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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Rafael Devers (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Expert
Recommendation
79%
Recommended by
44 of 56 experts
21%
Recommended by
12 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 28
Best Rank# 14# 16
Worst Rank# 63# 84
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 40
Best Rank# 22# 35
Worst Rank# 25# 45
   
Projections 
   
Runs95
Home Runs2431
RBI101
Stolen Bases5
Batting Avg.282
Strikeouts222138
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 23# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 43
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 23# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 23# 29
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 84
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 16# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 30
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 28# 31
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 25# 28
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 35
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 25# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 35
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 21# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 35
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 34
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 16# 42
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 32
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 21# 42
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 26
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 39
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 28
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 23# 41
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 31
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 34
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 31# 45
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 33
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 36
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 30
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 34# 43
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 18# 40
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 31
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 30# 40
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 22# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 23# 42
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 20# 23
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 24
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 28# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 28# 19
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 29# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 29
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 32# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 20
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 35# 33
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 37# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 44# 16
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 46# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 63# 20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs32
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI43
   
Stolen Bases0
   
Batting Avg.263
   
Strikeouts9667
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.28
   
WHIP1.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs95
   
Home Runs2431
   
RBI101
   
Stolen Bases5
   
Batting Avg.282
   
Strikeouts222138
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.56
   
WHIP1.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out four over six innings in Wednesday's loss to the Atlanta Braves.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 30th
Rafael Devers went 4-for-5 with a home run, four RBIs, and three runs scored in their playoff clinching win on Sunday.
Liam Gibney
Mon, Oct 4th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out eight over six innings in Thursday's win over the Pirates.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 24th
Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with with a double, and a run scored in Sunday's tough loss to the New York Yankees.
Liam Gibney
Mon, Sep 27th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 8th
Rafael Devers went 1-for-4 with a home run, and three RBIs. He was responsible for all three of the Red Sox runs in this contest against the Yankees on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Sat, Sep 25th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 3rd
Rafael Devers went 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI, and three runs scored in Saturday's 9-3 win over Baltimore.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 19th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on three hits and no walks while striking out seven over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Aug 28th
Rafael Devers went just 1-for-4 on the day, striking out twice. But he salvaged his fantasy day with a solo homer in the eighth inning.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
Notes 
 Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Just like in 2019, Devers got off to a slow start last season. He posted a weak .543 OPS over his first 14 games before coming to life with an .868 mark over his final 43 contests. Devers' O-swing has increased every year that he has been in the league, up to 42.3% in 2020. His breakout 2019 saw him make contact on an unsustainable number of pitchers outside the zone. The young third baseman is able to do damage on anything he makes contact with, but he needs to decrease the amount of strikeout to become a consistently elite hitter.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Devers would be more appealing if he stole bases more often, but batting in the middle of the mediocre Red Sox lineup does not scream huge season. He is a fine pick, but not someone primed to break out.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy