Who Should I Draft?
Aaron Judge or Manny Machado (2019)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Aaron Judge RF,DH - NYY  | Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD  | |
Expert |
58% Recommended by 34 of 59 experts |
42% Recommended by 25 of 59 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 11 | # 13 |
| Best Rank | # 3 | # 7 |
| Worst Rank | # 29 | # 160 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 15 | # 17 |
| Best Rank | # 13 | # 13 |
| Worst Rank | # 19 | # 21 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 102 | 88 |
| Home Runs | 39 | 32 |
| RBI | 95 | 95 |
| Stolen Bases | 7 | 10 |
| Batting Average | .268 | .284 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | # 13 | # 14 |
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 11 | # 23 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 5 | # 17 |
| Staff Rankings FullTime Fantasy | # 18 | # 31 |
| Brad Richter DailyOverlay | # 11 | # 25 |
| Michael Beller The Athletic | # 10 | # 13 |
| Alan Harrison The Fantasy Fix | # 8 | # 12 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 12 | # 15 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 15 | # 19 |
| Tim Young Brewer Rat | # 9 | # 21 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 10 | # 15 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 4 | # 11 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 13 | # 18 |
| Nando Di Fino The Athletic | # 3 | # 10 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 11 | # 22 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 11 | # 14 |
| Chris Meaney The Athletic | # 9 | # 11 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 8 | # 14 |
| Andrea LaMont Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports | # 8 | # 160 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 7 | # 10 |
| Paul Sporer FanGraphs | # 9 | # 13 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 11 | # 12 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 8 | # 14 |
| Justin Mason FanGraphs | # 11 | # 14 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 8 | # 9 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 12 | # 14 |
| Kyle Richardson The Fantasy Headliners | # 9 | # 22 |
| Bart Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football | # 12 | # 13 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 10 | # 15 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 12 | # 20 |
| Jason Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 12 | # 16 |
| Joe E Gentile Fake Teams | # 11 | # 14 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 13 | # 16 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 10 | # 11 |
| Justin Klein The Fake Baseball | # 10 | # 9 |
| Bill Dubiel RotoBaller | # 11 | # 7 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 12 | # 10 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 12 | # 10 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 13 | # 9 |
| Tyler Thompson Fantasy Six Pack | # 13 | # 8 |
| Austin Bristow II Pitcher List | # 13 | # 7 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 13 | # 9 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 13 | # 10 |
| Heath Cummings CBS Sports | # 13 | # 11 |
| Eno Sarris The Athletic | # 14 | # 10 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 14 | # 13 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 15 | # 11 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 15 | # 9 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 15 | # 14 |
| Jacob Gibbs SportsLine | # 15 | # 8 |
| Scott White CBS Sports | # 15 | # 11 |
| Brandon 'B_Don' Myers Razzball | # 16 | # 7 |
| Bobby Sylvester FantasyPros | # 18 | # 14 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 18 | # 13 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 18 | # 13 |
| Jason Johnson Understanding Fantasy Baseball | # 19 | # 14 |
| Al Melchior The Athletic | # 21 | # 12 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 25 | # 15 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 29 | # 14 |
| Aaron Judge RF,DH - NYY | Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | |
| 2018 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 413 | 632 |
| Runs | 77 | 84 |
| Hits | 115 | 188 |
| Singles | 66 | 113 |
| Doubles | 22 | 35 |
| Triples | 0 | 3 |
| Home Runs | 27 | 37 |
| RBI | 67 | 107 |
| Stolen Bases | 6 | 14 |
| Caught Stealing | 3 | 2 |
| Walks | 76 | 70 |
| Strikeouts | 152 | 104 |
| Batting Average | .279 | .298 |
| On Base Pct | .392 | .367 |
| Slugging Pct | .528 | .538 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .919 | .905 |
| Aaron Judge RF,DH - NYY | Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | |
| 2019 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 514 | 595 |
| Runs | 102 | 88 |
| Hits | 138 | 169 |
| Singles | 74 | 101 |
| Doubles | 24 | 32 |
| Triples | 1 | 3 |
| Home Runs | 39 | 32 |
| RBI | 95 | 95 |
| Stolen Bases | 7 | 10 |
| Caught Stealing | 3 | 3 |
| Walks | 94 | 60 |
| Strikeouts | 184 | 104 |
| Batting Average | .268 | .284 |
| On Base Pct | .381 | .349 |
| Slugging Pct | .545 | .510 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .926 | .859 |
| Aaron Judge RF,DH - NYY | Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | |
| News | ||
| Aaron Judge went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and walk during a 4-3 loss against the Blue Jays on Friday. John Aubin Sat, Sep 21st | Manny Machado hit his 30th homer of the year in the Padres' 11-10 loss to the Rockies on Saturday. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sun, Sep 15th | |
| Aaron Judge went 1-for-4 and hit a two-run home run on Wednesday as the Yankees lost to the Angels by a 3-2 score. John Aubin Thu, Sep 19th | Manny Machado went 0-for-5 with a strikeout as the Padres beat the Cubs 9-8 on Tuesday night. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Sep 11th | |
| Aaron Judge's day off Friday is unrelated to his collision with the outfield wall during Thursday's doubleheader against Detroit, Pete Caldera of The Bergen Record reports. John Aubin Sat, Sep 14th | Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a walk in the Padres' 4-1 loss to the Diamondbacks on Wednesday night. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Thu, Sep 5th | |
| Aaron Judge is absent from Tuesday's lineup versus the Tigers. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Tue, Sep 10th | Manny Machado went 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, and two runs scored in the Padres' 8-3 loss to the Giants on Friday night. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sat, Aug 31st | |
| Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 with a double and a walk on Monday as the Yankees beat the Red Sox by a 5-0 score. John Aubin Tue, Sep 10th | Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a double and a stolen base in the Padres' 9-0 loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Aug 28th | |
| Notes | ||
| Judge had a down year in 2018 which means his OPS was merely .919. If he can get back to playing 150 games this year, fantasy owners can bank on 45 homers, 110 runs and 100 RBIs. That may have you ready to grab him in the first round, but he comes with more injury risk than anyone else in the top 20 Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros | Regardless of what you think about Machado, he has been a reliable force of nature the last few years and likely hasn't even come into his prime yet. The landing spot in San Diego isn't quite what you would think, as it has actually been a top half of the league ballpark for right-handed hitters since they moved their fences in. So don't hesitate to snag him at the end of the first round, as he seems destined for another 35+ homer, 90+ RBI, 90+ run season Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros | |
| After struggling during a brief cup of coffee with the Yankees in 2016, Judge took the world by storm with 52 home runs in 2017. His 2018 encore wasn't quite as tremendous, particularly when you factor in the missed time due to injury, but Judge still smacked 27 HRs in just 413 at-bats. His .278 batting average is due to drop -- Judge has had a surprisingly high BABIP for two years running -- but he is primed to again approach 40 HRs with 100+ runs and RBIs and even 5-10 steals. Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros | Machado has four straight seasons with at least 33 home runs, and has finished as a top-20 hitter in standard 5x5 leagues in three of the last four years (he finished a still solid 42nd in 2017). The move to San Diego isn't ideal for his fantasy value, but Petco Park isn't nearly as much of a problem for hitters as it once was, particularly when it comes to right-handed power hitters like Machado. Padres manager Andy Green also sends runners much more frequently than the Orioles or Dodgers do, which could help Machado's stolen base totals. Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros | |
| After scorching a rookie-record 52 homers in 52, Judge settled for 27 in 498 plate appearances last season. Yet a feared average regression never materialized, as he batted .278 despite posting a 30.5 strikeout %. He led all hitters in average exit velocity (94.7 mph) with the highest % of batted balls hit a least 95 mph (54.1), so don't make the mistake of expecting a regressed BABIP to ruin his average. He might have peaked right out of the gate, but Judge should at least settle into 35-40 homers with a handful of steals if last year's oblique injuries don't resurface. Andrew Gould - FantasyPros | Along with setting personal highs in each element of his .297/.367/.538 slash line, Machado bashed 37 homers and stole 14 bases, a significant development since he stole none in 2016. He has hit 33 homers in at least 690 plate appearances in each of the last four seasons, so he'd probably be considered a first-round lock if not for remaining unsigned. Now that he established 2017's funk as the clear outlier, Machado is a trustworthy stud eligible for shortstop and third (16 games) in most formats. Signing the Padres doesn't kill his worth, but he's someone to target near the Round ½ turn rather than inside the top 10. Andrew Gould - FantasyPros | |
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7/23/2019
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