Who Should I Draft?
Aaron Nola or Lucas Giolito (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Lucas Giolito SP - CWS  | Aaron Nola SP - PHI  | |
Expert |
60% Recommended by 30 of 50 experts |
40% Recommended by 20 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 6 | # 8 |
| Best Rank | # 4 | # 3 |
| Worst Rank | # 23 | # 13 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 19 | # 22 |
| Best Rank | # 17 | # 22 |
| Worst Rank | # 24 | # 25 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 220 | 222 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.71 | 3.56 |
| WHIP | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 6 | # 7 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 5 | # 9 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 8 | # 9 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 5 | # 7 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 4 | # 7 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 6 | # 7 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 6 | # 9 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 6 | # 13 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 5 | # 8 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 5 | # 7 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 5 | # 6 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 5 | # 7 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 4 | # 6 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 6 | # 7 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 6 | # 8 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 6 | # 7 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 6 | # 8 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 6 | # 7 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 5 | # 7 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 6 | # 12 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 5 | # 7 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 5 | # 6 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 4 | # 9 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 6 | # 10 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 4 | # 7 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 7 | # 9 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 6 | # 8 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 4 | # 8 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 7 | # 8 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 6 | # 12 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 8 | # 3 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 5 | # 4 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 5 | # 4 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 7 | # 5 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 6 | # 5 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 7 | # 6 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 9 | # 6 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 8 | # 7 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 13 | # 7 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 9 | # 7 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 16 | # 7 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 11 | # 8 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 9 | # 8 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 10 | # 8 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 23 | # 9 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 12 | # 9 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 14 | # 9 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 11 | # 10 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 12 | # 11 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 13 | # 12 |
| Lucas Giolito SP - CWS | Aaron Nola SP - PHI | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 12 | 12 |
| Games Started | 12 | 12 |
| Innings Pitched | 72.0 | 71.2 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 47 | 54 |
| Earned Runs | 28 | 26 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 8 | 9 |
| Strikeouts | 97 | 96 |
| Walks | 28 | 23 |
| ERA | 3.48 | 3.28 |
| WHIP | 1.04 | 1.08 |
| Lucas Giolito SP - CWS | Aaron Nola SP - PHI | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 30 | 31 |
| Games Started | 30 | 31 |
| Innings Pitched | 180.2 | 190.0 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 143 | 161 |
| Earned Runs | 74 | 75 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 26 | 24 |
| Strikeouts | 220 | 222 |
| Walks | 61 | 60 |
| ERA | 3.71 | 3.56 |
| WHIP | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Lucas Giolito SP - CWS | Aaron Nola SP - PHI | |
| News | ||
| Lucas Giolito (1-1) allowed eight runs (seven earned) on eight hits and two walks while striking out none across one inning during Monday’s 11-4 loss to the Red Sox. He picked up his first loss of the season. Brad Camara Mon, Apr 19th | Phillies ace Aaron Nola tossed a complete game shutout in Sunday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals, striking out ten while allowing to hits and no walks. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Mon, Apr 19th | |
| Lucas Giolito allowed three runs and two walks while striking out eight across seven innings during Tuesday’s 2-0 extra-inning loss to the Cleveland. He did not factor into the decision. Brad Camara Wed, Apr 14th | Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the New York Mets. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Wed, Apr 14th | |
| Lucas Giolito (1-0) allowed three runs on four hits and one walk while striking out 10 across five 1/3 innings during Tuesday’s 10-4 win over the Mariners. He picked up his first win of the season. Brad Camara Wed, Apr 7th | Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets on Wednesday. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Thu, Apr 8th | |
| Lucas Giolito allowed two runs on two hits and two walks while striking out eight over five 1/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Angels. Brad Camara Fri, Apr 2nd | Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings in Thursday's no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Opening Day. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Fri, Apr 2nd | |
| Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Lucas Giolito will start Opening Day vs. the Los Angeles of Anaheim on April 1. Jon Mathisen Mon, Mar 15th | The Phillies announced RHP Aaron Nola as their Opening Day starter. Brad Camara Mon, Mar 22nd | |
| Notes | ||
| Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
