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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Max Scherzer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
33 of 50 experts
34%
Recommended by
17 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 9
Best Rank# 3# 4
Worst Rank# 13# 14
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 23
Best Rank# 22# 21
Worst Rank# 25# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts222232
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.563.36
WHIP1.171.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 8
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 9
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 7# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 9
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 7# 9
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 6# 10
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 6# 10
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 4# 8
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 7# 9
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 7# 10
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 8# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 8# 14
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 5# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 8# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 4
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 7# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 7
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 7
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 6
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 8# 7
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 4
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 8
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 4
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 6
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 10# 7
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 6
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 7
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 12# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 7
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 13# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched71.267.1
   
Wins55
   
Losses54
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5470
   
Earned Runs2628
   
Home Runs Allowed910
   
Strikeouts9692
   
Walks2323
   
ERA3.283.74
   
WHIP1.081.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3130
   
Games Started3130
   
Innings Pitched190.0179.4
   
Wins1313
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed161152
   
Earned Runs7567
   
Home Runs Allowed2425
   
Strikeouts222232
   
Walks6047
   
ERA3.563.36
   
WHIP1.171.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
News 
 Phillies ace Aaron Nola tossed a complete game shutout in Sunday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals, striking out ten while allowing to hits and no walks.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Apr 19th
In Friday's 1-0 win against the Diamondbacks, Max Scherzer looked dominant. Scherzer struck out ten while allowing two hits and two walks across seven scoreless innings.
Corbin Young
Fri, Apr 16th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the New York Mets.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 14th
Max Scherzer allowed one earned run, three hits, and one walk with five strikeouts across six innings pitched. He took the loss against the Dodgers since the Nationals didn't score a run.
Corbin Young
Sun, Apr 11th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets on Wednesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Apr 8th
In the Nationals Opening Day game, Max Scherzer went six innings for a no-decision. He gave up four home runs and allowed five hits, four earned runs, and zero walks with nine strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Tue, Apr 6th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings in Thursday's no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Opening Day.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Apr 2nd
The Washington Nationals will host the Atlanta Braves in a doubleheader Wednesday.
Brad Camara
Mon, Apr 5th
 The Phillies announced RHP Aaron Nola as their Opening Day starter.
Brad Camara
Mon, Mar 22nd
The Nationals will play their first game of the season on Tuesday against the Braves.
AJ Schullo
Sun, Apr 4th
Notes 
 Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros