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5 Overvalued Fantasy Football Draft Picks to Avoid on FFPC (2026)

5 Overvalued Fantasy Football Draft Picks to Avoid on FFPC (2026)

Right now, you could be drafting in a whole slew of fantasy football contests on Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC), one of the industry’s longest-running fantasy football platforms. These drafts cover best ball, dynasty and redraft, typically in the higher-stakes realm, with most contests priced between $35 and $10,000.

One of the more popular contests is the $125 1-QB TE-Premium best ball tournament, which pays $400,000 for first place. Here are five overpriced players to avoid on FFPC.

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Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on FFPC

Omarion Hampton (RB – LAC) | ADP: 15

This probably won’t be a popular selection, as the hype for Omarion Hampton seems to be in full swing, and while ceiling can win you tournaments, it is worth taking just a brief second to pause. Hampton is the only running back currently drafted inside the top 36 picks who missed a single game last season. And it wasn’t just one, it was seven.

Hampton is being drafted ahead of Saquon Barkley, De’Von Achane, Kenneth Walker and Derrick Henry, who have all put together stronger portfolios that justify trusting them with a top-20 pick. Hampton ranked eighth-highest in explosive run rate last year, per the Fantasy Points Data Suite, but he also ranked 38th in success rate and 27th in yards after contact per attempt.

In the nine games Hampton played, he was below 3.7 yards per carry in five and held below 70 rushing yards in six. A healthy offensive line and Mike McDaniel will absolutely improve the situation, no doubt, but this could still be a three-way committee with Keaton Mitchell and Kimani Vidal mixing in. At this cost, that could be awful for Hampton’s upside.

Quinshon Judkins (RB – CLE) | ADP: 45

Even if Quinshon Judkins hadn’t spent his offseason recovering from a serious injury, questions could be asked about his average draft position (ADP), but combining that with the rest paints a tricky picture. Judkins suffered a dislocated ankle and a fractured fibula in Week 16, two injuries that on their own would have been bad enough, but together they make things more worrisome.

Players like Tony Pollard and Mark Andrews have struggled with efficiency in recent seasons after returning from similar injuries, and while Judkins is younger, we can’t assume he’ll avoid a similar path. The Browns have by far the worst quarterback room in the league and have had to overhaul an offensive line that was an outright disaster. Expecting all five starters to gel and be problem-free is another thing altogether.

With such an awful quarterback situation, can we expect this offense to move the ball? Without Myles Garrett and Jim Schwartz, will this defense be able to keep the score close enough for the ground game to be important? Those factors all make Judkins’ ADP difficult to swallow, but there’s another crucial factor to consider: Dylan Sampson.

Ravens fans frequently criticized new Browns head coach Todd Monken for over-rotating Derrick Henry and Justice Hill in Baltimore over the last couple of years. It shouldn’t surprise us to see Sampson and Judkins rotated similarly. Sampson, for his part, is a better pass-catcher than Judkins, outdoing him in yards per route run (2.01 vs. 1.17), yards per target (7.13 vs. 5.03) and yards per reception (8.21 vs. 6.58).

Judkins is a good player, but this price assumes a bigger workload than the data suggests he’ll get. Should we get a dip if he doesn’t start training camp fully healthy? That might be a better time to draft him.

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Rome Odunze (WR – CHI) | ADP: 64

The Bears currently have five players going inside the first 72 picks: Colston Loveland (22), D’Andre Swift (45), Luther Burden III (49), Rome Odunze (64) and Caleb Williams (71). It’s going to be very difficult for all of them to pay off.

The Bears are an ascending offense, and the promise of what Williams could do in his second season with Ben Johnson is enticing, but this feels a bit much, and the wide receiver position feels especially fragile. Odunze has five top-12 weekly finishes across two years in the league and largely looked out of sorts last year.

Everything leaned towards either the run or Loveland for the latter part of the season, and it’s hard to argue that formula wasn’t worth returning to. Odunze is also recovering from a lingering stress fracture in his left foot. He has been on record saying the injury has caused the bone structure to shift and leave him with pain that he describes as the new normal.

Either Burden or Odunze might pay off their ADP, and perhaps the cheaper of the two is the sensible choice, but avoiding injured players and focusing on Loveland and Swift feels like the more sensible approach.

Jonathon Brooks (RB – CAR) | ADP: 89

The hype train is fully underway for Jonathon Brooks, despite him still not being fully cleared for contact almost 20 months after he tore his ACL for the second time in 13 months. Brooks now enters the third year of his contract with only 12 touches for 45 combined yards.

There’s no doubt the Panthers would love to see some return on their draft capital, having used the 46th overall pick on him, and the opportunity is there with Rico Dowdle no longer in the mix.

Last season, Chuba Hubbard was banged up and lacked explosiveness, but the team still came back to him as the season went on, having paid him through the 2028 season and still seeming to have faith in him. If they weren’t ready to turn everything over to Dowdle, who consistently outproduced Hubbard, it seems hard to believe that Brooks will be able to usurp Hubbard.

Brooks goes ahead of Blake Corum, Rachaad White, Aaron Jones, Tyrone Tracy, Woody Marks and Chris Rodriguez Jr., who have all shown us a greater body of work. We can understand what picking them means for our team versus gambling on Brooks.

When we looked at overpriced players in June, Brooks’ ADP was 104; it’s now 15 picks more expensive, and it’s an even tougher click. With Hubbard only seven picks ahead of him in ADP, you really have to wonder how long before the two flip positions.

David Njoku (TE – LAC) | ADP: 175

Perhaps this one is being a little too picky, given that David Njoku is the TE29 in this format, but it might still be too high. Oronde Gadsden II is likely overpriced as the TE16, but he could take a second-year leap after flashing in small spells during his rookie season.

However, it’s more that the entire offense doesn’t feel ready to support Njoku. The Chargers paid good money to bring in Charlie Kolar from the Ravens during free agency, and while he can catch passes, he’s at his best when he’s blocking. Gadsden will likely get more pass-catching plays designed for him, which leaves the Chargers using Njoku as their TE3 and in a rotation.

The upside likely isn’t there, and yet Njoku is being drafted around clear TE1s like Cade Otton and Pat Freiermuth. There should be a greater distance between them and him.

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