Best ball season is here and in full force, bigger and better, earlier than ever. Since the start of March, these are the biggest risers and fallers in ADP, as the effects of the NFL Combine and Free Agency take full effect.
- Introduction to Best Ball Leagues
- Underdog Best Ball Strategy
- Erickson’s Best Ball Positional Primers
FALLERS
Zach Ertz (TE – ARI) ADP ADP 226 – Down 39
The Cardinals have plenty of issues to face as Jonathan Gannon takes on the task of reshaping them in his image for 2023. We have entered the part of the offseason where owners and general managers talk optimistically about recoveries from injuries and whatever they may say must be taken with a grain of salt. If Kyler Murray misses a sizable amount of the season then it will a big hit to all of the Cardinals pass-catchers and particularly Zach Ertz who is recovering from a torn ACL and MCL, an injury that any player would struggle to come back from, let alone a 32-year old tight end who has often been beaten up.
Kayshon Boutte (RB – LSU) ADP 171 – Down 34
There is no doubting the electric upside of Kayshon Boutte but after off-the-field issues at LSU and a very poor combine performance, his stock is plummeting and unless Boutte finds an NFL team ready to invest a high draft pick into him, the fantasy world will likely remain skeptical of his outcomes. Boutte offers the kind of yards after the catch ability that could make him a great asset in best ball, but for now, drafters are okay missing out on him.
Daniel Bellinger (TE – NYG) ADP 226 – Down 26
The New York Giants traded for Darren Waller in an attempt to give Daniel Jones better options to throw to, after a difficult season in 2022 where their roster was frequently relying on depth players for large roles. Daniel Bellinger looked like a solid player in his rookie season but doesn’t offer the pass-catching upside that a healthy Waller could.
Alvin Kamara (RB – NO) ADP 99 – Down 14
The Saints didn’t seem to want to use Alvin Kamara near the goalline in 2022, often subbing in Taysom Hill once the ball got inside the 10-yard line. Now, they have added Jamaal Williams, fresh off a 17-touchdown season where many came from inside the ten, or even the 5-yard line. Kamara continues to face the prospect of suspension for legal issues, and his upside case continues to be harder and harder to find.
Ezekiel Elliott (RB – FA) ADP 141 – Down 12
The Dallas Cowboys finally came to the decision that paying Ezekiel Elliott one of the top deals on the market simply wasn’t worth it as his play deteriorated and he was outplayed by Tony Pollard. With Elliott’s release, he’ll have the chance to find a new team, but very few teams will give Elliott 17.1 touches per game as he had in Dallas in 2022.
Devin Singletary (RB -FA) ADP 176 – Down 10
As the running backs finally started to get signed as free agency ticked on, it was perhaps surprising that we heard nothing about Devin Singletary. After four years in Buffalo, Singletary is looking for a new team and his lack of a market is concerning for his fantasy value. As the days tick on there are fewer and fewer good opportunities left for him to be a part of.
Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL) ADP 44 – Down 6
Five months ago Lamar Jackson was generating MVP talk, but after a dip in form and an injury ending his season for the second year running, there remains an air of skepticism around Jackson. With Jackson and the Ravens still deep in a contract stand-off, drafters seem wary of his current cost but if Lamar is to re-sign in Baltimore there’s a chance he could be a bargain compared to the likes of Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, and Patrick Mahomes who all go two rounds earlier in drafts.
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