Who Should I Draft?
Aaron Nola or Xander Bogaerts (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Aaron Nola SP - PHI  | Xander Bogaerts SS - BOS  | |
Expert |
52% Recommended by 29 of 56 experts |
48% Recommended by 27 of 56 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 23 | # 24 |
| Best Rank | # 14 | # 15 |
| Worst Rank | # 63 | # 56 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 22 | # 31 |
| Best Rank | # 22 | # 23 |
| Worst Rank | # 25 | # 33 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | ‐ | 94 |
| Home Runs | 24 | 28 |
| RBI | ‐ | 93 |
| Stolen Bases | ‐ | 10 |
| Batting Avg | ‐ | .292 |
| Strikeouts | 222 | 115 |
| Wins | 13 | ‐ |
| Saves | 0 | ‐ |
| ERA | 3.56 | ‐ |
| WHIP | 1.17 | ‐ |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 23 | # 41 |
| Josh Shepardson FantasyPros | # 23 | # 32 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 23 | # 26 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 21 | # 43 |
| Scott White CBS Sports | # 16 | # 38 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 14 | # 51 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 20 | # 21 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 19 | # 21 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 21 | # 27 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 21 | # 30 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 20 | # 25 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 20 | # 24 |
| Frank Stampfl CBS Sports | # 16 | # 39 |
| Tyler Thompson Fantasy Six Pack | # 22 | # 29 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 21 | # 36 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 22 | # 35 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 20 | # 27 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 16 | # 19 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 24 | # 33 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 22 | # 23 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 21 | # 27 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 21 | # 28 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 16 | # 24 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 17 | # 22 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 18 | # 34 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 30 | # 56 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 22 | # 25 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 23 | # 43 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 20 | # 21 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 20 | # 18 |
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 22 | # 19 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 22 | # 15 |
| Jorge B. Edwards Fantasy In Frames | # 23 | # 17 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 24 | # 21 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 25 | # 21 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 25 | # 23 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 25 | # 21 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 25 | # 22 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 25 | # 21 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 26 | # 23 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 28 | # 22 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 28 | # 19 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 28 | # 20 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 29 | # 25 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 30 | # 21 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 31 | # 20 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 31 | # 24 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 32 | # 27 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 32 | # 28 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 34 | # 21 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 35 | # 27 |
| SportsLine - Computer Simulation CBS Sports | # 37 | # 19 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 42 | # 18 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 44 | # 28 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 46 | # 28 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 63 | # 17 |
| Aaron Nola SP - PHI | Xander Bogaerts SS - BOS | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Runs | ‐ | 36 |
| Home Runs | 9 | 11 |
| RBI | ‐ | 28 |
| Stolen Bases | ‐ | 8 |
| Batting Avg | ‐ | .301 |
| Strikeouts | 96 | 41 |
| Wins | 5 | ‐ |
| Saves | 0 | ‐ |
| ERA | 3.28 | ‐ |
| WHIP | 1.08 | ‐ |
| Aaron Nola SP - PHI | Xander Bogaerts SS - BOS | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Runs | ‐ | 94 |
| Home Runs | 24 | 28 |
| RBI | ‐ | 93 |
| Stolen Bases | ‐ | 10 |
| Batting Avg | ‐ | .292 |
| Strikeouts | 222 | 115 |
| Wins | 13 | ‐ |
| Saves | 0 | ‐ |
| ERA | 3.56 | ‐ |
| WHIP | 1.17 | ‐ |
| Aaron Nola SP - PHI | Xander Bogaerts SS - BOS | |
| News | ||
| Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out four over six innings in Wednesday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Thu, Sep 30th | Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a home run, a walk, four RBIs, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Mets. Liam Gibney Wed, Sep 22nd | |
| Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out eight over six innings in Thursday's win over the Pirates. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Fri, Sep 24th | Xander Bogaerts went 3-for-5 with a home run, four RBIs, and two runs scored in Saturday's win over Baltimore. Liam Gibney Sun, Sep 19th | |
| Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Wed, Sep 8th | Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-5 with a triple and two runs scored in Tuesday's win over Seattle. Liam Gibney Wed, Sep 15th | |
| Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Thursday. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Fri, Sep 3rd | Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 on the day, hitting a double and a homer while also striking out once. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Tue, Sep 14th | |
| Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on three hits and no walks while striking out seven over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Friday. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Sat, Aug 28th | Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk in Friday's loss to the White Sox. Liam Gibney Sat, Sep 11th | |
| Notes | ||
| Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
