Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Judge or Trevor Story (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
39 of 59 experts
34%
Recommended by
20 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 11# 14
Best Rank# 3# 4
Worst Rank# 29# 25
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 15# 20
Best Rank# 13# 17
Worst Rank# 19# 27
   
Projections 
   
Runs10287
Home Runs3934
RBI95100
Stolen Bases719
Batting Average.268.273
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 19
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 8
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 11# 18
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 10# 23
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 13
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 12# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 15# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 4# 15
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 15# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 13# 21
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 3# 25
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 11# 13
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 13
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 8# 11
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 17
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 9# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 14
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 13
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 11# 16
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 12# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 13# 15
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 16# 18
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 9# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 15# 16
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 12# 19
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 16
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 11# 16
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 14
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 8# 7
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 9# 8
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 9# 4
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 10
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 9
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 12
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 13# 10
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 14# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 14
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 8
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 18# 9
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 18# 13
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 14
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 18# 12
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 19# 10
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 21# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 25# 14
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 9
   
  Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats413598
   
Runs7788
   
Hits115174
   
Singles6689
   
Doubles2242
   
Triples06
   
Home Runs2737
   
RBI67108
   
Stolen Bases627
   
Caught Stealing36
   
Walks7647
   
Strikeouts152168
   
Batting Average.279.291
   
On Base Pct.392.348
   
Slugging Pct.528.567
   
On-base Plus Slugging.919.915
   
  Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats514568
   
Runs10287
   
Hits138155
   
Singles7479
   
Doubles2437
   
Triples15
   
Home Runs3934
   
RBI95100
   
Stolen Bases719
   
Caught Stealing35
   
Walks9450
   
Strikeouts184170
   
Batting Average.268.273
   
On Base Pct.381.332
   
Slugging Pct.545.534
   
On-base Plus Slugging.926.865
   
  Aaron Judge
RF,DH - NYY
Aaron Judge
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
News 
 Aaron Judge's day off Friday is unrelated to his collision with the outfield wall during Thursday's doubleheader against Detroit, Pete Caldera of The Bergen Record reports.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
Trevor Story went 3-for-5 with two homers, three RBI, and three runs scored in the Rockies' 10-8 win over the Padres on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 14th
 Aaron Judge is absent from Tuesday's lineup versus the Tigers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 10th
Trevor Story went 2-for-4 with a homer and two runs scored in the Rockies' loss to the Dodgers on Labor Day.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 3rd
 Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 with a double and a walk on Monday as the Yankees beat the Red Sox by a 5-0 score.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 10th
Trevor Story went 2-for-5 with a homer, a double, and two runs scored in the Rockies' 9-4 loss to the Pirates on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-4 with a home run as the Yankees defeated the Rangers 4-1.
Brandon Plutner
Wed, Sep 4th
Trevor Story went 3-for-4 with a stolen base in the Rockies' 3-1 win over the Braves on Monday afternoon.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Aug 27th
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-3 with a home run and a walk as the Yankees defeated the A’s 4-3.
Brandon Plutner
Sun, Sep 1st
Trevor Story went 4-for-4 with a double, three RBI, and a run scored in the Rockies' 8-7 loss to the D'Backs on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 21st
Notes 
 Judge had a down year in 2018 which means his OPS was merely .919. If he can get back to playing 150 games this year, fantasy owners can bank on 45 homers, 110 runs and 100 RBIs. That may have you ready to grab him in the first round, but he comes with more injury risk than anyone else in the top 20
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
You can snag Story in the late second, or even third round despite the fact that he outproduced top-five pick, Francisco Lindor in BA, SB, RBI and was just one behind him in homers. There is more risk with Story, but his 2018 campaign was among the all-time greats for fantasy shortstops
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 After struggling during a brief cup of coffee with the Yankees in 2016, Judge took the world by storm with 52 home runs in 2017. His 2018 encore wasn't quite as tremendous, particularly when you factor in the missed time due to injury, but Judge still smacked 27 HRs in just 413 at-bats. His .278 batting average is due to drop -- Judge has had a surprisingly high BABIP for two years running -- but he is primed to again approach 40 HRs with 100+ runs and RBIs and even 5-10 steals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Story fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Javier Baez: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Story is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .291 batting average. But even if he hits closer to his .268 career average, Story's combination of power and speed should keep him among the top fantasy shortstops in 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 After scorching a rookie-record 52 homers in 52, Judge settled for 27 in 498 plate appearances last season. Yet a feared average regression never materialized, as he batted .278 despite posting a 30.5 strikeout %. He led all hitters in average exit velocity (94.7 mph) with the highest % of batted balls hit a least 95 mph (54.1), so don't make the mistake of expecting a regressed BABIP to ruin his average. He might have peaked right out of the gate, but Judge should at least settle into 35-40 homers with a handful of steals if last year's oblique injuries don't resurface.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Story bounced back from a wretched 2017 and improved upon 2016's breakout. Slicing his strikeout rate from 34.4 to 25.6% helped him bat .291, and he stole 27 bases (19 more than his previous career high) alongside 37 long balls. A full repeat would make him an easy first rounder, but his contact skills still don't support such a high batting average. Statcast's .261 xAVG agrees. He's still a shortstop who calls Coors Field home, and regression could still offer 30/20 campaign, so don't shy away since the late-second round price accounts for these concerns.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros