Why do we draft best ball teams this insanely early? The NFL Draft hasn’t been conducted. We don’t know bye weeks or schedules for these NFL teams.
Two reasons:
- Because we are degenerates.
- Because we love closing line value (CLV).
CLV is a beautiful thing. Every year a group of players are inappropriately priced by the market. Sometimes it’s because of a murky situation surrounding a player. In other instances, it’s because he burned fantasy managers in the previous season (or both).
In any instance, this creates opportunities to dive head first in early best ball drafts. There are soft ADPs in these drafts that you will not find as we move through the offseason. The cold sweat produced by FOMO should be creeping up your back.
Don’t let fear of the unknown allow you to miss out on this beautiful ADP smorgasbord on Underdog Fantasy.
*All ADP per Underdog Fantasy*
- NFL Draft Needs for Every Team
- Introduction to Best Ball Leagues
- Erickson’s Best Ball Positional Primers
Fantasy Football Best Ball ADP Risers
(ADP: TE7 84.8 overall)
Darren Waller is my TE2 for 2023.
The only TE I would draft over him is Travis Kelce.
Waller has displayed the ability to earn high-level alpha WR target shares and targets per route run in MULTIPLE seasons.
He could lead ALL TEs in Targets in 2023, and NO ONE…NO ONE…
— Derek Brown (@DBro_FFB) March 26, 2023
The Giants’ passing offense has been built around their new elite tight end. Darren Waller could lead all tight ends in targets this season. He’s already displayed the ability to draw targets at this lofty rate in his career.
| Year | Targets (rank) | Target Share (rank) | Targets per Route Run (rank) |
| 2019 | 117 (3rd) | 23.8% (4th) | 29.3% (4th) |
| 2020 | 145 (1st) | 28.7% (1st) | 28.7% (2nd) |
| 2021* | 93 (8th) | 24.2% (3rd) | 26.7% (6th) |
*11 games*
When he was on the field last year, Waller showed no decline in efficiency, ranking 13th in PFF receiving grade and 12th in yards per route run (minimum 20 targets per PFF). He was also first in yards per route run against man coverage (minimum ten man coverage targets per PFF). As long as Waller is being drafted outside the top-three tight ends in fantasy, he’s a huge value. This won’t last forever. This is why I’m gobbling up as much Waller exposure as I possibly can in best ball.
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