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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Clayton Kershaw (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Expert
Recommendation
82%
Recommended by
42 of 51 experts
18%
Recommended by
9 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 12
Best Rank# 3# 5
Worst Rank# 13# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 30
Best Rank# 22# 26
Worst Rank# 25# 33
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts222176
Wins1314
Saves00
ERA3.563.24
WHIP1.171.06
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 11
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 12
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 11
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 7# 9
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 14
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 12
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 8# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 14
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 13
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 10
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 7# 12
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 11
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 7# 10
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 6# 12
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 7# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 13
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 16
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 12
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 7# 12
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 12
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 15
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 6# 12
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 4# 10
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 10# 12
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 7# 10
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 8# 12
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 8# 10
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 5# 12
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 8# 9
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 7# 6
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 6
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 9# 5
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 7
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 9
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 12# 11
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 7
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 10
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 13# 12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1210
   
Games Started1210
   
Innings Pitched71.258.1
   
Wins56
   
Losses52
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5441
   
Earned Runs2614
   
Home Runs Allowed98
   
Strikeouts9662
   
Walks238
   
ERA3.282.16
   
WHIP1.080.84
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3128
   
Games Started3128
   
Innings Pitched190.0167.2
   
Wins1314
   
Losses97
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed161142
   
Earned Runs7560
   
Home Runs Allowed2423
   
Strikeouts222176
   
Walks6035
   
ERA3.563.24
   
WHIP1.171.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out eight over six innings in Thursday's win over the Pirates.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 24th
LHP Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with eight strikeouts in the Dodgers' 8-5 win over the Reds.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 20th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 8th
Dodgers LHP Clayton Kershaw (forearm) threw a bullpen session on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 3rd
Clayton Kershaw allowed two runs on four hits over three innings with three strikeouts in his rehab stint on Tuesday for Triple-A Oklahoma City.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on three hits and no walks while striking out seven over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Aug 28th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says that Clayton Kershaw (forearm) might need just one rehab start before rejoining the rotation.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 6th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on two hits and two walks while striking out 11 over 8 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Padres on Saturday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Aug 22nd
Dodgers' SP Clayton Kershaw (forearm) will make a rehab appearance in Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday.
Jack Mannis
Sun, Sep 5th
Notes 
 Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Kershaw turned back the clock a bit in 2020, as the shortened season allowed him to let things go a bit more and add some of the velocity he had lost over the previous two seasons. The result was his best WHIP and ERA since 2016 and best strikeout rate since 2017. Kershaw isn't going to reach 200 innings pitched at this stage of his career, not with his injury history and the Dodgers' depth in their rotation and World Series aspirations. But even entering his age-33 season, he offers next to no downside. Consider this: Kershaw had probably the worst season of his career in 2019 and pitched to a 3.03 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP with more than a strikeout per inning. Draft him as a strong SP2 but bank on 160 innings. Anything more is gravy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Fresh off his first ever World Series championship, Kershaw continues to graciously ride the aging curve. In fact, he has actually combated a decline in fastball velocity by adding 1 mph in 2020 (90.8 to 90.3 to 91.6 over the past three years). Fantasy managers should also find comfort in the fact that Kershaw has literally never been bad. His highest ERA since 2009 is 3.03 and his highest WHIP since 2011 is 1.04. If seeking safety in the early rounds, Kershaw is your guy.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros