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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Xander Bogaerts (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
52%
Recommended by
29 of 56 experts
48%
Recommended by
27 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 24
Best Rank# 14# 15
Worst Rank# 63# 56
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 31
Best Rank# 22# 23
Worst Rank# 25# 33
   
Projections 
   
Runs94
Home Runs2428
RBI93
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.292
Strikeouts222115
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 23# 41
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 23# 32
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 23# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 43
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 16# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 51
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 21
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 21# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 25
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 24
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 16# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 29
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 21# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 27
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 19
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 27
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 24
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 22
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 18# 34
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 30# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 22# 25
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 23# 43
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 20# 21
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 18
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 15
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 23# 17
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 21
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 23
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 25# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 25# 22
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 21
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 23
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 28# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 28# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 28# 20
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 29# 25
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 21
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 20
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 31# 24
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 32# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 28
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 34# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 35# 27
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 37# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 44# 28
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 46# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 63# 17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs36
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.301
   
Strikeouts9641
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.28
   
WHIP1.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs94
   
Home Runs2428
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.292
   
Strikeouts222115
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.56
   
WHIP1.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out four over six innings in Wednesday's loss to the Atlanta Braves.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 30th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a home run, a walk, four RBIs, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Mets.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out eight over six innings in Thursday's win over the Pirates.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 24th
Xander Bogaerts went 3-for-5 with a home run, four RBIs, and two runs scored in Saturday's win over Baltimore.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 19th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 8th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-5 with a triple and two runs scored in Tuesday's win over Seattle.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 15th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 3rd
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 on the day, hitting a double and a homer while also striking out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on three hits and no walks while striking out seven over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Aug 28th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk in Friday's loss to the White Sox.
Liam Gibney
Sat, Sep 11th
Notes 
 Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros