Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Judge or Manny Machado (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
34 of 59 experts
42%
Recommended by
25 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 11# 13
Best Rank# 3# 7
Worst Rank# 29# 160
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 15# 17
Best Rank# 13# 13
Worst Rank# 19# 21
   
Projections 
   
Runs10288
Home Runs3932
RBI9595
Stolen Bases710
Batting Average.268.284
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 13# 14
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 23
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 17
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 18# 31
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 11# 25
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 10# 13
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 12# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 15# 19
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 9# 21
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 15
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 4# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 18
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 3# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 11# 22
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 14
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 9# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 14
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 8# 160
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 10
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 9# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 12
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 8# 14
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 11# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 14
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 9# 22
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 12# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 20
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 16
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 11# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 16
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 11
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 9
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 12# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 9
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 8
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 7
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 13# 10
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 13# 11
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 14# 10
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 9
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 14
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 15# 8
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 15# 11
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 16# 7
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 18# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 13
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 18# 13
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 19# 14
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 21# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 25# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 14
   
  Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats413632
   
Runs7784
   
Hits115188
   
Singles66113
   
Doubles2235
   
Triples03
   
Home Runs2737
   
RBI67107
   
Stolen Bases614
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks7670
   
Strikeouts152104
   
Batting Average.279.298
   
On Base Pct.392.367
   
Slugging Pct.528.538
   
On-base Plus Slugging.919.905
   
  Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats514595
   
Runs10288
   
Hits138169
   
Singles74101
   
Doubles2432
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs3932
   
RBI9595
   
Stolen Bases710
   
Caught Stealing33
   
Walks9460
   
Strikeouts184104
   
Batting Average.268.284
   
On Base Pct.381.349
   
Slugging Pct.545.510
   
On-base Plus Slugging.926.859
   
  Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
News 
 Aaron Judge went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and walk during a 4-3 loss against the Blue Jays on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
Manny Machado hit his 30th homer of the year in the Padres' 11-10 loss to the Rockies on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 15th
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-4 and hit a two-run home run on Wednesday as the Yankees lost to the Angels by a 3-2 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
Manny Machado went 0-for-5 with a strikeout as the Padres beat the Cubs 9-8 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
 Aaron Judge's day off Friday is unrelated to his collision with the outfield wall during Thursday's doubleheader against Detroit, Pete Caldera of The Bergen Record reports.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a walk in the Padres' 4-1 loss to the Diamondbacks on Wednesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 5th
 Aaron Judge is absent from Tuesday's lineup versus the Tigers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 10th
Manny Machado went 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, and two runs scored in the Padres' 8-3 loss to the Giants on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
 Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 with a double and a walk on Monday as the Yankees beat the Red Sox by a 5-0 score.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 10th
Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a double and a stolen base in the Padres' 9-0 loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 28th
Notes 
 Judge had a down year in 2018 which means his OPS was merely .919. If he can get back to playing 150 games this year, fantasy owners can bank on 45 homers, 110 runs and 100 RBIs. That may have you ready to grab him in the first round, but he comes with more injury risk than anyone else in the top 20
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Regardless of what you think about Machado, he has been a reliable force of nature the last few years and likely hasn't even come into his prime yet. The landing spot in San Diego isn't quite what you would think, as it has actually been a top half of the league ballpark for right-handed hitters since they moved their fences in. So don't hesitate to snag him at the end of the first round, as he seems destined for another 35+ homer, 90+ RBI, 90+ run season
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 After struggling during a brief cup of coffee with the Yankees in 2016, Judge took the world by storm with 52 home runs in 2017. His 2018 encore wasn't quite as tremendous, particularly when you factor in the missed time due to injury, but Judge still smacked 27 HRs in just 413 at-bats. His .278 batting average is due to drop -- Judge has had a surprisingly high BABIP for two years running -- but he is primed to again approach 40 HRs with 100+ runs and RBIs and even 5-10 steals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Machado has four straight seasons with at least 33 home runs, and has finished as a top-20 hitter in standard 5x5 leagues in three of the last four years (he finished a still solid 42nd in 2017). The move to San Diego isn't ideal for his fantasy value, but Petco Park isn't nearly as much of a problem for hitters as it once was, particularly when it comes to right-handed power hitters like Machado. Padres manager Andy Green also sends runners much more frequently than the Orioles or Dodgers do, which could help Machado's stolen base totals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 After scorching a rookie-record 52 homers in 52, Judge settled for 27 in 498 plate appearances last season. Yet a feared average regression never materialized, as he batted .278 despite posting a 30.5 strikeout %. He led all hitters in average exit velocity (94.7 mph) with the highest % of batted balls hit a least 95 mph (54.1), so don't make the mistake of expecting a regressed BABIP to ruin his average. He might have peaked right out of the gate, but Judge should at least settle into 35-40 homers with a handful of steals if last year's oblique injuries don't resurface.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Along with setting personal highs in each element of his .297/.367/.538 slash line, Machado bashed 37 homers and stole 14 bases, a significant development since he stole none in 2016. He has hit 33 homers in at least 690 plate appearances in each of the last four seasons, so he'd probably be considered a first-round lock if not for remaining unsigned. Now that he established 2017's funk as the clear outlier, Machado is a trustworthy stud eligible for shortstop and third (16 games) in most formats. Signing the Padres doesn't kill his worth, but he's someone to target near the Round ½ turn rather than inside the top 10.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros