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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Rafael Devers (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
43 of 55 experts
22%
Recommended by
12 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 28
Best Rank# 14# 16
Worst Rank# 63# 84
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 40
Best Rank# 22# 35
Worst Rank# 25# 45
   
Projections 
   
Runs95
Home Runs2431
RBI101
Stolen Bases5
Batting Avg.282
Strikeouts222138
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 23# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 43
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 23# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 23# 29
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 84
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 16# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 30
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 28# 31
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 25# 28
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 35
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 25# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 35
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 21# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 35
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 34
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 16# 42
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 32
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 21# 42
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 26
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 39
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 28
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 31
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 34
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 31# 45
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 33
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 36
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 30
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 34# 43
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 18# 40
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 31
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 30# 40
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 22# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 23# 42
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 20# 23
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 24
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 28# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 28# 19
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 29# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 29
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 32# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 20
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 35# 33
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 37# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 44# 16
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 46# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 63# 20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs32
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI43
   
Stolen Bases0
   
Batting Avg.263
   
Strikeouts9667
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.28
   
WHIP1.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs95
   
Home Runs2431
   
RBI101
   
Stolen Bases5
   
Batting Avg.282
   
Strikeouts222138
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.56
   
WHIP1.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on five hits and two walks while striking out 10 over six innings in Tuesday's win over the Milwaukee Brewers. The win brings him to 3-1 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, May 5th
Rafael Devers came up big for the Red Sox in their 12-9 victory over Detroit. He went 2-for-5 with three RBIs and scored once.
Liam Gibney
Fri, May 7th
 Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola allowed four earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out four in Saturday's win over the Rockies. The win brings him to 2-1 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Apr 25th
Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers (shoulder) is absent from Tuesday's lineup against the Tigers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 4th
 Phillies ace Aaron Nola tossed a complete game shutout in Sunday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals, striking out ten while allowing to hits and no walks.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Apr 19th
Rafael Devers went 1-for-3 with a home run and a walk on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Sat, May 1st
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the New York Mets.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 14th
Rafael Devers drove in the only run for the Red Sox with a double in the sixth inning. He finished 1-for-4 on the day with an RBI.
Liam Gibney
Fri, Apr 30th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets on Wednesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Apr 8th
Rafael Devers went 2-for-3 with a double as the Red Sox beat the Mets 1-0 on Wednesday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 29th
Notes 
 Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Just like in 2019, Devers got off to a slow start last season. He posted a weak .543 OPS over his first 14 games before coming to life with an .868 mark over his final 43 contests. Devers' O-swing has increased every year that he has been in the league, up to 42.3% in 2020. His breakout 2019 saw him make contact on an unsustainable number of pitchers outside the zone. The young third baseman is able to do damage on anything he makes contact with, but he needs to decrease the amount of strikeout to become a consistently elite hitter.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Devers would be more appealing if he stole bases more often, but batting in the middle of the mediocre Red Sox lineup does not scream huge season. He is a fine pick, but not someone primed to break out.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy