keep coming with some early player props for Super Bowl 57!

Prizepicks is also offering a freebie prop as well this week, with Patrick Mahomes’ passing yards prop set at just 0.5 passing yards. Never a better time now than to start playing! Use promo code: PR-REQ653D when you sign up.

Note that lines may change from the time this is published, in which case I will update the numbers in accordance with what the lines are on the platform, along with any newer props that I think are worthy of targeting.

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Best Super Bowl 57 PrizePicks Prop Bet Predictions

Let’s get it.

A.J. Brown (WR – PHI): OVER 5.0 receptions

  • The Chiefs have allowed an average of 13 receptions per game to wide receivers, a bottom-10 mark in the league this year and since the beginning of Week 10.
  • The last time KC failed to hold an opposing No. 1 WR to fewer than five catches was in Week 15 versus the Texans. They’ve allowed at least five receptions to an opposing No. 1 in every other game since Week 12 (Rams).
  • Excluding the Divisional Round, A.J. Brown has been Jalen Hurts‘ go-to WR in the last four games they have played together, with a 33% target share and 47% air yards share.
  • In the NFC Championship Game, Brown commanded a 33% target share and 39% air yards share on eight targets, catching four for 28 yards (all in the first half). He did not catch either of his targets thrown 20-plus air yards downfield.
  • Brown (4-28, 31% target share) and Dallas Goedert (5-23) each saw six targets in the 1st half alone.
  • AJB then commanded the first two targets in the third quarter before the team went super conservative against a QB-less 49ers offense.
  • Brown earned 38% of Hurts’ first 21 pass attempts. Hurts finished with 25 pass attempts.
  • Brown has been heavily used versus man coverage this season, which KC predominately deploys.
  • Versus man coverage, Brown owns a whopping 37% target share (4th), 34% target rate per route run, and 42% air yards share.
  • His 3.62 yards per route run versus man coverage ranks third-best among all WRs this season against man coverage.
  • Simply put, Brown is going to get the rock and make the KC Chiefs secondary pay. Kansas City ranks 31st in DVOA against No. 1 WRs this year, allowing the third-most receiving yards per game to opposing alphas (81.2).

Kenneth Gainwell (RB – PHI): OVER 1.5 receptions AND OVER 12.5 receiving yards

  • The Chiefs have bled fantasy points to RBs in the passing game, allowing the most receptions to the position per game (six), third-most targets, and third-most receiving yards (46.9) this season.
  • Samaje Perine and Joe Mixon combined for 6 receptions, 7 targets, and 19 receiving yards in the AFC Championship Game versus the Chiefs. Both RBs caught 3 passes.
  • Since Week 15, Miles Sanders has run fewer routes (30% route participation) than Kenneth Gainwell and has been out-targeted 14-to-4.
  • Last week Gainwell earned three targets while running a route on 41% of dropbacks compared to Sanders’ 30%.
  • Bet the over on Gainwell’s receiving usage against a defense that ranks No. 28th in DVOA versus RBs in the passing game, as he is clearly the preferred pass-catching back in the Eagles’ offense.
  • In Gainwell’s last five games, he has over 12.5 receiving yards in three contests (60% hit rate). He has at least two receptions in four of his last six games (67% hit rate).
  • For four straight games, Sanders has played 40% of the snaps after never playing fewer than 50% of the snaps from Weeks 1-16.
  • Sanders has gone under 4.5 receiving yards in five of his last six games played, making his receiving prop (O/U at 4.5 receiving yards) under the perfect parlay to go alongside Gainwell’s over.

Jerick McKinnon (RB – KC): UNDER 21.5 rushing yards

  • Since Week 12, the Eagles defense ranks 12th in run defense DVOA, allowing the 7th-fewest rushing yards per game to RBs (77) at 4.5 yards per carry.
  • Over the same span, no single RB has rushed for more than 65.5 rushing yards (not-named Christian McCaffrey).
  • Jerick McKinnon has rushed for OVER 23 rushing yards just twice since Week 14 (seven games played).
  • In his last five games played, he has yet to eclipse more than 25 rushing yards in any contest.
  • Isiah Pacheco has out-carried him with 61 rushing attempts (12.2 carries per game) vs. 26 rushing attempts (5.2 carries per game).
  • McKinnon has not rushed for more than 25 yards this season in any game in that he has seen fewer than eight carries.
  • Pacheco has rushed for over 58 rushing yards in nine of his last 11 games since becoming a focal point of the Chiefs’ rushing attack in Week 10.

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