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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Jack Flaherty (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Expert
Recommendation
82%
Recommended by
42 of 51 experts
18%
Recommended by
9 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 10
Best Rank# 3# 7
Worst Rank# 13# 18
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 32
Best Rank# 22# 27
Worst Rank# 25# 34
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts222205
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.563.48
WHIP1.171.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 12
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 9
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 13
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 10
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 7# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 10
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 8# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 10
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 11
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 7# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 8
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 10
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 7# 16
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 7# 13
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 10
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 10
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 8
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 7# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 11
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 11
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 4# 12
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 9# 13
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 7# 11
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 7# 14
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 8# 11
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 8# 11
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 5# 10
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 8# 11
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 8
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 7
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 10# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 10
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 12# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 8
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 9
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 13# 8
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played129
   
Games Started129
   
Innings Pitched71.240.1
   
Wins54
   
Losses53
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5433
   
Earned Runs2622
   
Home Runs Allowed96
   
Strikeouts9649
   
Walks2316
   
ERA3.284.91
   
WHIP1.081.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3131
   
Games Started3131
   
Innings Pitched190.0173.0
   
Wins1312
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed161138
   
Earned Runs7567
   
Home Runs Allowed2423
   
Strikeouts222205
   
Walks6054
   
ERA3.563.48
   
WHIP1.171.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out eight over six innings in Thursday's win over the Pirates.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 24th
Cardinals' ace Jack Flaherty (shoulder) is set to begin throwing sometime over the next couple of days, according to Cardinals' manager Mike Schildt.
Jack Mannis
Sun, Sep 5th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 8th
The Cardinals placed RHP Jack Flaherty on the 10-day IL with a right shoulder strain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 25th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 3rd
Cardinals' ace Jack Flaherty was removed from Tuesday evening's game with right shoulder tightness.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on three hits and no walks while striking out seven over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Aug 28th
Making just his second start since returning from the injured list, Jack Flaherty was sharp in a no-decision against Milwaukee on Wednesday. The Cardinals ace allowed just four hits, two runs, and a walk while striking out eight batters in six innings.
Lucas Spence
Thu, Aug 19th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on two hits and two walks while striking out 11 over 8 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Padres on Saturday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Aug 22nd
After missing nearly 2 1/2 months of action, Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty returned to the mound and did not miss a beat on Friday, pitching six shutout innings while allowing just a pair of hits and striking out five in a win over the Royals.
Lucas Spence
Fri, Aug 13th
Notes 
 Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Flaherty ended up with a 4.91 ERA, but that hardly represents his actual performance, given that he allowed nine runs in a three-inning start in September. If you take out that outing, Flaherty had just a 3.13 ERA, and he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of his eight other starts. Given that Flaherty's season was shorter than most due to the Cardinals' COVID-19 issues, it's fair to essentially throw out at that one abysmal outing, considering his other numbers were relatively consistent from 2019. Indeed, his swinging strike rate improved, as did his K/9 rate and ground ball percentage. With his devastating slider, Flaherty should still be considered one of the top pitchers in the real and fantasy game, and is capable of fronting a fantasy staff.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  The word that keeps coming up for Flaherty's fantasy analysis is rhythm. In the second half of 2019, which is when Flaherty put together one of the most impressive second halves in baseball history, he had rhythm. Meanwhile, the Cardinals' 2020 season lacked anything resembling a routine. Flaherty and his teammates dealt with a COVID-19 outbreak as well as a plethora of doubleheaders late in the year to make up for lost time. And yet, if it wasn't for one disastrous start, Flaherty still would've been a borderline ace last summer. When you take out his worst start of the year, Flaherty's ERA drops from 4.91 to 3.13. I'm betting that 2021 goes more smoothly for St. Louis.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros