Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Noah Syndergaard (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
Expert
Recommendation
88%
Recommended by
52 of 59 experts
12%
Recommended by
7 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 11
Best Rank# 3# 2
Worst Rank# 13# 27
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 25# 35
Best Rank# 23# 33
Worst Rank# 31# 38
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts210182
Wins1412
Saves00
ERA3.213.22
WHIP1.141.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 7# 8
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 12
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 5# 9
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 6# 11
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 6# 12
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 9
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 10
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 27
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 8# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 10
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 3# 9
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 11
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 6# 10
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 7
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 6# 14
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 7# 10
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 8# 9
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 14
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 6# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 11
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 15
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 6# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 9# 13
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 11
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 5# 18
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 10
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 6# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 10# 13
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 8# 11
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 14
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 4# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 15
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 10
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 6
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 9# 14
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 9# 11
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 6# 9
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 11
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 10# 14
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 4# 6
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 6# 10
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 10
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 8
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 4# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 11
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 4# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 10
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 4# 2
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 7# 5
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 6
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 10# 9
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 7
   
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3325
   
Games Started3325
   
Innings Pitched212.2154.1
   
Wins1713
   
Losses64
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed149148
   
Earned Runs5652
   
Home Runs Allowed179
   
Strikeouts224155
   
Walks5839
   
ERA2.373.03
   
WHIP0.971.21
   
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3228
   
Games Started3228
   
Innings Pitched196.5174.1
   
Wins1412
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed169158
   
Earned Runs7062
   
Home Runs Allowed2015
   
Strikeouts210182
   
Walks5545
   
ERA3.213.22
   
WHIP1.141.16
   
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Noah Syndergaard
SP - NYM
Noah Syndergaard
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed five earned runs on nine hits and two walks while striking out four over five innings in Thursday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 12-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 20th
Mets starter Noah Syndergaard allowed four earned runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out six in a no-decision against the Rockies on Wednesday.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 19th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed four earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out seven over six innings in Monday's loss to the Braves. The loss drops him to 12-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 10th
Mets starter Noah Syndergaard allowed four earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out four over five innings in Friday's loss to the Dodgers.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 14th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed five earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over four innings in a no-decision against the Reds on Wednesday.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 5th
Mets starter Noah Syndergaard allowed four earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out five over five innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Sunday.
Mike Maher
Mon, Sep 9th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on five hits and one walk while striking out seven over seven innings in Sunday's loss to the Marlins. The loss drops him to 12-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Aug 26th
Mets starter Noah Syndergaard tossed seven scoreless innings in Monday's win over the Washington Nationals, allowing three hits while striking out 10.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 3rd
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on four hits and one walk while striking out seven over seven innings in Tuesday's win over the Red Sox. The win brings him to 12-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Aug 21st
Mets starter Noah Syndergaard allowed nine earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five over three innings in Wednesday's loss to the Cubs. The loss drops him to 9-7 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Aug 29th
Notes 
 Nola took another major leap forward last year, and while he may never be a 300 or even 250 strikeout guy like the handful of pitchers being drafted above him, 220+ with a sub 1.00 WHIP and 2.50 ERA will certainly warrant a third round pick
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Thor has elite stuff without a doubt, but the numbers haven't quite made it to the top tier of pitchers. Rather, he has just one season with 170 strikeouts and has yet to win 15 games. You may argue that a Cy Young is right around the corner, but we've been saying that for three years now and it is starting to look like we have another Strasburg on our hands
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 While Nola's 2018 surface numbers suggest a big breakthrough, the advanced metrics show that he has been largely the same pitcher over the last three seasons, just in more innings. His strikeout and walk rates remained nearly identical, and he generated a similar amount of soft contact, but the difference was that his left-on-base percentage rose and his BABIP allowed dropped in a big way. As a result, his ERA was much lower than his FIP and xFIP, after lagging behind those metrics in 2016 and 2017. Nola's peripherals have consistently indicated that his true skill is that of a pitcher with a low-3.00s ERA and WHIP in the 1.10-1.20 range, so that' should be our baseline expectation for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
There is little doubt that Thor is a fantastic pitcher when healthy -- he has a 2.93 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 9.95 K/9 rate through 518 1/3 career innings. The issue, of course, is that Syndergaard has yet to reach 200 innings in a season, and has managed less than 155 innings in three of his four seasons in the Majors. As such, his value is very much format-dependent. He is significantly more valuable in a roto league with a low innings cap than he is in a points or categories league, and he's better suited to shallower leagues, where the replacement pitchers available on the waiver wire are better.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Nola won't sustain a pristine 2.37 ERA, but only nine starters posted a higher FIP than his 3.01. He yielded the second-lowest hard-hit rate (25.1%) behind Zack Wheeler and should keep striking out more than a batter per frame with support from his 12.4% swinging-strike rate. Although 2018 represents his ceiling, the 25-year-old's regression should still represent a lower-level ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
The SP1 ceiling remains for Syndergaard, who registered a 3.03 ERA over 154.1 innings last year. Baseball's hardest-throwing starter submitted the lowest hard-hit rate (21.9%) and barrels per plate appearance (1.4%). His K/9 dropped nearly a run despite maintaining an elite 13.6% swinging-strike rate, so he could return to upper-echelon strikeout dominance. Although elite on a per-inning basis, he has never exceeded 183.1 frames in a single season. He's not durable enough to trust as a top-10 ace, but Thor could easily invade that territory by staying healthy.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros