Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Carlos Carrasco (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
47 of 59 experts
20%
Recommended by
12 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 9
Best Rank# 3# 7
Worst Rank# 13# 15
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 25# 36
Best Rank# 23# 33
Worst Rank# 31# 40
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts210215
Wins1415
Saves00
ERA3.213.31
WHIP1.141.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 7# 10
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 8
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 5# 10
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 6# 10
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 6# 9
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 11
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 7
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 8# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 9
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 3# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 9
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 6# 11
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 11
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 6# 8
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 7# 11
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 8# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 10
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 4# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 6# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 8
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 8
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 6# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 10
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 5# 9
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 9
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 7# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 11
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 6# 12
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 8# 10
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 10
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 4# 8
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 12
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 9# 10
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 9# 10
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 6# 11
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 13
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 4# 10
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 6# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 8
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 10
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 4# 14
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 4# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 7
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 7
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 9# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 7
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 10# 8
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 10# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 8
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 10# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 10
   
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3332
   
Games Started3330
   
Innings Pitched212.2192.0
   
Wins1717
   
Losses610
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed149173
   
Earned Runs5672
   
Home Runs Allowed1721
   
Strikeouts224231
   
Walks5843
   
ERA2.373.38
   
WHIP0.971.13
   
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3230
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched196.5189.4
   
Wins1415
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed169168
   
Earned Runs7070
   
Home Runs Allowed2022
   
Strikeouts210215
   
Walks5544
   
ERA3.213.31
   
WHIP1.141.12
   
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed four earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out seven over six innings in Monday's loss to the Braves. The loss drops him to 12-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 10th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco struggled in a 6-5 loss to the White Sox on Tuesday. Carrasco gave up four runs in one inning of relief in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 4th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed five earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over four innings in a no-decision against the Reds on Wednesday.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 5th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco gave up one run in one inning in an 8-2 loss to the Rays on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 1st
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on five hits and one walk while striking out seven over seven innings in Sunday's loss to the Marlins. The loss drops him to 12-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Aug 26th
The Indians activated Carlos Carrasco from the 60-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 1st
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on four hits and one walk while striking out seven over seven innings in Tuesday's win over the Red Sox. The win brings him to 12-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Aug 21st
Indians starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco has been diagnosed with leukemia.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 6th
 Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on three hits and one walk while striking out seven over seven innings in Wednesday's win over the Cubs. The win brings him to 11-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Aug 14th
The Indians have placed Carlos Carrasco on the 10-day injured list with a blood condition.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Notes 
 Nola took another major leap forward last year, and while he may never be a 300 or even 250 strikeout guy like the handful of pitchers being drafted above him, 220+ with a sub 1.00 WHIP and 2.50 ERA will certainly warrant a third round pick
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Although Cleveland doesn't pay him like it, Carrasco has been a true ace for five straight years, posting a sparkling 3.27 ERA with 193 Ks per season in that time. There is more upside with a pitcher like Syndergaard or Strasburg, but Carrasco's floor makes him one of the top 15 pitchers in this year's fantasy drafts
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 While Nola's 2018 surface numbers suggest a big breakthrough, the advanced metrics show that he has been largely the same pitcher over the last three seasons, just in more innings. His strikeout and walk rates remained nearly identical, and he generated a similar amount of soft contact, but the difference was that his left-on-base percentage rose and his BABIP allowed dropped in a big way. As a result, his ERA was much lower than his FIP and xFIP, after lagging behind those metrics in 2016 and 2017. Nola's peripherals have consistently indicated that his true skill is that of a pitcher with a low-3.00s ERA and WHIP in the 1.10-1.20 range, so that' should be our baseline expectation for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
While he is not quite as dominant as the top-tier fantasy aces, Carrasco has been consistently excellent over the last five seasons in Cleveland, churning out a low-3.00s ERA and 1.10-ish WHIP, while striking out well more than a batter per inning. And although he has had health concerns at times, Carrasco has been something of a workhorse of late, tossing at least 192 innings and collecting at least 17 wins each of the last two seasons. Carrasco's terrific year-to-year consistency makes him a prudent choice once the top-six aces are off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Nola won't sustain a pristine 2.37 ERA, but only nine starters posted a higher FIP than his 3.01. He yielded the second-lowest hard-hit rate (25.1%) behind Zack Wheeler and should keep striking out more than a batter per frame with support from his 12.4% swinging-strike rate. Although 2018 represents his ceiling, the 25-year-old's regression should still represent a lower-level ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
To little fanfare, Carrasco has finally morphed into the ace everyone has chased for years. Dealing with durability problems throughout his career, Cleveland's overlooked stud has posted ERAs of 3.29 and 3.38 in 200 and 192 innings, respectively, over the last two years. Each time he notched a K/9 above 10.0 and BB/9 slightly above 2.00. He ranked inside the top 10 in FIP (2.98), swinging-strike rate (15.2%), and contact rate (69.2%) among qualified starters in 2018, but isn't always getting drafted like a top-10 ace. He's a great affordable anchor to target in the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros