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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Xander Bogaerts (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
29 of 55 experts
47%
Recommended by
26 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 24
Best Rank# 14# 15
Worst Rank# 63# 56
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 31
Best Rank# 22# 23
Worst Rank# 25# 33
   
Projections 
   
Runs94
Home Runs2428
RBI93
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.292
Strikeouts222115
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 23# 41
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 23# 32
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 23# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 43
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 16# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 51
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 21
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 21# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 25
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 24
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 16# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 29
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 21# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 27
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 19
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 27
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 24
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 22
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 18# 34
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 30# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 22# 25
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 23# 43
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 20# 21
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 18
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 21
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 23
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 25# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 25# 22
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 21
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 23
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 28# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 28# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 28# 20
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 29# 25
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 21
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 20
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 31# 24
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 32# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 28
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 34# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 35# 27
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 37# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 44# 28
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 46# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 63# 17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs36
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.301
   
Strikeouts9641
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.28
   
WHIP1.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs94
   
Home Runs2428
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.292
   
Strikeouts222115
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.56
   
WHIP1.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out eight over 6 2/3 innings in Saturday's loss to the Blue Jays. The loss drops him to 3-3 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, May 16th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-2 with a three run homer, three RBIs, and two runs scored in Saturday's win over the Angels.
Liam Gibney
Sun, May 16th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on five hits and two walks while striking out 10 over six innings in Tuesday's win over the Milwaukee Brewers. The win brings him to 3-1 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, May 5th
Xander Bogaerts went 3-for-3 with a home run, a walk, three RBIs, and one run.
Liam Gibney
Fri, May 14th
 Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola allowed four earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out four in Saturday's win over the Rockies. The win brings him to 2-1 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Apr 25th
Xander Bogaerts went 3-for-4 with two RBIs, and two runs in Saturday's victory over the Orioles.
Liam Gibney
Sun, May 9th
 Phillies ace Aaron Nola tossed a complete game shutout in Sunday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals, striking out ten while allowing to hits and no walks.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Apr 19th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk, one RBI, and one run in the Red Sox victory on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Fri, May 7th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the New York Mets.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 14th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-4 with two runs scored as the Red Sox fell to the Tigers in extra innings on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 6th
Notes 
 Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros