Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Trevor Bauer (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
Expert
Recommendation
77%
Recommended by
43 of 56 experts
23%
Recommended by
13 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 10
Best Rank# 3# 1
Worst Rank# 13# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 25# 31
Best Rank# 23# 30
Worst Rank# 31# 46
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts210218
Wins1414
Saves00
ERA3.213.33
WHIP1.141.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 7# 15
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 15
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 9
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 5# 8
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 6# 8
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 6# 10
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 8# 9
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 7
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 3# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 8
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 6# 9
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 17
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 6# 10
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 7# 8
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 8# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 11
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 4# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 6# 10
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 10
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 9
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 6# 7
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 17
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 7# 10
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 7# 10
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 6# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 4# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 6# 8
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 6# 11
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 4# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 10
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 4# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 9
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 5# 1
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 7
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 8# 7
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 9# 7
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 8
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 9# 8
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 9# 5
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 10# 5
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 9
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 5
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 10# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 11
   
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3328
   
Games Started3327
   
Innings Pitched212.2175.1
   
Wins1712
   
Losses66
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed149134
   
Earned Runs5643
   
Home Runs Allowed179
   
Strikeouts224221
   
Walks5857
   
ERA2.372.21
   
WHIP0.971.09
   
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3231
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched196.5187.0
   
Wins1414
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed169160
   
Earned Runs7069
   
Home Runs Allowed2019
   
Strikeouts210218
   
Walks5562
   
ERA3.213.33
   
WHIP1.141.19
   
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed five earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out four over 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Saturday.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer pitched a complete game shutout in an 8-0 win over the Tigers on Sunday. Bauer struck out eight and allowed just four baserunners in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Jun 17th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on four hits and three walks while striking out seven over 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer was excellent in a 2-1 win over the Reds on Tuesday. Bauer held Cincinnati to one run over 7 2/3 innings while striking out six and walking five.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 12th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out five over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the San Diego Padres on Monday. The loss was his first of the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Jun 4th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer gave up three homers in a 5-4 loss to the Twins on Thursday. Bauer went eight innings, giving up five runs and striking out seven.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on four hits and three walks while striking out eight over seven innings in Wednesday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals. The win brings him to 6-0 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer was let down by his defense in a 6-1 loss to the White Sox on Friday. Bauer allowed six runs, but only two earned runs, in seven innings. He struck out eight in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 1st
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on four hits and four walks over 5 1/3 innings in a win over the Chicago Cubs on Thursday. The win brings him to 5-0 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, May 23rd
Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer pitched well in a 6-3 loss to the Rays on Sunday. Bauer allowed four runs (three earned) in six innings of work. He struck out eight and allowed just five hits.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, May 27th
Notes 
 Nola took another major leap forward last year, and while he may never be a 300 or even 250 strikeout guy like the handful of pitchers being drafted above him, 220+ with a sub 1.00 WHIP and 2.50 ERA will certainly warrant a third round pick
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Prior to an injury in the second half, Bauer was among the top pitchers in baseball. He still struck out 221 batters in 175 innings, but with health, those numbers could easily climb to 270 in 215 innings
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 While Nola's 2018 surface numbers suggest a big breakthrough, the advanced metrics show that he has been largely the same pitcher over the last three seasons, just in more innings. His strikeout and walk rates remained nearly identical, and he generated a similar amount of soft contact, but the difference was that his left-on-base percentage rose and his BABIP allowed dropped in a big way. As a result, his ERA was much lower than his FIP and xFIP, after lagging behind those metrics in 2016 and 2017. Nola's peripherals have consistently indicated that his true skill is that of a pitcher with a low-3.00s ERA and WHIP in the 1.10-1.20 range, so that' should be our baseline expectation for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bauer took a big step forward as a pitcher in 2017, and then last year he finally put it all together and performed like an ace. The big increase in his strikeout rate over the last two seasons is the biggest ingredient in his success, but he was also somewhat fortunate in terms of his home run rate last year after being unlucky in that regard the previous season. His walk rate is still a bit high, and he is a little risky just based on the fact that he had never produced a sub-4.00 ERA or sub-1.30 WHIP before last year, but the skills are certainly there for another strong season.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Nola won't sustain a pristine 2.37 ERA, but only nine starters posted a higher FIP than his 3.01. He yielded the second-lowest hard-hit rate (25.1%) behind Zack Wheeler and should keep striking out more than a batter per frame with support from his 12.4% swinging-strike rate. Although 2018 represents his ceiling, the 25-year-old's regression should still represent a lower-level ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
A viable Cy Young Award contender before suffering a stress fracture in his right fibula, Bauer boasted a 2.21 ERA and 221 strikeouts over 175.1 spectacular frames. Only Jacob deGrom bested him in FIP (2.44), and he leaned more on a slider that yielded a -8 wRC+. If the injury depresses his value, pounce on a top-10 stud.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros