21 Fantasy Football Players Experts Target & Avoid at ADP (2026)

In fantasy football, it is just as important where a player is being drafted as it is what they can provide for your team. For those with drafts yet to come, here are the players our experts are targeting and avoiding at their real-time ADP.

Players to Target & Avoid at ADP

Who is a player you’re TARGETING in drafts based on his current ADP (top-150) and why?

Blake Corum (RB – LAR)

“Blake Corum’s ADP (RB35; 91st overall) prices him like a premium handcuff, but Kyren Williams‘ (RB13; 27th overall) usage shifting from 87.5% of snaps in 2024 to a 66.7% / 30.5% Williams-Corum split in 2025 points towards standalone value for Corum and a 1A/1B RB environment. Corum has been excellent with his opportunity, producing 746 rushing yards, 5.1 yards per carry, a 49.7% success rate, and a 15.9% explosive-run rate. He’s been the more explosive back between the two, and with the Rams currently projected for an NFL-high 26.7 points per game (and the second-best implied fantasy-playoff scoring environment), if this usage moves even closer to 60/40 or 50/50, Corum can beat his ADP without needing an injury, and he becomes a league-altering RB if Kyren misses time. I want him on all my teams.”
– Avery Thrasher (The Branded Sports)

Quentin Johnston (WR – LAC)

“Los Angeles has a new offensive coordinator in Mike McDaniel, which should mean more pass attempts, and one of the beneficiaries could be Quentin Johnston. Sometimes it takes bigger WRs a few years to acclimate to the NFL (for ex, former Bronco Demaryius Thomas). At 6’2″, 208 lbs. Johnston is a physical beast who can outmuscle smaller CBs and be a major target in the red zone. He has good speed for a big WR as well, with a forty time of 4.49 seconds. The Chargers’ offensive line is mostly healthy (minus center Tyler Biadasz, who is out for the season), so that should give Justin Herbert more time to pass. I expect the entire offense to improve this year, and I think Johnston could take another step forward. With a current ADP at only WR 39, Johnston is flying under the radar. I think he’s just beginning to tap into his vast potential.”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

Jonah Coleman (RB – DEN)

“I have plenty of targets at ADP in the top 150, but I’ll give you a deep cut with rookie Broncos back Jonah Coleman. The 145th overall player on FantasyPros’ ADP list currently has a real-time ADP of 148, placing him squarely in the 12th round of drafts. I find myself consistently landing him in the 10th for a number of reasons. We all know JK Dobbins is a risky asset for both his sustained health and advanced age at nearly 28. We have all heard that RJ Harvey is expected to revert back to his early-season role as a passing-down specialist who can make explosive plays but not necessarily navigate the inside running game. Enter Jonah Coleman, a do-it-all back out of Washington whose contingent upside spans both a Dobbins AND a Harvey injury; who has looked great all offseason; and this is the kicker: head coach Sean Payton won’t shut up about him. Payton historically hates playing rookies, but it seems like he’s changing his tune with Coleman. He’ll have a small early-season role that is set to grow naturally throughout the year. And, if an injury occurs, Coleman will be primed to step right in behind PFF’s (and many others’) #1 offensive line headed into 2026. Coleman is an ideal and priority stash in drafts this year.”
– Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)

A.J. Brown (WR – NE)

“With real drafts in full swing, I keep finding myself pulling the trigger on A.J. Brown more and more. The upside is too tantalizing to let go with Drake Maye getting his big-play weapon and red-zone threat. With a small dead cap hit after the season, this is actually a prove-it year for Brown, so I think he will be reading the playbook on the sideline instead of Inner Excellence. If I am picking in the back half of Round 1, there is zero chance Brown makes it to his current ADP.”
– Michael Tomlin (Fantasy Six Pack)

DeVonta Smith (WR – PHI)

“I’m targeting Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith at his current ADP of WR13 and 31st overall. With A.J. Brown traded to New England, Smith is now the clear WR1 in Philadelphia and should see a meaningful jump in target share after posting solid efficiency as the team’s WR2 in previous years. His floor remains high as a precise route-runner in a competitive offense, while the upside pushes him into low-end WR1 territory if volume materializes as expected. At that ADP, you can often grab him in the late third or early fourth round, which offers strong value relative to his projected role.”
– Aaron St Denis (Fantasy Sports Advice Network)

Chris Godwin Jr. (WR – TB)

“Chris Godwin Jr. is the easy target for me at WR35, 84th overall in 0.5 PPR, and WR37, 89th overall in PPR leagues. His name has lost its appeal with the recent injuries and getting up there in age a bit. However, the Bucs are still going to be a competitive team; Baker is in a contract year, and Egbuka is already unsure for Week 1. Godwin may not stay perfectly healthy all season, but even at the end of last season he showed flashes that he’s still got it, and as your WR4 or WR5? It’s a no-brainer.”
– Shawn Gill (Super Fantasy Bros)

KC Concepcion (WR – CLE)

“KC Concepcion is the player I am targeting most because we rank him 79th overall while his current FantasyPros ADP remains around 132. Cleveland spent a first-round pick on a player we believe can become a true superstar, but the immediate appeal is that his role and production should grow as the season progresses. His fantasy playoff schedule is at the Giants, at Baltimore, and at home against Indianapolis in Weeks 15 through 17, giving him a chance to peak exactly when leagues are decided. I have also seen sharp NFFC players select him ahead of public ADP, so I am comfortable drafting him early rather than hoping he survives.”
– Jay Henry Ocho (Jay Henry Ocho)

Jalen Coker (WR – CAR)

“Jalen Coker got paid this summer, and the Panthers didn’t bring in much in regards to competition. The biggest threat they brought in was Chris Brazzell, and he will now be out at least 8 weeks with an LCL injury. Coker has shown upside, and he will be top-2 on this team in targets. Right now he is free, pick 140 and WR52, no risk at all.”
– David Heilman (Dynasty Trade Calculator)

Christian Watson (WR – GB)

“Every time I enter a draft, I am hoping to come back with two main players, Christian Watson and David Montgomery (see my many expert raves about him for me). In my mind, Watson’s value was high going into the season, and it just grew even higher with the news that Josh Jacobs is on the Commissioner’s Exempt List until further notice. Watson was already going to be the WR1 for Jordan Love, and after showing amazing flashes last year upon returning from an ACL is going to see that role expand this year, another year removed from injury. His big frame will make him a top-end zone target for the Packers. With his 5th round ADP, Watson is easily a player that will be on all my redraft leagues, and he will WELL EXCEED his draft position!”
– Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)

Bhayshul Tuten (RB – JAC)

“Still all in on the Tuten Train. Bhayshul Tuten has the opportunity to emerge as the clear RB1 in a Jacksonville offense that should be exceptional in 2026. Tuten will have to fend off the Chris Rodriguez Jr. challenge, especially at the goal line, to really go boom. In limited snaps last season, Tuten managed to earn 3.7 yards per attempt while logging five rushing scores behind Travis Etienne, last year’s RB13. Tuten has the talent to blow past that in 2026, and at a borderline top-60 overall cost, that is a bet absolutely worth taking.”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

Who is a player you’re AVOIDING in drafts based on his current ADP (top-150) and why?

Jeremiyah Love (RB – ARI)

“The biggest problem with Jeremiyah Love is not talent; it’s opportunity cost. Around his ADP (RB14; 28th overall), players like Chris Olave, Malik Nabers, DeVonta Smith, Zay Flowers, or Rashee Rice can be drafted to lock in studs at WR, while later running backs such as Travis Etienne, D’Andre Swift, Jadarian Price, and Blake Corum provide cheaper access to fantasy-friendly team environments. Unfortunately, Love is attached to a Cardinals offense projected to have the lowest win total, lowest team implied point totals, one of the hardest schedules, and one of the worst offensive lines; when added all together with Tyler Allgeier pilfering meaningful work, how many scoring opportunities are realistic for Love this year?”
– Avery Thrasher (The Branded Sports)

Tucker Kraft (TE – GB)

“I probably sound like a broken record talking about how I’m fading Malik Nabers, so I’ll mention someone else I’m avoiding, Tucker Kraft. Like Nabers, Kraft is coming off major reconstructive knee surgery. He had surgery last November. There is zero chance Kraft will be 100% this season. Drafters only have to look within the NFC North to see how tough this injury is for athletes to overcome the following season: T.J. Hockenson, who tore his knee back in December 2023. With an overall ADP at TE 65, Kraft is way too risky for me given it’s been less than a year since his surgery.”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

Rome Odunze (WR – CHI)

“I simply refuse to click on Rome Odunze in drafts this season at his real-time ADP of 59 overall. If you’re telling me I have to spend a 4th (or even 5th or 6th) round pick to acquire Odunze, I’m simply out a cost. While Rome could absolutely find a consistent and high-upside role in one of the league’s better offenses this season, everything we’re hearing out of the Bears camp has been about everyone EXCEPT Odunze. Colston Loveland is primed to break out at TE and is a top-3 consensus pick. Luther Burden is the apple of Head Coach Ben Johnson‘s eye and a player the talented offensive schemer cannot stop talking about. Even in a recent podium trip where Johnson lauded Odunze’s leadership ability, he still said: “I NEED to get him the ball.” But if you listen to the entire clip, it sounds a lot more like Johnson meant that he hasn’t been scheming up Odunze much thus far, rather than he has been viewing him as a major asset in this offense. Given Jameson Williams, Parker Washington, and Christian Watson all hold similar ADPs and the fact that safety at RB is still available in Rhamondre Stevenson, MarShawn Lloyd, and Jaylen Warren, there is just no chance I’m taking one on Odunze at current cost.”
– Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)

Chris Olave (WR – NO)

“Chris Olave carries significant injury risk at his early‑round price, making him a fade at his cost. His concussion history paired with an unproven quarterback in Tyler Shough creates a volatile offensive outlook. With Jordyn Tyson sidelined, defenses will key in on Olave and force him into more dangerous, high‑traffic routes over the middle. At an ADP of 26, the medical red flags outweigh his ceiling and make him a risky investment.”
– Lawrence Iacona (FantasyPros)

Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF)

“I have yet to draft Christian McCaffrey, nor do I plan to in the next couple of weeks. It is rinse and repeat with me on CMC, and we all know the stats. Every time McCaffrey has had 250 carries, he misses 13 games the season after. His rushing metrics have fallen off a cliff, and I mean that electrical substation is not helping the cause.”
– Michael Tomlin (Fantasy Six Pack)

“I’m avoiding San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey at his current ADP of RB3 and 5th overall in half-PPR. At this stage of his career, the injury risk is simply too high to justify spending a mid first-round pick on him when safer elite options remain available. His massive workload history makes durability a legitimate concern, and even minimal missed time would crater the value of that early selection. I’d rather pivot to younger, high-upside receivers in that range and address running back later with more favorable risk-reward profiles.”
– Aaron St Denis (Fantasy Sports Advice Network)

Josh Allen (QB – BUF)

“Josh Allen. Will he be QB1 again this season? Probably. Will he still be really good and really fun to watch? Probably. Am I taking him at 21 overall? No chance. Late 2nd round, when there are still top-10 wide receivers available, still feels a bit rich. Allen will be great, but even last season he averaged 22 PPG. Trevor Lawrence, QB6 last year, averaged 20.6 PPG; even Justin Herbert at QB10 was just over 3 PPG fewer than Allen. QB is super deep this year, and Allen’s price is far too high to justify.”
– Shawn Gill (Super Fantasy Bros)

Rashee Rice (WR – KC)

“Rashee Rice at WR13 and pick 33 makes me nervous, especially if he is your WR1. The Chiefs offense has a lot of question marks with injuries to Rice and Patrick Mahomes. They also have just not been great in the last 3 seasons. They have finished 15th, 15th, and 21st in scoring the last 3 seasons. Only once in those 3 years did they finish in the top-10 in yards. Rice is a risky pick right now, and I would much rather have safer options in this range.”
– David Heilman (Dynasty Trade Calculator)

Ashton Jeanty (RB – LV)

“I am tripling/quadruapling down on Ashton Jeanty not being a strong Fantasy Football pick in 2026, especially for his ADP. Mike Washington Jr. is very talented; on top of that, Jeanty is not going to be 100% running on a bad ankle all season. While it will not be a full RBBC, a 70/30 split is realistic in Las Vegas with Jeanty leading the way. Last season I ranked Jeanty lower than every site; he barely played like an RB3. This season I am doing the same, and I expect a similar season from the RB who struggled in goal line/short yardage more than most RBs in the NFL.”
– Muntradamus (Beast Dome)

Jonathan Taylor (RB – IND)

“Jonathan Taylor is a great running back, but very risky as the RB4/ECR6 player in redraft leagues. Last year, he started the season on fire with historic numbers. Owners were at the top of their leagues and coasting to the playoffs. Then, during the last half of the season (other than the overseas game against Atlanta), he failed to live up to the early-season numbers, costing teams playoff wins and/or championships. While Taylor is still a top running back, the risk of taking him that early means he will not be on any of my redraft teams.”
– Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)

Malik Nabers (WR – NYG)

“Malik Nabers inside the top-30 overall is a big no-go. Once upon a time, this was a player that at cost was an acceptable enough gamble. Now, fantasy managers will be paying near full price to acquire Nabers. He is still trying to work his way back from the knee injury suffered a year ago, while avoiding the subject entirely of his Week 1 status. If health could be all but guaranteed, Nabers would be a great acquisition at this cost, but how many times have players returning from knee injuries in the past been even more susceptible to soft tissue injuries the following season? It happens, and while Nabers is a home run selection if healthy, fantasy managers are better off seeing it first before looking to make the plunge.”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

The Davante Adams Debate

Our experts occasionally disagree on one player with regard to whether they are a target or avoid in fantasy football drafts. When that happens, we will present both arguments and let you decide.

Target

“Davante Adams is a steal at his current ADP of 56, offering low-end WR1 production at a discounted WR2 cost. He remains one of the elite route runners in the NFL, and a prominent piece of a high-powered Los Angeles Rams offense. Coming off a 2025 campaign where he hauled in 60 receptions for 789 yards and a league-leading 14 touchdowns, his efficiency is unquestioned. His elite red-zone usage and secure target volume make him a league-winning asset in the fifth round.”
– Lawrence Iacona (FantasyPros)

Avoid

“Davante Adams is the player I am avoiding because we rank him 83rd overall while his current FantasyPros ADP remains around 54 to 58. He was still excellent last season, but 14 touchdowns on 30 red-zone targets created an efficiency level I do not expect him to repeat. The Rams now have PFF’s top-ranked defensive line after adding Myles Garrett to an already strong unit, so I expect fewer games where Matthew Stafford must keep throwing and forcing volume through Adams. At a fifth-round price, I would rather draft a player whose value does not depend on another near-perfect touchdown season and another massive passing year from Stafford.”
– Jay Henry Ocho (Jay Henry Ocho)