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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Judge or Paul Goldschmidt (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
35 of 54 experts
35%
Recommended by
19 of 54 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 39
Best Rank# 2# 28
Worst Rank# 118# 72
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 41# 65
Best Rank# 40# 46
Worst Rank# 60# 72
   
Projections 
   
Runs3433
Home Runs1311
RBI3034
Stolen Bases22
Batting Average.272.275
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 33
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 55
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 48
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 19# 34
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 30# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 39
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 49
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 45# 64
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 27# 49
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 71
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 19# 38
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 31# 49
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 49
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 16# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 33# 42
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 30# 37
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 41
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 47
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 40
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 42# 48
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 58
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 30
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 52
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 36
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 27# 59
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 17# 46
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 44
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 26# 42
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 61
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 42# 72
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 37
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 40# 30
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 42# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 43# 39
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 43# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 35
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 47# 42
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 50# 34
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 48
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 53# 28
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 56# 35
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 45
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 62# 44
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 34
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 76# 34
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 89# 36
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 118# 42
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats378597
   
Runs7597
   
Hits103155
   
Singles5795
   
Doubles1825
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs2734
   
RBI5597
   
Stolen Bases33
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks6478
   
Strikeouts141166
   
Batting Average.273.260
   
On Base Pct.381.346
   
Slugging Pct.540.476
   
On-base Plus Slugging.921.821
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats175203
   
Runs3433
   
Hits4756
   
Singles2633
   
Doubles810
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs1311
   
RBI3034
   
Stolen Bases22
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks3230
   
Strikeouts6658
   
Batting Average.272.275
   
On Base Pct.384.368
   
Slugging Pct.531.497
   
On-base Plus Slugging.915.865
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
News 
 Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 at the plate with a double and scored a run on Monday as the Yankees beat the Phillies by a 6-3 score.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 4th
Paul Goldschmidt had a single and a walk in Wednesday's loss to the Twins.
Jarod Rupp
Thu, Jul 30th
 Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 with two homers, five RBI, and a walk in Sunday's 9-7 win over the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Mon, Aug 3rd
Paul Goldschmidt picked up a single Sunday in the loss to Pittsburgh.
Jarod Rupp
Mon, Jul 27th
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-3 at the plate with a solo home run and a walk during Saturday's 5-2 win over the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 2nd
Paul Goldschmidt went 2-for-5 with a solo home run and two runs scored in Saturday's 9-1 win over the Pirates.
Brad Camara
Sat, Jul 25th
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run and two strikeouts in Friday's win against the Red Sox by a 5-1 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 1st
Paul Goldschmidt went 2-for-3 for the Cardinals in their first game of the season in a win over the Pirates on Friday.
Jarod Rupp
Sat, Jul 25th
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run and two runs scored Thursday against the Orioles.
John Aubin
Fri, Jul 31st
Paul Goldschmidt told reporters that his elbow is 100 percent healthy now.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 4th
Notes 
 Staying healthy is a skill, and it's one that Aaron Judge hasn't possessed over the past couple of seasons. Could his size contribute to that? He's missed significant portions of the past two seasons, and he was dealing with an injury that caused his stock to drop during draft season. There's no denying the power and overall contributions that he brings, but he, like teammate Giancarlo Stanton, gives owners pause about taking them thanks to durability concerns. The tried and true rule is to not take injured players in the draft as there is enough risk baked into players already. Pass on Judge unless he has a clean bill of health.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
What set Paul Goldschmidt apart from the other first basemen for years were his steals. Over the past four years, his stolen base totals have dropped from 32 to 18, to 7, to 3 last year. He had 34 home runs, which were nice, but he also had his lowest triple-slash line since his rookie year in 2011. He'll still give you production at a shallow position, but this isn't going to be a gradual decline with Goldschmidt.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Judge has a stress fracture in his rib, which showed "slight improvement" based on a CT scan in mid-April. But he is also dealing with a collapsed lung, and there is still no timetable for when he may be ready for baseball activity. Even with the postponement of the season, there's no guarantee that Judge will be ready to play at any point this season. Draft him with a heavy dose of pessimism and you should be fine.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Goldschmidt's batting average may have dipped thanks to a slow start but he finished with 30+ homers for the third consecutive season and very nearly went for 100 runs and 100 RBIs. More than likely, that batting average will end up north of .280 again too which would make him a steal at the end of the fifth round.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Judge again missed 50+ games in 2019. While he is healthy, we are still looking at a 40+ homer pace with tons of runs and a batting average that won't kill fantasy owners, but with a second round ADP, the risk may be a little bit too much.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
His production has been on a steady decline over the past three years as he has gotten older, and that is not something I plan on buying into in the 5th round.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Has played over 112 games once in four year. Very good player, but not taking on that injury risk in the second or third round.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
better in points
Frank Stampfl - RotoExperts
 Ranked in the top 1% in baseball in barrel%, hard hit rate, and exit velocity in 2019
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Took a step back last year. Similar to Manny Machado I want to buy back in due to the major ADP discount from a season ago.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros