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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Brandon Woodruff (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
Expert
Recommendation
88%
Recommended by
45 of 51 experts
12%
Recommended by
6 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 13
Best Rank# 3# 4
Worst Rank# 13# 27
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 37
Best Rank# 22# 32
Worst Rank# 25# 50
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts222191
Wins1311
Saves00
ERA3.563.45
WHIP1.171.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 13
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 13
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 7# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 10
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 19
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 13
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 8# 13
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 13
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 13
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 13
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 7# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 12
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 7# 12
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 12
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 9
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 13
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 11
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 7# 17
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 13
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 15
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 6# 14
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 4# 13
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 9# 16
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 10# 14
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 7# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 7# 19
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 8# 13
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 8# 13
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 5# 13
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 7# 4
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 9
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 12# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 10
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 8
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 13# 9
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1213
   
Games Started1213
   
Innings Pitched71.274.2
   
Wins53
   
Losses55
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5455
   
Earned Runs2625
   
Home Runs Allowed99
   
Strikeouts9691
   
Walks2318
   
ERA3.283.05
   
WHIP1.080.99
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3130
   
Games Started3129
   
Innings Pitched190.0165.5
   
Wins1311
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed161141
   
Earned Runs7563
   
Home Runs Allowed2420
   
Strikeouts222191
   
Walks6046
   
ERA3.563.45
   
WHIP1.171.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out eight over six innings in Thursday's win over the Pirates.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 24th
Brandon Woodruff (9-10) took the loss Tuesday against the Cardinals, allowing one run on two hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 8th
Brandon Woodruff (9-9) took the loss Wednesday against the Tigers, allowing three runs on four hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 15th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 3rd
The Brewers have scratched pitcher Brandon Woodruff from his start on Saturday due to a stomach bug. Eric Lauer will take the mound instead. Meanwhile, Woodruff's start has been moved back to Wednesday.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on three hits and no walks while striking out seven over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Aug 28th
Brandon Woodruff (9-8) took the loss Monday against the Phillies, allowing four runs on nine hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 6th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on two hits and two walks while striking out 11 over 8 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Padres on Saturday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Aug 22nd
Brandon Woodruff (9-7) earned the victory Tuesday against the Giants, allowing one run on five hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There were some skeptics after Woodruff succeeded in 2019 based largely on one pitch - his devastating fastball - but he put those concerns to rest in 2020. His ERA (3.05) and WHIP (0.99) were incredibly strong, particularly when you consider that he struck out more than 11 batters per nine innings. Woodruff's fastball hits rests at 96 MPH and is one of the better pitches in baseball, but his slider and changeup both made strides last year. The Brewers are reportedly planning to add about 100 innings to their starter's workloads last season, so pencil Woodruff in for roughly 175 extremely strong frames. You can survive with him as your fantasy ace, though he's best as an incredibly strong number 2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Woodruff's 2020 season ranked in the 90th percentile in both xERA and xwOBA. He rates out well according to both FIP and Baseball Savant. It's fair to call him a good-to-great starting pitcher. The question becomes what kind of workload can we expect from Milwaukee's No. 1? Woodruff logged 73 2/3 innings last summer after posting a career-high 121 2/3 frames in 2019. The Brewers plan to add on 100 innings to each of their SP's workloads from last year. If you believe Woodruff will hold up then he's a wildly exciting SP2 in fantasy.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros