The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books. Now, it’s on to dynasty rookie drafts. The top prospects didn’t see their fantasy value change much over the past few days. However, some mid and later-round players saw their fantasy value change during the NFL Draft.
While there is no such thing as the real deal, the best way to prepare for rookie drafts is by doing a mock draft. This mock draft has 12 teams and is three rounds long. The scoring system for this mock draft is PPR and 1QB. We dive into it below. And you can prepare for your dynasty rookie drafts with our free dynasty rookie mock draft simulator.
- NFL Draft Grades for Every Team
- Thor’s Draft Grades (AFC | NFC)
- NFL Draft Day 1 Winners & Losers (Day 2 | Day 3)
- Fitz’s Round 1 NFL Draft Picks: Dynasty Rookie Draft Outlook (Day 2 | Day 3)
- Dynasty Rookie Primers: QB | RB | WR | TE
2023 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft
1.01 – Bijan Robinson (RB – ATL)
Robinson was the clear-cut 1.01 pick before the NFL Draft. Landing in Atlanta only helps his value, as they were one of the top running teams in the NFL last season. The former Texas superstar is a top-five pick in dynasty startup drafts and redraft leagues.
1.02 – Jahmyr Gibbs (RB – DET)
Landing in Detroit wasn’t ideal for Gibbs’s fantasy value. However, the former Alabama running back is a top-three rookie pick now that D’Andre Swift is in Philadelphia. Fantasy players should expect the Lions to use David Montgomery and Gibbs similarly to how the New Orleans Saints used Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara in 2017. Head coach Dan Campbell was part of that coaching staff in New Orleans.
Fantasy players were hoping Smith-Njigba would land in a more fantasy-friendly spot. However, he remains the top wide receiver in the draft class. Unfortunately, DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett limit Smith-Njigba’s short-term upside.
1.04 – Jordan Addison (WR – MIN)
While Addison was the last first-round wide receiver drafted Thursday night, the former USC star landed in the best short-term spot. Justin Jefferson will keep defenses from loading up on him. Meanwhile, Adam Thielen averaged 6.9 targets per game over the past three years with Jefferson on the team. Those targets now belong to the rookie receiver.
1.05 – Zay Flowers (WR – BAL)
Last year the Ravens didn’t have enough wide receivers. Now the team has a talented unit. However, Flowers is Baltimore’s WR1. Odell Beckham Jr. didn’t play last year and has struggled with injuries. Furthermore, he only signed a one-year deal with the team this offseason. Meanwhile, Rashod Bateman hasn’t been able to stay healthy over the past two years. With Lamar Jackson locked up long-term, Flowers has unlimited upside.
1.06 – Quentin Johnston (WR – LAC)
Johnston was the second wide receiver drafted this year, yet he landed in arguably the best and worst landing spot. Of the first-round wide receivers, Johnston has the best quarterback throwing to him. Unfortunately, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Austin Ekeler all have massive target shares. However, things might change a year from now if the Chargers release Williams next offseason.
1.07 – Devon Achane (RB – MIA)
The former Texas A&M running back kicks off the next tier of prospects. Achane was the 84th overall pick in the NFL Draft this year and the fifth running back drafted. Yet, he landed in an excellent short-term landing spot. The Dolphins re-signed Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr. this offseason. However, neither should keep Achane from potentially being this year’s Damien Pierce.
1.08 – Dalton Kincaid (TE – BUF)
Many were surprised when the Bills traded up for Kincaid on draft night. However, don’t think of him as a replacement for Dawson Knox but as Josh Allen‘s new big slot receiver. While Stefon Diggs is the top guy in Buffalo, Kincaid could pass Gabe Davis as the No. 2 pass catcher as a rookie.
1.09 – Jonathan Mingo (WR – CAR)
Some don’t like Mingo and think he will be a bust. However, I am a big fan of the former Ole Miss wide receiver. His college production wasn’t elite, but he can make plays on the field. More importantly, he landed in an excellent situation. Adam Thielen will start the year as Carolina’s No. 1 wide receiver, but that will change at some point this season. If Bryce Young becomes the star many expect him to be, Mingo will have massive upside.
1.10 – Michael Mayer (TE – LV)
Las Vegas traded away Darren Waller this offseason, creating a massive hole at tight end. The team signed Austin Hooper and O.J. Howard in free agency, but that won’t stop them from featuring Mayer as a rookie. The only downside to the former Notre Dame tight end is his quarterback and Davante Adams‘ massive target share. Despite those two things, Mayer is a top-12 dynasty tight end.
1.11 – Rashee Rice (WR – KC)
Hopefully, this isn’t another Clyde Edwards-Helaire moment where a player gets pushed up draft boards after landing with the Chiefs. Rice was the touchdown machine the past two years, scoring 19 times on 160 receptions. The former SMU star could have an immediate impact after the team lost JuJu Smith-Schuster in free agency. Furthermore, Kadarius Toney hasn’t been able to stay healthy in his career.
1.12 – Zach Charbonnet (RB – SEA)
I believe I can speak for everyone in the fantasy football community when I say it’s time for Pete Carroll to join a retirement home. Charbonnet could have been a top-seven rookie pick this year if he landed with just about any other team. Furthermore, I would have ranked him higher than Johnston if the former UCLA star landed with the Philadelphia Eagles or Cincinnati Bengals. Instead, Carroll and the Seahawks decided to hamper Ken Walker III and Charbonnet’s fantasy value Friday night. While this isn’t ideal, fantasy players should still take the former UCLA star at the end of the first round.
2.01 – Bryce Young (QB – CAR)
If this was a superflex mock draft, Young and two other quarterbacks would have already been off the board. However, rookie quarterbacks get pushed down the draft rankings in 1QB leagues. While Young might be on the smaller size, the former Alabama star can play in the NFL. Meanwhile, he won’t spend any time learning from the sidelines like some other rookie quarterbacks.
2.02 – Roschon Johnson (RB – CHI)
While Johnson was a fourth-round NFL Draft pick, he will rise up in rookie drafts the sooner we get to training camp. Khalil Herbert is a solid player, but he’s never had a featured role before in the NFL. Meanwhile, D’Onta Foreman only signed a one-year deal this offseason and suddenly finds his roster spot in jeopardy. Don’t be surprised if Johnson ends up being the starting running back in Chicago before Week 1. If Johnson had second-round draft capital on his resume, the former Longhorn would be the RB3 in the draft class.
2.03 – Kendre Miller (RB – NO)
Miller is a tough evaluation. The Saints have Alvin Kamara and Jamaal Williams on the roster. While the former faces a lengthy suspension this year, both running backs will be with the team through the 2024 season. Hopefully, Miller can work his way up the depth chart, but that’s easier said than done.
Owner Jim Irsay already said Richardson would play as a rookie. The only question is when? While the former Gator quarterback needs to grow as a passer, Richardson can make an immediate impact with his rushing ability. Don’t be surprised if he has a Jalen Hurts 2021 season-like year as a rookie.
2.05 – Tyjae Spears (RB – TEN)
Despite all the rumors, Derrick Henry is still a Titan. However, he is entering the final year of his contract. More importantly, Tennessee has to lighten his workload this season. The superstar running back has averaged 24.3 touches per game over the past four years. Spears should have a solid role as a rookie, even with Henry on the roster.
2.06 – C.J. Stroud (QB – HOU)
After weeks of no one in the media knowing anything, the Texans used the No. 2 overall pick on the former Ohio State quarterback. The good news for fantasy players is that Stroud will start right away. Unfortunately, Houston doesn’t have a legit No. 1 wide receiver. Hopefully, Nico Collins or another young wide receiver can step up this year.
2.07 – Jayden Reed (WR – GB)
The Packers use a second-round pick on a wide receiver for the second consecutive year. While Reed is a popular mid-round rookie draft pick target, fantasy players should remember that Green Bay drafted three wide receivers and two tight ends this year after adding three wide receivers last year. Furthermore, Jordan Love is a total unknown.
2.08 – Marvin Mims (WR – DEN)
Mims is a talented wide receiver. However, Denver isn’t the best ideal landing spot. The team has three talented wide receivers and an impressive second-year tight end. Hopefully, one of the veterans gets traded this offseason, opening up a clear role for the rookie wide receiver.
2.09 – Sam Laporta (TE – DET)
Last year the Lions got nine receiving touchdowns from their tight ends, not named T.J. Hockenson. Meanwhile, Jameson Williams will miss the first six games this season because of a suspension. Furthermore, Detroit waited until the seventh round to draft a wide receiver. LaPorta could finish second on the team in targets this year.
2.10 – Tank Bigsby (RB – JAC)
No, you don’t need to panic sell Travis Etienne because of Bigsby. However, the former Auburn star is now one of the top handcuffs in fantasy football. Furthermore, he will have stand-alone value in deeper leagues.
2.11 – Josh Downs (WR – IND)
Downs has talent and should have gotten drafted earlier than the middle of the third round. While Isaiah McKenzie is the current starting slot receiver, the former UNC star will take it from him sooner than later.
2.12 – Jalin Hyatt (WR – NYG)
Have the Giants finally found a legit No. 1 wide receiver since Odell Beckham Jr. got traded away? Probably not, but Hyatt doesn’t have much competition for the WR1 role in New York as a rookie.
3.01 – Luke Musgrave (TE – GB)
Green Bay drafted two tight ends on Friday night, starting with Musgrave. The good news is Robert Tonyan is now in Chicago, and the rest of the veteran tight end unit lacks upside. Unfortunately, the Packers have drafted six wide receivers and two tight ends over the past two years. Musgrave must stand out early this offseason to make a fantasy impact this year.
3.02 – Chase Brown (RB – CIN)
Despite Joe Mixon‘s drop in production last year and the off-the-field issues this offseason, the Bengals waited until the fifth round to draft a running back. However, Brown can step in and replace Samaje Perine as a rookie. Last year, Perine was the RB34, averaging 8.9 PPR fantasy points per game.
3.03 – Cedric Tillman (WR – CLE)
While the Browns have spent a third-round pick in three consecutive drafts on a wide receiver, Tillman is the best of the bunch. Don’t be surprised if the former Volunteer receiver is starting alongside Amari Cooper and Elijah Moore in Week 1 despite the presence of Donovan Peoples-Jones.
3.04 – Michael Wilson (WR – ARI)
Wilson was one of my favorite wide receivers leading up to the NFL Draft. While the Arizona wide receiver room is crowded, things can change quickly. DeAndre Hopkins wants to be traded, while Marquise Brown is in the last year of his rookie deal. Wilson could have a starting role this year if the Cardinals trade away Hopkins over the next few months.
3.05 – Deuce Vaughn (RB – DAL)
No, Vaughn won’t replace Ezekiel Elliott. Actually, the Cowboys drafting the former Kansas State star keeps the door open for a Zeke return. However, Vaughn will provide the team with a change of pace running back and could have some stand-alone value in deeper PPR leagues.
Houston drafted two wide receivers this year: Dell in the third round and Xavier Hutchinson in the sixth. However, the Texans now have 12 wide receivers on the roster, including two they signed in free agency this offseason and four they drafted over the past three years. Something is going to have to give here.
Washington slid during the NFL Draft because of medical concerns. While he landed with the Steelers, the former Georgia star isn’t going to impact Pat Freiermuth‘s fantasy value much. Pittsburgh wanted the massive tight end because of his blocking ability. Unfortunately, Washington won’t have much fantasy value unless Freiermuth gets hurt. The good news is that Najee Harris‘ fantasy value has vastly improved over the past few days.
3.08 – Will Levis (QB – TEN)
While he was an early second-round pick, Levis should still get drafted in 1QB leagues. Ryan Tannehill is entering the final year of his contract and won’t return in 2024. Meanwhile, the front office has reportedly given up on Malik Willis. Furthermore, fantasy players shouldn’t be surprised if Tannehill gets traded before Week 1, opening the starting role for Levis.
3.09 – Eric Gray (RB – NYG)
The former Oklahoma running back landed in a solid situation. Saquon Barkley is still around but is on a one-year deal. More importantly, the superstar has struggled with injuries in his career. If Barkley misses time, Gray has RB2 value while the superstar is out of the lineup. He is one of the top handcuffs in rookie drafts this year.
3.10 – Andrei Iosivas (WR – CIN)
Despite being the second wide receiver picked by the Bengals this year, fantasy players will likely draft Iosivas over Charlie Jones. Yes, Tyler Boyd is entering the final year of his contract. However, Cincinnati will have Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins around for the long haul. Iosivas is more likely to get cut next year than be a starter, given his sixth-round draft capital.
3.11 – Evan Hull (RB – IND)
Some in the fantasy football community love Hull, and yes, I’m talking about DBro. While the former Northwestern running back wasn’t drafted until the fifth round, he landed in a great spot. The Colts never filled Nyheim Hines‘ passing game role. Furthermore, Hull becomes an RB2 if Jonathan Taylor misses time.
3.12 – Zach Evans (RB – LAR)
While many thought the Rams could use a Day 2 pick on a running back to pair with Cam Akers, the team waited until the late sixth round to add Evans. However, the former Ole Miss star was an excellent pick. He will earn some snaps behind Akers as a rookie. More importantly, Evans is now the handcuff to a running back with a long history of injuries.