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Burning Questions: Calvin Ridley, Anthony Richardson, C.J. Stroud (2023 Fantasy Football)

Burning Questions: Calvin Ridley, Anthony Richardson, C.J. Stroud (2023 Fantasy Football)

The 2023 season is still a few months away. While much will change between now and opening night in September, let’s look at some of the biggest fantasy question.

 

Dynasty Rookie Draft Kit

Biggest Fantasy Football Question Marks

Here are some of the biggest fantasy football questions around the NFL.

HOU – Who becomes C.J. Stroud’s go-to receiver?

Houston traded away Brandin Cooks this offseason, leaving the team without a clear-cut No. 1 wide receiver on the roster. Yet, the team had a nice balance of veterans and young players. Robert Woods, Noah Brown and Dalton Schultz will give Stroud some sure-handed options.

Meanwhile, Nico Collins, John Metchie, Tank Dell and Xavier Hutchinson were all drafted in the past three years. Many are excited to see Dell this year after Stroud reportedly asked the Texans to draft the former Cougar star. However, will he become the No. 1 wide receiver?

Dell lined up in the slot 68.4% of the time last season at Houston. Yet, he averaged over 2.6 yards per route run in 2022. However, don’t rule out Collins becoming Stroud’s No. 1 target. The former Michigan star struggled last year because of poor quarterback production.

Collins had only a 50% catchable target rate in 2022, one of the worst in the NFL. Despite the quarterback struggles, the young receiver averaged 0.28 half-point PPR fantasy points per route run last season. If Stroud can give him enough catchable targets, Collins could be a breakout candidate this year.

IND – Will Anthony Richardson be a fantasy star as a rookie?

Despite being the third quarterback selected in the 2023 NFL Draft, Richardson has been the first drafted quarterback in most dynasty rookie drafts. The former Gator is a popular pick because of his unlimited upside.

Richardson had 103 rushing attempts for 653 yards and nine touchdowns last season and made several highlight-reel runs. That means the former Gator averaged 13.3 fantasy points per game last season on the ground. Furthermore, 56.9% of his rushing yards last year came on scrambles compared to 43.1% on designed runs, according to PFF.

Meanwhile, Richardson had 64 pass attempts of 20 or more yards last season at Florida. Yet, according to PFF, 17 attempts (26.6%) were big-time throws. More importantly, the rookie quarterback landed in an excellent situation for his fantasy value.

New head coach Shane Steichen was the offensive coordinator in Philadelphia for the past two years. He helped Jalen Hurts be the QB9 in 2021 and the QB3 last season. While he won’t finish top five as a rookie, Richardson can have a similar impact on the ground and end the year in the low-end QB1 range.

JAC – What should fantasy players expect from Calvin Ridley?

Unfortunately, fantasy players have gotten only five games from Ridley over the past two years because of mental health issues and a suspension. Yet, the star receiver was outstanding in 2022. Ridley was the WR4 that year, averaging 15.8 half-point PPR fantasy points per game.

However, he was only ninth in the NFL with 143 targets that season. Furthermore, Ridley averaged 1.7 fantasy points per target. While he was excellent two years ago, the star receiver’s situation has drastically changed.

Ridley had a 22.8% target share in 2020. Meanwhile, Christian Kirk led the Jaguars with a 22.4% target share last season. Unfortunately, both wide receivers likely won’t see a 20% or higher target share in 2023. More importantly, fantasy players have to wonder how much rust the star receiver will have after playing five games in the past two seasons.

Fantasy players should prepare for Ridley to struggle over the first few weeks as he shakes off the rust and build chemistry with Trevor Lawrence. However, he has league winning upside in the second half of the season.

TEN – Which second-year player will lead the team in targets?

The Titans had arguably the worst receiving core in 2022. After trading A.J. Brown to the Eagles, Robert Woods and Treylon Burks were supposed to compete for the No. 1 role. However, Burks spent his rookie year struggling with asthma and injuries.

Meanwhile, Woods led the team with 91 targets, while Austin Hooper finished second with 60. Unfortunately, those two were the only players with more than 55 targets last year. Yet, both are no longer with Tennessee.

Instead of signing a big-name veteran in free agency or using an early draft pick on a wide receiver, the Titans waited until the seventh round to add a wide receiver. Therefore, can Burks step into the No. 1 pass catcher role? Probably, but don’t forget about Chigoziem Okonkwo. Furthermore, Kyle Philips is a deep sleeper candidate.

All three players got drafted in 2022. While Burks and Okonkwo flashed upside as rookies, Philips only played in four contests. Burks is the favorite to lead the team in targets, but Philips is worth drafting late in a few Best Ball leagues.

2023 Fantasy Football Best Ball Draft Advice

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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.

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