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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Judge or Tommy Pham (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
31 of 45 experts
31%
Recommended by
14 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 45
Best Rank# 16# 31
Worst Rank# 118# 71
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 50# 78
Best Rank# 40# 63
Worst Rank# 78# 108
   
Projections 
   
Runs3330
Home Runs138
RBI2924
Stolen Bases27
Batting Average.273.280
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 57
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 57
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 42
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 37
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 19# 46
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 30# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 18# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 19# 46
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 46
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 42
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 38
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 57
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 19# 46
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 31# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 18# 51
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 16# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 57
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 40# 61
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 52
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 46# 64
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 68# 71
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 29# 48
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 71
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 32# 44
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 24# 47
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 37
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 17# 45
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 35# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 50
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 40# 34
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 37
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 51# 47
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 53# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 47
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 56# 39
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 32
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 59# 46
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 61# 60
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 66# 43
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 49
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 76# 37
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 89# 52
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 118# 31
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats378567
   
Runs7577
   
Hits103156
   
Singles57100
   
Doubles1833
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs2721
   
RBI5569
   
Stolen Bases325
   
Caught Stealing24
   
Walks6481
   
Strikeouts141123
   
Batting Average.273.275
   
On Base Pct.381.370
   
Slugging Pct.540.452
   
On-base Plus Slugging.921.822
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats167179
   
Runs3330
   
Hits4650
   
Singles2532
   
Doubles89
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs138
   
RBI2924
   
Stolen Bases27
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks3126
   
Strikeouts6445
   
Batting Average.273.280
   
On Base Pct.388.370
   
Slugging Pct.538.465
   
On-base Plus Slugging.925.836
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
News 
 Aaron Judge (rib) said "I'm game ready." "Like I told you guys in Spring Training, I was going to be ready for Opening Day."
Brad Camara
Mon, Jul 6th
OF Tommy Pham has tested positive for the Coronavirus.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 3rd
 Aaron Judge is starting in right field for the Bomber squad in Monday night's intrasquad game.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Mon, Jul 6th
Tommy Pham went 0-for-3 with a strikeout as the DH in Monday's 14-2 loss to the Dodgers.
Steven Boysko - The Leadoff Batter
Tue, Mar 10th
 Aaron Judge (rib) is swinging without pain, Brendan Kuty of The Newark Star-Ledger reports.
John Aubin
Sat, Jul 4th
Tommy Pham (elbow, side) could be ready to play the outfield by next Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Mar 6th
 Aaron Judge faces Gerrit Cole on Thursday in a simulated game at Yankee Stadium.
Joe Buttgereit - Fantasy Sports Nerdz
Thu, Jul 2nd
Tommy Pham (side) is expected to serve as the Padres' DH in Saturday's matchup against the Reds.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Feb 27th
 Aaron Judge is expected to be ready for Opening Day, as GM Brian Cashman expressed optimism on his Opening Day prospects during a call with reporters.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Tue, Jun 30th
Tommy Pham did not play in Tuesday's spring training game against the Athletics due to side soreness.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Feb 26th
Notes 
 Staying healthy is a skill, and it's one that Aaron Judge hasn't possessed over the past couple of seasons. Could his size contribute to that? He's missed significant portions of the past two seasons, and he was dealing with an injury that caused his stock to drop during draft season. There's no denying the power and overall contributions that he brings, but he, like teammate Giancarlo Stanton, gives owners pause about taking them thanks to durability concerns. The tried and true rule is to not take injured players in the draft as there is enough risk baked into players already. Pass on Judge unless he has a clean bill of health.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
You really need to try to remember that Pham is already 32 because of the late start he got to his career. While he's been a top fantasy contributor for the past three years, he's at the age where skills tend to fall off. If you look at Pham's batted ball data, he still has a high exit velocity and hard-hit rate (both 82nd percentile), and his sprint speed and xOBA and xBA are all great and above average, respectively. But there are signs that a decline could take place, making him a guy you could be over-drafting at 83rd overall. He recorded the lowest launch angle of his career in 2019, which resulted in the fourth-highest groundball rate in the big leagues. What's more, he also was 128th in baseball in Brls/BBE%, tied with the likes of Adalberto Mondesi, Travis d'Arnaud, Maikel Franco, and Andrew Benintendi. Take into account his batted ball profile and his age, seeing the loss of a handful of steals and homers could make him a pick you regret, especially when you see names like Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario, Matt Chapman, and Nick Castellanos going after him.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Judge has a stress fracture in his rib, which showed "slight improvement" based on a CT scan in mid-April. But he is also dealing with a collapsed lung, and there is still no timetable for when he may be ready for baseball activity. Even with the postponement of the season, there's no guarantee that Judge will be ready to play at any point this season. Draft him with a heavy dose of pessimism and you should be fine.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Pham may not be the biggest name in baseball but by now, we should know he is going to give fantasy owners 20 homers, 20 steals and a strong batting average with loads of runs. He offers similar expectations to Austin Meadows but four rounds later.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Judge again missed 50+ games in 2019. While he is healthy, we are still looking at a 40+ homer pace with tons of runs and a batting average that won't kill fantasy owners, but with a second round ADP, the risk may be a little bit too much.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 
 Has played over 112 games once in four year. Very good player, but not taking on that injury risk in the second or third round.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy