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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Nola or Zack Greinke (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
50 of 50 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 29
Best Rank# 3# 10
Worst Rank# 13# 61
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 93
Best Rank# 22# 65
Worst Rank# 25# 99
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts222171
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.563.85
WHIP1.171.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 7# 61
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 39
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 25
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 29
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 8# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 35
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 29
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 13# 34
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 27
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 29
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 7# 35
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 7# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 6# 38
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 7# 22
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 31
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 23
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 6# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 4# 32
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 9# 22
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 10# 37
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 7# 23
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 7# 31
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 8# 30
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 8# 29
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 5# 46
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 8# 25
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 12# 31
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched71.267.1
   
Wins53
   
Losses53
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5467
   
Earned Runs2630
   
Home Runs Allowed96
   
Strikeouts9667
   
Walks239
   
ERA3.284.03
   
WHIP1.081.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3131
   
Games Started3131
   
Innings Pitched190.0183.4
   
Wins1312
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed161174
   
Earned Runs7578
   
Home Runs Allowed2428
   
Strikeouts222171
   
Walks6036
   
ERA3.563.85
   
WHIP1.171.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on five hits and two walks while striking out 10 over six innings in Tuesday's win over the Milwaukee Brewers. The win brings him to 3-1 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, May 5th
Astros starter Zack Greinke allowed three runs on three hits and four walks in Tuesday's loss to the Yankees. He struck out four batters along the way and was pulled after the fourth inning.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, May 5th
 Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola allowed four earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out four in Saturday's win over the Rockies. The win brings him to 2-1 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Apr 25th
The Mariners worked to chase Zack Greinke from the game quickly on Wednesday, getting to him for four runs over four innings. He also walked a pair and struck out five. The veteran was hit with the no-decision as Houston was able to come back and win.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Apr 29th
 Phillies ace Aaron Nola tossed a complete game shutout in Sunday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals, striking out ten while allowing to hits and no walks.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Apr 19th
The Angels figured out how to hit Zack Greinke on Friday but they were unsuccessful in converting their hits to runs. The 37-year-old veteran finished with a final line of seven innings, 10 hits, two runs, zero walks, and six strikeouts.
Andersen Pickard
Fri, Apr 23rd
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the New York Mets.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 14th
Astros starter Zack Greinke got back on track and returned to ace form on Saturday against the Mariners. Over eight innings, he allowed zero runs and just four hits. He also struck out six batters and did not walk anybody.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Apr 18th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets on Wednesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Apr 8th
Astros starter Zack Greinke had a poor outing on Monday, allowing six runs on 10 hits over just 4.2 innings. He allowed three walks, three homers, and two strikeouts.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Apr 13th
Notes 
 Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros