Why do we draft best ball teams this insanely early? The NFL Draft hasn’t been conducted. We don’t know bye weeks or schedules for these NFL teams.
Two reasons:
- Because we are degenerates.
- Because we love closing line value (CLV).
CLV is a beautiful thing. Every year a group of players are inappropriately priced by the market. Sometimes it’s because of a murky situation surrounding a player. In other instances, it’s because he burned fantasy managers in the previous season (or both).
In any instance, this creates opportunities to dive head first in early best ball drafts. There are soft ADPs in these drafts that you will not find as we move through the offseason. The cold sweat produced by FOMO should be creeping up your back.
Don’t let fear of the unknown allow you to miss out on this beautiful ADP smorgasbord on Underdog Fantasy.
*All ADP per Underdog Fantasy*
- NFL Draft Needs for Every Team
- Introduction to Best Ball Leagues
- Erickson’s Best Ball Positional Primers
Fantasy Football Best Ball ADP Risers
Anthony Richardson (QB – Florida)
(ADP: QB22 121.5 overall)
My Anthony Richardson comp:
Colin Kaepernick 🔥👑pic.twitter.com/kssZrEh2NW
— Derek Brown (@DBro_FFB) February 23, 2023
Anthony Richardson is a steal in best ball drafts currently. While he’s unlikely to enter the top 12 at the position in ADP, he should easily be going in a similar range as high-end QB2s. The reason Richardson is being drafted as late as he is revolves around the uncertainty of his starting status in 2023.
As soon as Richardson is drafted, his ADP will climb, and if he’s named the starter coming out of camp, his ADP will be headed to the moon. Richardson’s passing numbers at Florida were stomachable when you marry them with his rushing upside. Last year at Florida, he logged 103 rushing attempts, 654 rushing yards, and nine rushing scores. With his 6’4″ chiseled frame, Richardson should retain a goal-line role in the NFL.
His rushing equity alone would give him an immensely high floor before we even add his possible ceiling outcomes for 2023. Over the last nine years, 21 quarterbacks have finished a season with at least 500 rushing yards while passing for less than 4,000 yards (minimum eight games started), and 85.7% of these signal-callers finished as a QB1 in fantasy points per game (38% were top-five in fantasy points per game).
If I knew Richardson was starting the entire 2023 season, I would have him ranked as a top-12 fantasy quarterback option because, as history shows, that’s close to his floor. Take advantage of his ADP in best ball drafts as a moonshot QB3.
(ADP: QB31 207.2 overall)
The Tennessee Titans could be heading toward a personality overhaul on offense under new offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and Ryan Tannehill could be the primary beneficiary. In 2020-2021 Kelly directed a Houston attack that was 13th in neutral pace and 11th in neutral passing rate. While I’m not expecting Tennessee to become a high-flying attack, even bumping up to a league-average pace and passing rate will help Tannehill’s volume and fantasy outlook.
Tannehill is currently being left for dead in best ball drafts as a QB3. It’s easy to forget that he is only two seasons removed from back-to-back seasons as the QB9 in fantasy points per game. Tannehill’s deeper metrics last year scream that he can find this groove again. Last year he was 13th in true passer rating, ninth in red zone accuracy rating, fourth in under-pressure accuracy rating, and 12th in deep ball accuracy rating.
With Treylon Burks, Chigoziem Okonkwo, and Kyle Philips playing full-time roles in their second seasons, Tannehill should have a decent supporting cast surrounding him before any further additions in the NFL Draft.
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